Winding-Will — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.2%

Resolved

303

Trades

303

lifetime

Volume

$3.36K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-26 04:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 222 days

Categories

Other

94% 100% +$6

Politics

6% 90% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$26	27	+27	No	-$26	05-15 05:05
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on May 2?	1	$26	26	+26	Yes	+$0	05-02 15:05
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$26	26	+26	No	+$0	04-30 08:53
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$26	26	+26	Yes	+$1	05-03 03:37
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$25	26	+26	Yes	+$0	04-29 13:03
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 28?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 08:42
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on April 27?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 01:48
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 27?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-27 14:17
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on April 26?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-27 02:10
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on April 26?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-26 10:28
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on April 25?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-25 15:16
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-24 09:09
highest temperature in tokyo on april 23 2026 19c	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-23 07:32
highest temperature in jakarta on april 22 2026 35c	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-22 10:20
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$24	25	+25	No	+$1	04-21 12:45
highest temperature in los angeles on april 20 2026 72 73f	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-21 01:29
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 20 2026 24c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-20 16:54
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 16c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-20 06:22
highest temperature in lucknow on april 19 2026 42c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-19 16:10
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 16c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-19 08:47
highest temperature in busan on april 18 2026 25corhigher	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-18 08:14
highest temperature in moscow on april 17 2026 12c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-17 15:55
highest temperature in wellington on april 17 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-17 09:41
highest temperature in ankara on april 16 2026 21c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-16 15:57
highest temperature in wellington on april 16 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-16 07:43
highest temperature in istanbul on april 15 2026 12c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-15 17:58
highest temperature in tokyo on april 15 2026 23c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-15 09:10
highest temperature in dallas on april 14 2026 82forhigher	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-15 03:51
highest temperature in jeddah on april 14 2026 32c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-14 16:25
highest temperature in wellington on april 14 2026 20c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-14 05:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 04:04:59	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8b131f…
10-24 06:44:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4fbbb8…
10-22 09:45:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe504ff…
10-20 04:32:21	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on October 20?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xaa43f6…
10-19 06:22:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 19?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0fada1…
10-18 05:41:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf91a85…
10-17 07:16:33	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x37048b…
10-16 04:31:00	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on October 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa89c13…
10-15 05:10:38	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8a43c7…
10-14 06:47:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x10f8e3…
10-13 13:26:35	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x66cad8…
10-13 01:05:20	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 12?	Yes	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xbc1a18…
10-12 01:06:23	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x820741…
10-11 01:06:02	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa21e35…
10-08 04:44:14	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 8?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfa7094…
10-07 08:46:29	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on October 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9f0c71…
10-06 14:59:17	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on October 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xcecb73…
10-06 05:15:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x75b16f…
10-04 07:51:14	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1fde9e…
10-03 00:47:30	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on October 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xdf6dce…
10-02 07:16:33	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xaaa4b7…
10-02 03:09:23	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x270644…
10-01 05:46:33	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x86c41c…
09-30 07:36:05	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6e7774…
09-29 06:41:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x952b44…
09-28 07:38:05	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x4ec39c…
09-27 10:41:39	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7de5e1…
09-26 08:23:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x81a475…
09-25 01:40:47	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x664c6d…
09-24 01:49:40	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5dda90…
09-23 05:10:43	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfca8fa…
09-22 01:06:31	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x68eeb9…
09-21 07:00:54	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or below on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xff8273…
09-20 02:13:12	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9e28d1…
09-19 05:39:42	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x001249…
09-18 09:48:45	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfdd378…
09-18 01:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6d33ba…
09-17 00:55:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x29b7f7…
09-16 07:12:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1cce86…
09-15 23:25:10	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4cfbd2…
09-15 01:03:33	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0ffcee…
09-14 00:45:37	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or below on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x64b4ff…
09-13 12:45:45	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2bb708…
09-12 03:30:54	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x79af61…
09-11 01:07:40	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa31d49…
09-10 01:24:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa4d739…
09-09 00:51:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa9b8c2…
09-08 01:02:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x76b6ea…
09-07 13:31:13	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf96d04…
09-07 01:39:27	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x20f308…
09-06 07:10:33	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or below on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdc9e06…
09-06 01:05:57	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x33d08f…
09-05 09:14:37	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7accfb…
09-04 08:11:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa7b2d4…
09-03 01:08:00	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd80639…
09-02 11:03:12	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x89f47c…
09-01 01:18:34	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe86633…
08-30 00:09:43	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9297f4…
08-29 05:45:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcb7e83…
08-28 01:23:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4432e8…
08-27 01:07:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaef429…
08-26 01:57:39	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa3f5f6…
08-25 01:04:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x157f46…
08-24 07:10:03	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb31582…
08-23 01:01:01	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9bcc20…
08-22 01:20:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x858eae…
08-21 01:13:52	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa24a30…
08-20 05:29:30	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7ca252…
08-19 00:23:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x407758…
08-18 00:10:31	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9717de…
08-17 05:09:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8d960f…
08-16 01:37:13	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x583e96…
08-15 01:16:30	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8301be…
08-14 01:17:49	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8ae5a8…
08-13 00:11:37	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4d2d61…
08-12 00:21:42	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xee3e88…
08-11 00:12:42	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x52f060…
08-10 00:16:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6ec5c1…
08-09 00:18:13	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4d45f8…
08-08 00:15:19	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3748da…
08-07 00:13:29	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x880d3b…
08-06 00:18:30	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x92362c…
08-05 00:24:47	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 4?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x51fd00…
08-04 00:24:29	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa2b482…
08-03 00:10:30	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x472eb7…
08-02 07:00:02	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xec509a…
08-02 00:13:44	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x40bfd1…
08-01 00:08:38	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C or higher on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x86d7dc…
07-31 00:59:00	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on July 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x40b105…
07-30 00:12:03	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x31b547…
07-29 00:11:49	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8129fa…
07-28 00:07:55	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x041c33…
07-27 01:17:33	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0d86dc…
07-26 08:38:16	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4b2c3a…
07-26 00:08:25	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x15b0ca…
07-25 00:24:09	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe6f84a…
07-24 01:13:34	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa64f5a…
07-23 00:26:13	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 98-99°F on July 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc37831…
07-22 09:41:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x84ca12…
07-22 01:23:39	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb07f21…