Rubbery-Paint — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.59K

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

72.2%

Resolved

125

Trades

10,689

lifetime

Volume

$475.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

$869

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-30 18:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Sports

78% 48% +$1,439

Other

19% 60% +$28

Politics

3% 100% +$120

Crypto

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 155 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	+811	$738	90¢	$729	$-9	06-29 13:36
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	+128	$91	56¢	$71	$-20	06-04 12:45
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	+68	$46	80¢	$54	+$8	06-04 09:43
Will Universitatea Craiova win Romania SuperLiga?	Yes	+15	$3	100¢	$15	+$12	04-04 04:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	24	$3.7K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	04-11 20:00
nba den mil 2026 01 23 assists jamal murray 8pt5	3	$2.4K	3,046	0	+3,046	open	—	01-24 02:03
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$2.1K	2,250	0	+2,250	open	—	04-11 11:14
Will Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	35	$2.1K	2,916	0	+2,916	No	+$788	05-01 16:03
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	17	$2.1K	2,250	0	+2,250	open	—	04-10 15:16
will germany reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120751	11	$1.9K	6,227	0	+6,227	open	—	06-27 09:04
Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	11	$1.8K	2,427	0	+2,427	open	—	06-04 10:24
will sweden qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	138	$1.8K	2,111	515	+1,597	open	—	03-26 07:04
will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	42	$1.7K	816	1,242	-426	open	—	01-29 02:24
will the los angeles rams be eliminated in the wild card round	3	$1.7K	1,710	0	+1,710	open	—	01-11 01:11
will switzerland reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120740	12	$1.7K	3,119	0	+3,119	open	—	06-29 19:43
will the team that wins the 2025 26 super bowl be from new yorknew jersey	10	$1.5K	1,577	0	+1,577	open	—	01-18 01:14
Will Philadelphia 76ers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	9	$1.5K	1,775	0	+1,775	open	—	05-02 13:14
NBA Playoffs: Rockets vs. Lakers Total Games O/U 5.5	10	$1.5K	2,709	0	+2,709	open	—	04-29 07:36
will turkey qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	32	$1.5K	2,633	700	+1,933	open	—	03-26 11:45
pro football championship santa clara shootout parlay	14	$1.5K	1,630	0	+1,630	open	—	02-08 22:56
will france reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134499	16	$1.5K	2,336	73	+2,263	open	—	06-29 23:18
Will Fenerbahçe win the Süper Lig?	5	$1.4K	1,838	0	+1,838	No	+$388	04-26 16:55
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	18	$1.4K	1,500	0	+1,500	open	—	04-24 16:01
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	25	$1.4K	2,068	0	+2,068	open	—	04-14 11:18
Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	9	$1.4K	1,500	0	+1,500	No	+$72	04-23 12:54
will largbbufsflachou win their 2026 nfl wild card round games	3	$1.4K	1,661	0	+1,661	open	—	01-11 04:36
will algeria reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120773	5	$1.4K	3,457	0	+3,457	open	—	06-28 05:54
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	18	$1.4K	746	1,446	-700	open	—	01-28 21:08
epl ars che 2026 03 01 ags martin odegaard	1	$1.3K	1,321	0	+1,321	open	—	03-01 15:17
will france reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149741	19	$1.3K	2,465	0	+2,465	open	—	06-29 03:34
Will Midtjylland win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	3	$1.2K	1,288	0	+1,288	open	—	03-12 10:47
will mexico reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134467	10	$1.2K	1,684	0	+1,684	open	—	06-17 12:55
Will Wrexham be promoted to the EPL?	3	$1.2K	1,365	0	+1,365	open	—	04-25 01:43
enhanced aca premium tax credits extended by january 31	10	$1.2K	560	808	-248	open	—	01-17 03:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 18:37:26	will brazil reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134475	Yes	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x436731…
06-30 17:41:11	will brazil reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134475	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x932a8d…
06-30 17:40:05	will brazil reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134475	No	BUY	35	37¢	$13	0x8613d3…
06-30 17:39:23	will brazil reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134475	No	BUY	85	37¢	$31	0xd6ae59…
06-30 17:36:41	will brazil reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134475	Yes	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0xe6ecf4…
06-30 17:36:32	will brazil reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134475	Yes	BUY	40	64¢	$26	0x175561…
06-30 17:35:34	will brazil reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134475	Yes	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0xf38305…
06-30 17:35:26	will brazil reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134475	Yes	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0xc1933f…
06-30 16:59:04	will erling haaland score 6 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611154419438	No	BUY	200	45¢	$90	0xc8c948…
06-30 16:56:31	will erling haaland score 6 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611154419438	No	BUY	400	45¢	$180	0x963a00…
06-30 16:48:14	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the ivory coast vs norway fifa world cup match 20260629195140037	Yes	BUY	147	66¢	$97	0x58559c…
06-30 16:31:32	will england reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134511	Yes	BUY	12	60¢	$8	0x5b4f98…
06-30 16:05:13	will england reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134511	Yes	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0xe4b449…
06-30 16:05:13	will england reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134511	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x5326df…
06-30 11:16:05	will england reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134511	Yes	BUY	600	60¢	$360	0xf5a1a0…
06-30 08:45:58	will spain reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120763	Yes	BUY	500	83¢	$415	0x092e4a…
06-30 04:48:34	will belgium reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120759	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x14c487…
06-30 04:08:35	will canada reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134471	No	BUY	24	70¢	$17	0x96786e…
06-30 04:08:25	will canada reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134471	No	BUY	56	69¢	$38	0x3f8220…
06-30 04:05:13	will canada reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134471	No	BUY	147	70¢	$103	0x0af53a…
