Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$547

Unrealized P&L

+$305

Hit rate

94.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$7.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$251

Open exposure

$669

3 positions

First seen

2026-07-26

last 10-22 13:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Tech

50% 100% +$747

Other

47% — —

Politics

3% 0% -$200

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+1,153	$120	53¢	$610	+$490	07-26 21:05
tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	+502	$221	10¢	$48	-$173	08-21 15:16
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+566	$23	2¢	$11	-$12	10-11 14:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	2	$2.3K	1,282	1,282	+0	No	+$279	09-20 14:24
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	3	$1.8K	1,257	1,257	+0	open	—	10-18 12:28
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?	2	$1.5K	968	968	+0	No	+$467	10-02 19:30
Will DeepSeek IPO by September 30, 2027?	4	$499	1,814	100	+1,714	open	—	09-27 11:07
Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2027?	4	$302	1,545	0	+1,545	open	—	10-02 19:33
tyler robinson convicted of homicide	1	$221	502	0	+502	open	—	08-21 15:16
Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	1	$200	426	0	+426	No	-$200	08-18 17:59
Will SB Energy IPO by October 31, 2026?	1	$155	172	0	+172	open	—	10-10 15:22
Will Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by June 30, 2027?	2	$141	604	0	+604	open	—	10-05 23:53
Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?	1	$120	1,153	0	+1,153	open	—	07-26 21:05
Will DeepSeek IPO by June 30, 2027?	4	$112	175	0	+175	open	—	10-22 13:32
Will Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by March 31, 2027?	1	$104	340	0	+340	open	—	10-04 19:45
Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?	2	$88	1,007	0	+1,007	open	—	10-10 15:15
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	2	$23	566	0	+566	open	—	10-11 14:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 13:32:48	Will DeepSeek IPO by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xf0cd26…
10-22 13:31:48	Will DeepSeek IPO by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xee0d1b…
10-22 13:31:47	Will DeepSeek IPO by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xe0d02e…
10-18 12:28:05	Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,257	74¢	$926	0x9312a9…
10-11 14:20:33	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	300	4¢	$12	0x5a1c28…
10-11 14:20:09	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	266	4¢	$11	0xb4d088…
10-10 15:33:31	Will DeepSeek IPO by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	150	64¢	$96	0x09b077…
10-10 15:22:07	Will SB Energy IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	172	90¢	$155	0xeba957…
10-10 15:15:51	Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	9¢	$88	0x84554b…
10-10 14:37:55	Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	7	7¢	$0	0x1531dc…
10-05 23:53:56	Will Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	480	25¢	$118	0x33d33e…
10-04 19:45:46	Will Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	340	30¢	$104	0x222705…
10-04 19:44:59	Will Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	124	18¢	$23	0xb752b8…
10-02 19:33:06	Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	852	21¢	$179	0xf79d9b…
10-02 19:30:59	Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	968	100¢	$967	0x621b28…
09-27 11:09:20	Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	400	75¢	$299	0xefcf1d…
09-27 11:07:41	Will DeepSeek IPO by September 30, 2027?	No	SELL	100	33¢	$33	0xf6ebe2…
09-27 11:06:24	Will DeepSeek IPO by September 30, 2027?	No	BUY	865	30¢	$260	0xb7916b…
09-20 14:34:54	Will DeepSeek IPO by September 30, 2027?	No	BUY	659	22¢	$144	0x58a1e5…
09-20 14:29:07	Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	857	70¢	$600	0xd76e04…
09-20 14:24:33	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,282	100¢	$1,279	0xe3d1ca…
09-20 14:20:43	Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	257	19¢	$50	0xd7ec01…
09-13 23:49:30	Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	376	18¢	$66	0x19ed34…
09-13 17:07:21	Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	60	11¢	$7	0xf50239…
09-13 17:06:19	Will DeepSeek IPO by September 30, 2027?	No	BUY	290	22¢	$62	0xbdc688…
08-21 15:16:58	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	BUY	502	44¢	$221	0x02f206…
08-21 15:10:06	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	BUY	1,282	78¢	$1,000	0x314f50…
08-21 15:08:43	will anthropic ipo by october 15 2026 949	No	BUY	968	52¢	$500	0xba48e4…
08-18 17:59:55	Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	Yes	BUY	426	47¢	$200	0xee2037…
07-26 21:05:46	Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,153	10¢	$120	0xb814dd…