Lumpy-Variability — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$25

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.75K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$188

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 05-22 13:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 100% +$9

Other

20% 100% +$16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	1	$618	627	+627	open	—	05-17 12:20
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	1	$552	559	+559	Down	+$7	05-10 13:40
BNB Up or Down - May 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$548	554	+554	Up	+$6	05-06 20:55
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	1	$491	560	+560	open	—	05-15 23:05
sol updown 5m 1777050000	1	$486	510	+510	open	—	04-24 17:05
hype updown 5m 1776846900	2	$486	492	+492	open	—	04-22 08:40
hype updown 5m 1776889500	1	$484	498	+498	open	—	04-22 20:30
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	1	$272	275	+275	open	—	05-16 10:25
BNB Up or Down - May 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$198	200	+200	Down	+$2	05-13 14:55
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	1	$193	195	+195	Up	+$2	05-11 03:25
BNB Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	1	$182	189	+189	Down	+$7	05-05 05:15
eth updown 5m 1776746400	1	$175	177	+177	open	—	04-21 04:45
xrp updown 5m 1776628500	1	$174	176	+176	open	—	04-19 20:00
eth updown 5m 1776495000	1	$170	173	+173	open	—	04-18 06:55
hype updown 5m 1776440400	1	$169	171	+171	open	—	04-17 15:45
eth updown 5m 1776408900	1	$168	170	+170	open	—	04-17 07:00
bnb updown 5m 1776207900	1	$165	167	+167	open	—	04-14 23:10
doge updown 5m 1775990700	1	$163	165	+165	open	—	04-12 10:50
hype updown 5m 1776833400	1	$127	130	+130	open	—	04-22 04:55
BNB Up or Down - May 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	1	$104	105	+105	Up	+$1	05-05 06:00
hype updown 5m 1776297300	1	$94	95	+95	open	—	04-16 00:00
BNB Up or Down - May 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	1	$91	92	+92	open	—	05-17 03:00
BNB Up or Down - May 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	1	$88	102	+102	open	—	05-02 17:10
hype updown 5m 1775521500	1	$84	85	+85	open	—	04-07 00:30
hype updown 5m 1775414400	1	$83	84	+84	open	—	04-05 18:45
will bitcoin dip to 60k march 16 22	1	$83	84	+84	open	—	03-22 02:08
bitcoin above 90k on february 1	1	$83	83	+83	open	—	01-31 16:26
hype updown 5m 1775371500	3	$82	83	+83	open	—	04-05 06:50
will bitcoin dip to 66k on march 24	1	$42	43	+43	open	—	03-24 09:07
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	1	$40	40	+40	open	—	05-22 13:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 13:50:04	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x840c54…
05-17 12:20:05	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	627	99¢	$618	0xbcd3a4…
05-17 03:00:03	BNB Up or Down - May 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	92	99¢	$91	0xb50504…
05-16 10:25:14	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	275	99¢	$272	0xfb1c47…
05-15 23:05:04	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	560	88¢	$491	0xfce195…
05-13 14:55:04	BNB Up or Down - May 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xa30630…
05-13 13:15:03	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$19	0x2bf6a6…
05-11 03:25:04	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	195	99¢	$193	0xe02402…
05-10 13:40:05	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	559	99¢	$552	0x3142f7…
05-06 20:55:05	BNB Up or Down - May 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	554	99¢	$548	0x5d844e…
05-05 06:00:06	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0xf1e51d…
05-05 05:15:04	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	189	96¢	$182	0x6d9d29…
05-02 17:10:06	BNB Up or Down - May 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	102	86¢	$88	0xd8c38e…
04-24 17:05:04	sol updown 5m 1777050000	Down	BUY	510	95¢	$486	0x33609e…
04-22 20:30:04	hype updown 5m 1776889500	Up	BUY	498	97¢	$484	0x37e6e9…
04-22 08:40:14	hype updown 5m 1776846900	Down	BUY	221	98¢	$218	0x0e086a…
04-22 08:40:12	hype updown 5m 1776846900	Down	BUY	271	99¢	$268	0x2162e9…
04-22 04:55:04	hype updown 5m 1776833400	Up	BUY	130	98¢	$127	0xc97e4b…
04-21 04:45:04	eth updown 5m 1776746400	Up	BUY	177	99¢	$175	0x763491…
04-19 20:00:04	xrp updown 5m 1776628500	Down	BUY	176	99¢	$174	0x60994c…
04-18 06:55:04	eth updown 5m 1776495000	Up	BUY	173	98¢	$170	0x5e1900…
04-17 15:45:06	hype updown 5m 1776440400	Down	BUY	171	99¢	$169	0x145f50…
04-17 07:00:06	eth updown 5m 1776408900	Up	BUY	170	99¢	$168	0xe7f2d6…
04-16 00:00:06	hype updown 5m 1776297300	Up	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0xb5bcaa…
04-14 23:10:06	bnb updown 5m 1776207900	Down	BUY	167	99¢	$165	0xd8db5c…
04-12 10:50:05	doge updown 5m 1775990700	Down	BUY	165	99¢	$163	0x3de70a…
04-10 16:35:05	doge updown 5m 1775838600	Up	BUY	86	1¢	$1	0x99b19c…
04-07 00:30:05	hype updown 5m 1775521500	Down	BUY	85	99¢	$84	0x01bb4a…
04-06 02:45:05	hype updown 5m 1775443200	Down	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0xa634e0…
04-05 18:45:05	hype updown 5m 1775414400	Down	BUY	84	99¢	$83	0x4d024e…
04-05 06:50:05	hype updown 5m 1775371500	Down	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x9d5610…
04-05 06:50:05	hype updown 5m 1775371500	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x520f3c…
04-05 06:50:05	hype updown 5m 1775371500	Down	BUY	47	99¢	$46	0x3b6397…
03-24 09:07:03	will bitcoin dip to 66k on march 24	No	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0x2ab969…
03-22 02:08:31	will bitcoin dip to 60k march 16 22	No	BUY	84	99¢	$83	0xe3296b…
01-31 16:26:14	bitcoin above 90k on february 1	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x566379…