Fluid-Tobacco — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$34

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

46.2%

Resolved

1,425

Trades

6,558

lifetime

Volume

$10.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 11-03 03:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 227 days

Categories

Other

47% 35% +$59

Crypto

42% 39% -$96

Sports

11% 55% +$72

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+111	$1	2¢	$2	+$1	05-15 10:11
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+15	$1	15¢	$2	+$1	05-10 02:53
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+77	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	05-20 13:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba sac orl 2026 03 26 total 228pt5	2	$143	80	80	+0	Over	+$18	03-27 02:03
nba okc was 2026 03 21 spread away 21pt5	2	$132	82	82	+0	Wizards	+$33	03-22 00:21
fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 spread home 1pt5	2	$110	198	0	+198	IR Iran	+$65	06-21 19:23
lal mal rea 2026 04 04 draw	1	$87	125	0	+125	No	+$39	04-04 15:55
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 280 299	4	$80	205	205	+0	Yes	+$20	03-17 15:03
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 90 114	2	$69	61	61	+0	Yes	+$49	03-18 14:13
nba por min 2026 03 20	2	$59	39	39	+0	Trail Blazers	+$19	03-21 04:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 23:00 UTC	49	$55	60	59	+1	Up	-$5	02-14 23:13
lal vil elc 2026 03 08 vil	2	$49	29	29	+0	Yes	+$9	03-08 15:06
bkcba gua bei 2026 03 27	2	$46	40	40	+0	Beijing Ducks	+$6	03-27 13:20
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	1	$46	82	0	+82	Knicks	-$46	05-23 15:31
nhl tor ana 2026 03 30	2	$43	54	54	+0	Maple Leafs	+$3	03-31 04:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 01:30 UTC	55	$43	52	50	+2	Down	-$5	02-15 01:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 21:05 UTC	36	$42	52	51	+1	Up	-$4	02-15 21:08
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 340 359	2	$41	46	46	+0	Yes	+$21	03-10 12:56
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	2	$41	52	52	+0	No	+$21	04-03 06:44
wta oliynyk gormaz 2026 07 23	2	$41	28	28	+0	Oleksandra Oliynykova	+$1	07-23 13:15
nba gsw lac 2026 04 15	2	$40	59	57	+1	Warriors	+$22	04-16 04:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 23:35 UTC	37	$40	51	42	+9	Down	-$2	02-15 23:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 23:30 UTC	24	$40	43	43	+1	Down	-$6	02-14 23:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 00:00 UTC	20	$40	43	42	+1	Down	-$4	02-15 00:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 23:45 UTC	27	$38	46	45	+1	Down	-$3	02-15 23:48
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?	1	$38	51	0	+51	No	+$13	07-02 15:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 23:15 UTC	16	$35	42	36	+6	Down	-$7	02-14 23:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 22:30 UTC	30	$34	42	38	+3	Up	-$5	02-15 22:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 22:45 UTC	70	$34	42	41	+1	Down	-$4	02-14 22:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 23:00 UTC	2	$34	23	23	+0	Up	-$5	03-19 23:14
ethereum up or down february 15 10am et	19	$33	31	31	+0	Up	+$3	02-15 15:54
efa ful sot 2026 03 07 sot	2	$33	28	28	+0	Yes	+$23	03-08 14:09
nba nyk bkn 2026 03 20 total 213pt5	2	$31	21	21	+0	Under	+$11	03-21 04:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 03:45:16	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xf8bd0b…
11-03 03:44:39	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x5c7188…
11-03 03:44:18	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x6597f6…
11-03 03:43:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x7cefc3…
11-03 03:43:28	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x52b468…
11-03 03:43:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x0f2613…
11-03 03:42:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x802299…
11-03 03:42:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x811592…
11-02 03:56:51	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x1c943f…
11-02 03:56:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xbe02fd…
11-02 03:55:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x382140…
11-02 03:55:28	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xc02f7d…
11-02 03:54:33	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xd0d78d…
11-02 03:53:34	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x9703c8…
11-02 03:52:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xab0c5c…
11-01 03:47:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb2e1e5…
11-01 03:46:40	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3600ec…
11-01 03:45:55	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 16°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x466feb…
11-01 03:45:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x114ac6…
11-01 03:45:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd3f5d0…
11-01 03:43:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd904c8…
11-01 03:43:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb6a30b…
11-01 03:42:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x98172f…
10-30 04:29:12	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xdb447b…
10-30 04:28:19	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x962090…
10-30 04:28:04	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x758990…
10-30 04:27:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xf6065f…
10-30 04:26:33	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x675ac7…
10-30 04:26:04	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xadb7cc…
10-30 04:25:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x6ffcd8…
10-30 04:25:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xd2c02f…
