Carefree-Shrine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$371

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.9%

Resolved

939

Trades

3,483

lifetime

Volume

$15.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 10-27 21:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 147 days

Categories

Other

92% 29% +$240

Crypto

8% 55% -$36

Sports

0% 12% +$166

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	8	$460	2,359	1,257	+1,102	No	+$159	10-24 13:53
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 22?	14	$345	428	221	+208	Yes	+$52	06-22 15:50
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 13?	13	$287	238	238	+0	Yes	+$169	08-13 15:42
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 25?	7	$265	217	217	+0	No	+$14	06-25 13:44
Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	2	$258	200	200	+0	Yes	+$126	10-06 20:32
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 10?	5	$250	129	129	+0	Yes	+$4	06-10 17:17
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on August 26?	5	$250	200	200	+0	Yes	+$70	08-26 13:34
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 2?	10	$233	132	132	+0	Yes	+$27	06-02 09:46
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 27?	3	$226	200	200	+0	Yes	+$158	07-27 15:36
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 1?	5	$224	200	200	+0	Yes	+$168	09-01 16:30
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on August 24?	15	$223	250	250	+0	No	+$78	08-24 10:22
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 1?	15	$221	208	208	+0	Yes	+$191	09-01 15:36
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 11?	8	$219	153	153	+0	Yes	+$59	06-11 13:04
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C on October 19?	14	$199	225	225	+0	Yes	+$74	10-19 16:15
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 11?	9	$192	134	134	+0	Yes	+$28	06-11 19:03
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 25?	9	$176	106	106	+0	Yes	+$13	05-25 15:28
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 16?	11	$172	400	0	+400	No	-$172	09-16 13:59
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 22?	8	$170	593	93	+500	Yes	+$2	08-22 16:37
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on August 28?	5	$169	100	100	+0	Yes	+$31	08-28 18:21
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	3	$161	300	0	+300	Yes	+$139	10-26 16:06
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C or higher on May 28?	11	$153	150	150	+0	Yes	+$131	05-28 13:23
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 6?	2	$145	226	0	+226	Yes	-$145	10-06 12:19
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on August 29?	11	$141	103	103	+0	Yes	+$38	08-29 17:09
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 8?	17	$139	1,492	854	+638	No	+$22	07-08 20:47
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 8?	9	$131	150	150	+0	Yes	+$19	06-08 13:16
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on May 31?	4	$126	78	78	+0	Yes	+$26	05-31 15:25
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 21?	4	$120	110	110	+0	Yes	+$55	07-21 15:00
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 27?	5	$118	100	100	+0	Yes	+$20	07-27 14:40
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	6	$118	1,486	0	+1,486	No	-$118	10-26 22:29
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 23?	3	$116	100	100	+0	Yes	+$50	08-23 14:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 21:36:38	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x2f05e5…
10-27 14:34:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0xaf4aea…
10-27 14:30:56	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0xbe8d48…
10-27 14:30:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xd245fa…
10-27 14:30:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	150	1¢	$1	0xd7bc69…
10-27 14:25:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	84	7¢	$6	0x6e832e…
10-27 14:25:29	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xbd0622…
10-27 14:25:29	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0x90476d…
10-27 14:25:02	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xb660ca…
10-27 14:24:23	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0xb4a9d2…
10-27 14:24:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xd8dce7…
10-27 14:24:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x97ede1…
10-27 14:24:11	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0xac6b7c…
10-26 22:29:41	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	436	5¢	$21	0x0cc92e…
10-26 16:06:36	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	108	54¢	$58	0x554f74…
10-26 16:06:36	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x5090da…
10-26 16:06:36	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	189	54¢	$101	0x39bbe8…
10-26 16:00:26	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 26?	No	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xe17390…
10-26 15:57:21	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 26?	No	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0x7864e7…
10-26 15:57:15	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 26?	No	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xf74498…
10-26 15:41:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 26?	No	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x08139e…
10-26 15:35:29	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	35	6¢	$2	0x82aa75…
10-26 15:35:29	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	34	6¢	$2	0x791f30…
10-26 15:35:29	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	290	6¢	$18	0x74d6a7…
10-26 15:35:29	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	41	6¢	$3	0x5db787…
10-26 14:20:53	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	205	6¢	$13	0xbb0507…
10-26 14:20:53	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	201	6¢	$13	0x837fea…
10-26 14:20:53	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	94	6¢	$6	0x6eb6b3…
10-26 13:04:32	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x55f33d…
10-26 12:52:47	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	86	5¢	$4	0xf6362f…
10-26 12:33:20	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	14	10¢	$1	0x8b8e7a…
10-24 15:41:17	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 24?	No	BUY	82	4¢	$3	0xe21359…
10-24 15:40:26	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 24?	No	BUY	73	4¢	$3	0x71d7b5…
