Intrepid-Chance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$553

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

36.5%

Resolved

1,243

Trades

8,256

lifetime

Volume

$23.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 05-18 19:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 57% -$499

Other

4% 67% -$50

Politics

0% 0% $0

Tech

0% 0% -$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-18).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 05:15 UTC	100	$524	1,050	0	+1,050	Up	-$14	03-24 05:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 13:00 UTC	105	$510	1,004	0	+1,004	Down	-$10	03-23 13:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 11:20 UTC	99	$487	1,030	0	+1,030	Up	-$27	03-24 11:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 04:45 UTC	107	$460	980	0	+980	Up	+$5	03-24 04:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 06:00 UTC	88	$408	870	0	+870	Up	-$18	03-24 06:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 13:25 UTC	83	$399	775	0	+775	Down	-$7	03-23 13:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 05:45 UTC	85	$386	812	0	+812	Down	+$4	03-24 05:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 13:30 UTC	70	$325	661	0	+661	Down	-$11	03-23 13:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 13:10 UTC	59	$312	626	0	+626	Up	-$16	03-23 13:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 13:20 UTC	56	$275	552	0	+552	Up	+$1	03-23 13:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	2	$269	200	200	+0	Yes	-$7	04-12 16:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 13:05 UTC	43	$265	533	0	+533	Down	-$5	03-23 13:08
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	7	$245	211	211	+0	Yes	-$20	04-12 15:19
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	24	$206	216	216	+0	Yes	-$16	04-12 15:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 13:15 UTC	25	$178	364	0	+364	Up	+$1	03-23 13:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 05:30 UTC	37	$169	375	0	+375	Up	-$4	03-24 05:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 12:45 UTC	67	$167	319	0	+319	Up	+$7	03-23 12:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 19:15 UTC	62	$162	313	0	+313	Up	-$8	03-22 19:19
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 19:15 UTC	50	$137	256	0	+256	Up	-$4	03-22 19:19
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 19:00 UTC	51	$135	264	0	+264	Up	-$4	03-21 19:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 15:40 UTC	54	$135	264	0	+264	Down	-$5	03-21 15:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 11:05 UTC	21	$133	285	0	+285	Up	-$13	03-24 11:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 15:10 UTC	56	$129	266	0	+266	Up	-$3	03-21 15:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 13:40 UTC	58	$127	252	0	+252	Up	-$4	03-23 13:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 15:25 UTC	48	$121	240	0	+240	Up	-$2	03-21 15:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 01:05 UTC	57	$121	249	0	+249	Up	-$7	03-24 01:10
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 22:05 UTC	48	$117	226	0	+226	Up	-$3	03-23 22:09
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 22:10 UTC	51	$117	224	0	+224	Up	-$6	03-23 22:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 20:45 UTC	48	$116	237	0	+237	Down	-$3	03-21 20:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 00:45 UTC	57	$111	232	0	+232	Up	+$0	03-23 00:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 19:13:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	50¢	$4	0x948854…
05-18 19:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x0ad75c…
05-18 18:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	56¢	$4	0xdfe3be…
05-18 18:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xbc6edd…
05-18 18:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0x49813c…
05-18 18:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xe3fd40…
05-18 15:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	8	55¢	$4	0xc6259e…
05-18 15:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x375a8d…
05-18 14:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	43¢	$3	0x2eba4a…
05-18 14:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x74c0e1…
05-18 14:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	6	58¢	$4	0x755fb6…
05-18 14:53:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x5369e1…
05-18 14:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	7	56¢	$4	0x491a4c…
05-18 14:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x3cc604…
05-18 14:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x704632…
05-18 14:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x0ce144…
05-18 14:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0xae8410…
05-18 14:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x076f8f…
05-18 14:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xe9aea3…
05-18 14:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xe51dda…
05-18 14:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xb08089…
05-18 14:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x4a2a9b…
05-18 14:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	6	58¢	$4	0x886b9f…
05-18 14:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xcd1ee6…
05-16 23:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	51¢	$4	0x21e29b…
05-16 23:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x664129…
05-16 23:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0x4e7ab2…
05-16 23:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x90fb76…
05-16 23:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0x70098f…
05-16 23:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x5a80f8…
05-16 23:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0xae20f1…