10-29 03:37:02	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x4e9e7e…
10-29 03:36:32	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x4623e8…
10-29 03:36:10	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xe6883e…
10-29 03:35:41	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa6bbd1…
10-29 03:35:20	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x21d178…
10-29 03:34:53	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xc25121…
10-29 03:34:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xdd30ec…
10-29 03:33:59	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x2626a6…
10-28 03:02:56	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xaae855…
10-28 03:02:05	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x332384…
10-28 03:01:33	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x0846b7…
10-28 03:01:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x2bc204…
10-28 03:00:44	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x0b340c…
10-28 03:00:20	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xed85a9…
10-28 02:59:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa308da…
10-28 02:59:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x5d34c2…
10-24 03:14:44	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x0b2ee2…
10-24 03:14:23	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xa2ec02…
10-24 03:13:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x33ee4f…
10-24 03:13:38	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x281b56…
10-24 03:13:18	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xb28033…
10-24 03:12:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd5c6df…
10-24 03:12:32	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x6437de…
10-23 04:08:20	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x669870…
10-23 04:07:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xa3e22d…
10-23 04:06:35	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x4f0d1e…
10-23 04:05:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x4027b5…
10-23 04:05:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xc44c5a…
10-23 04:03:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xcd452f…
10-22 04:32:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x0bb961…
10-21 03:01:41	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xa831ad…
10-21 02:55:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xcb7863…
10-20 04:13:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x747cf0…
10-19 03:04:11	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x7058a1…
10-17 02:51:11	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf36b49…
10-16 02:48:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xd12273…
10-13 04:01:05	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x2083ae…
10-07 02:43:33	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xccc1e2…
10-04 02:41:23	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 92-93°F on October 5?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x8d4d9e…
10-04 02:40:55	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 5?	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x7646aa…
10-04 02:39:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x404160…
10-03 01:39:56	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on October 3?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x82abd8…
10-03 01:38:23	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x3539d2…
10-03 01:38:11	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x8adbf4…
10-02 00:30:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xa5f58b…
10-02 00:30:20	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on October 2?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xc7c3de…
10-02 00:29:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x47925c…
10-02 00:29:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x32b399…
09-30 03:40:29	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xfad76b…
09-30 03:40:11	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 1?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xcc42cf…
09-30 03:39:53	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on October 1?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x28fa82…
09-30 03:38:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xaf7acc…
09-30 03:38:38	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0xc5b9d2…
09-30 03:38:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x60ac9c…
09-21 02:32:11	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x130204…
09-21 02:31:56	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on September 21?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x6fb88c…
09-21 02:29:43	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x6c6834…
09-20 04:48:31	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x91b2c8…
09-20 04:48:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xcfa183…
09-19 14:02:06	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 20?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xbb9c21…
09-19 14:01:48	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 20?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x0a52be…
09-19 04:18:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xfcd054…
09-18 14:27:19	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xf9999f…
09-17 14:26:33	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xcbb3e6…
09-17 14:26:07	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xbc36b5…
09-17 02:49:55	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x7574cf…
09-17 02:48:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xce5b95…
09-16 12:39:24	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xcf342f…
09-16 02:37:00	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x55abb1…