10-24 15:39:42	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 24?	No	BUY	126	4¢	$5	0xf98231…
10-24 15:36:27	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 24?	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x6e6664…
10-24 15:35:54	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 24?	No	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0x413e31…
10-24 15:35:35	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 24?	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xbe0f86…
10-24 15:32:39	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 24?	No	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0xe454ac…
10-24 15:21:41	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	38	10¢	$4	0x90ef3f…
10-24 15:20:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x174af6…
10-24 15:20:56	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	55	10¢	$6	0x69b698…
10-24 15:05:17	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	80	9¢	$7	0x548155…
10-24 15:04:51	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xab8137…
10-24 15:01:02	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x188d36…
10-24 15:00:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x070729…
10-24 13:53:24	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	1,102	25¢	$271	0x70f638…
10-24 13:41:27	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	155	25¢	$39	0x2e1ab3…
10-24 10:08:17	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	300	8¢	$24	0x6e5dcd…
10-23 16:27:30	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 23?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x8eee87…
10-23 16:22:57	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 23?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xae757c…
10-23 16:21:44	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 23?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xfdbc7d…
10-23 15:33:08	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 23?	No	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x0bd9bb…
10-23 15:33:06	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 23?	No	BUY	16	5¢	$1	0x5546de…
10-23 15:23:44	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 23?	No	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x1792cf…
10-23 06:52:35	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	250	16¢	$40	0x077c51…
10-22 11:34:02	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xde965d…
10-22 11:31:15	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x88993f…
10-22 11:20:48	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	64	0¢	$0	0x8bcf58…
10-22 11:20:48	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x4e2760…
10-22 11:20:48	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	26	0¢	$0	0x31f864…
10-22 11:20:48	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x01b158…
10-22 11:10:15	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x8a0ad9…
10-22 11:10:14	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	39	0¢	$0	0xe90418…
10-22 11:10:05	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xcedf54…
10-22 11:10:05	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0x33685b…
10-22 10:26:30	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x1d886b…
10-22 10:09:51	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	14	26¢	$4	0xf93c33…
10-22 10:09:50	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x85a4a3…
10-21 20:20:15	Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 2 - 0 RB Leipzig?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x27d64a…
10-21 16:02:21	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x04f531…
10-21 13:21:08	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	47	5¢	$2	0xd23b0e…
10-21 12:49:15	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x89fe04…
10-21 12:41:54	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x827bba…
10-21 12:36:15	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xc23725…
10-21 12:36:09	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	141	0¢	$0	0x3f304d…
10-21 11:17:59	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	220	2¢	$4	0x5a57f9…
10-20 21:57:20	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	48	3¢	$2	0x8cd82e…
10-20 21:49:33	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x4d472e…
10-20 21:48:29	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xbdcc82…
10-20 21:48:21	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xa93dbb…
10-20 18:17:42	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x055bb9…
10-20 18:17:39	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xf8f1be…
10-20 18:14:20	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xd89c34…
10-20 18:14:17	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x00e2bd…
10-20 17:51:59	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x10fc5a…
10-20 17:51:56	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xfdaf25…
10-20 16:57:24	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x203f6b…
10-20 16:55:26	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x001b92…
10-20 16:44:48	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x70d910…
10-20 16:31:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 20?	No	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0xad0a1a…
10-20 16:31:47	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 20?	No	SELL	34	0¢	$0	0xfc0f84…
10-20 16:03:51	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xcdef63…
10-20 16:03:51	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0x2f7a76…
10-20 16:03:50	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x7f0065…
10-20 15:23:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 20?	No	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0x10c263…
10-20 15:23:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 20?	No	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x739c8c…
10-20 15:23:11	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 20?	No	SELL	44	1¢	$0	0xca480e…
10-20 15:23:11	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 20?	No	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x966ae7…
10-20 13:54:44	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 20?	No	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0x04dd51…
10-20 13:50:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 20?	No	BUY	97	4¢	$4	0x6ea5af…