05-16 23:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x730103…
05-16 23:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	8	32¢	$2	0x42f92c…
05-16 23:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xed347d…
05-16 23:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x34e8eb…
05-16 23:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xe7d394…
05-16 23:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0x559886…
05-16 23:13:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x2a517d…
05-16 23:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x0189be…
05-16 23:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xae9b8d…
05-16 22:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x37fb80…
05-16 22:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xd969ae…
05-16 22:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xe25ded…
05-16 22:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	8	96¢	$7	0x065c06…
05-16 22:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xa6199c…
05-16 17:42:08	Will Maryville University win NACL 2026 Spring?	Yes	SELL	30	10¢	$3	0x917bd4…
04-12 20:14:35	Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0xf6c0dc…
04-12 20:14:25	Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x004dc3…
04-12 20:14:23	Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0xf369c1…
04-12 20:12:57	Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xf0a152…
04-12 18:13:09	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	68	16¢	$11	0x86028e…
04-12 17:50:31	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	23	17¢	$4	0xc87489…
04-12 17:50:31	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	9	17¢	$1	0xac5915…
04-12 17:50:21	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x95d068…
04-12 16:09:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	SELL	200	65¢	$131	0x2cd4be…
04-12 16:07:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0x6059fd…
04-12 15:19:47	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	72	51¢	$37	0x662d1b…
04-12 15:19:43	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	No	SELL	85	61¢	$52	0xd83eaf…
04-12 15:19:17	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x216438…
04-12 15:19:13	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x0c4253…
04-12 15:19:11	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x4399a0…
04-12 15:19:07	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x62f219…
04-12 15:19:01	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xfc2a26…
04-12 15:18:59	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x0592d1…
04-12 15:18:31	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x716b50…
04-12 15:18:29	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x02427b…
04-12 15:18:23	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x10c0b2…
04-12 15:18:19	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xea412e…
04-12 15:18:07	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	11	58¢	$6	0xccdb9a…
04-12 15:18:07	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x50adad…
04-12 15:18:03	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	15	59¢	$9	0x94b80e…
04-12 15:17:59	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	23	60¢	$14	0xb866b8…
04-12 15:17:55	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xff2978…
04-12 15:17:53	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0xa59aae…
04-12 15:17:53	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xa3a37c…
04-12 15:17:45	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xde05c4…
04-12 15:17:43	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x1150ca…
04-12 15:17:37	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xdd9198…
04-12 15:17:35	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xab64b5…
04-12 15:09:09	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	No	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x86206b…
04-12 15:09:01	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	21¢	$4	0xa98f2b…
04-12 15:08:45	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	SELL	121	31¢	$37	0xe2dfef…
04-12 15:08:39	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	100	53¢	$53	0x0f2390…
04-12 15:08:05	Will Maryville University win NACL 2026 Spring?	Yes	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0xb6614c…
04-12 15:07:23	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	BUY	21	37¢	$8	0xd08052…
04-12 15:07:23	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0x8b24fd…
04-12 15:07:17	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xcfa342…
04-12 15:07:13	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x28f759…
04-12 15:07:09	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0xe706ea…
04-12 15:07:09	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x6a1a75…
04-06 12:52:13	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 12:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf8cc68…
04-06 12:47:17	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x4a94e0…
04-06 12:42:13	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 12:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xac2508…
04-06 12:37:15	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xc4caec…
04-06 12:32:11	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xa5c6f7…
04-06 12:32:09	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x9adc7b…
04-06 12:32:07	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xc394cb…
04-06 12:27:07	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 12:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x0012af…
04-06 12:22:15	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 12:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x00db55…
04-06 12:17:15	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x570071…