06-30 04:01:58	will cristiano ronaldo score 3 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406404	No	BUY	37	30¢	$11	0xe74c76…
06-30 03:54:02	will teun koopmeiners score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	85	98¢	$83	0xc6e5ff…
06-30 03:53:56	will frenkie de jong score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x03fe78…
06-30 03:53:52	will denzel dumfries score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	43	97¢	$42	0x67d955…
06-30 03:20:53	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343712	No	BUY	56	20¢	$11	0x5d027c…
06-30 00:27:38	will the announcers say what a save during netherlands vs morocco 20260628222742649	Yes	BUY	19	20¢	$4	0xc224c1…
06-30 00:27:38	will the announcers say what a save during netherlands vs morocco 20260628222742649	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x3c3a9f…
06-30 00:27:35	will the announcers say what a save during netherlands vs morocco 20260628222742649	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xbb4720…
06-30 00:27:35	will the announcers say what a save during netherlands vs morocco 20260628222742649	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x332da1…
06-30 00:27:35	will the announcers say what a save during netherlands vs morocco 20260628222742649	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x3285a1…
06-30 00:27:35	will the announcers say what a save during netherlands vs morocco 20260628222742649	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x21d9bc…
06-30 00:17:49	will the announcers say what a save during netherlands vs morocco 20260628222742649	Yes	BUY	175	21¢	$37	0x5084fa…
06-29 23:24:20	will florian wirtz score 2 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145452360	No	BUY	374	97¢	$363	0x747323…
06-29 23:21:44	will nick woltemade score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	944	90¢	$849	0xe5db03…
06-29 23:19:05	will nick woltemade score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x10d54e…
06-29 23:18:38	will france reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134499	Yes	BUY	200	72¢	$144	0xcf01a1…
06-29 22:48:16	will france reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134499	Yes	BUY	300	69¢	$206	0x0fc548…
06-29 22:47:05	will france reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134499	Yes	BUY	200	68¢	$136	0x84b0c9…
06-29 22:45:19	will germany reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134483	Yes	BUY	60	33¢	$20	0x5134a7…
06-29 22:37:56	will cristiano ronaldo score 3 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406404	No	BUY	300	31¢	$93	0x538f9e…
06-29 22:31:37	will france reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134499	Yes	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0xb2cfaf…
06-29 22:31:35	will france reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134499	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x33e635…
06-29 21:49:31	will france reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134499	Yes	SELL	50	68¢	$34	0xf2678e…
06-29 21:47:59	will france reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134499	Yes	SELL	23	68¢	$16	0xacada7…
06-29 21:36:31	will netherlands reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149729	Yes	BUY	17	22¢	$4	0x483dc3…
06-29 21:26:01	will paraguay reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120749	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xbad00f…
06-29 21:24:46	will paraguay reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120749	Yes	BUY	7	34¢	$3	0x77c7b6…
06-29 21:12:38	will france reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134499	Yes	BUY	1,000	67¢	$670	0xf24bc7…
06-29 19:43:56	will switzerland reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120740	No	BUY	400	31¢	$124	0xd16013…
06-29 18:47:19	will japan reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120756	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x2bcb10…
06-29 18:43:43	will switzerland reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120740	No	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xe65ac4…
06-29 18:22:50	will brazil reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134475	Yes	BUY	41	39¢	$16	0x9aaca1…
06-29 18:22:44	will brazil reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134475	Yes	BUY	60	41¢	$25	0x5c2821…
06-29 18:22:44	will brazil reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134475	Yes	BUY	40	41¢	$16	0x4d14b5…
06-29 18:21:38	will brazil reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134475	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x8cbd7f…
06-29 18:21:37	will brazil reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134475	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x85b9e2…
06-29 18:21:22	will brazil reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134475	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xdf0e64…
06-29 18:21:20	will brazil reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134475	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x7cb79e…
06-29 18:21:16	will brazil reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134475	Yes	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x12965f…
06-29 18:21:07	will brazil reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134475	Yes	BUY	13	41¢	$5	0x31f4c4…
06-29 18:21:04	will brazil reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134475	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x380eba…
06-29 18:20:53	will brazil reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134475	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xcc52fa…
06-29 18:20:53	will brazil reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134475	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x97afa3…
06-29 18:20:41	will brazil reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134475	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x442af5…
06-29 18:20:37	will brazil reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134475	Yes	BUY	32	45¢	$15	0xc928f3…
06-29 18:18:50	will norway reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134501	No	BUY	500	67¢	$335	0xb68f51…
06-29 18:18:14	will norway reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134501	No	BUY	415	64¢	$266	0xbadc96…
06-29 18:12:37	will switzerland reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120740	No	BUY	145	31¢	$45	0xc41d4d…
06-29 18:01:04	will ivory coast reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134485	Yes	BUY	70	10¢	$7	0xa44b17…
06-29 17:57:31	will ivory coast reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134485	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xa70626…
06-29 17:48:46	will japan reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120756	Yes	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0xe5d30e…
06-29 17:48:35	will japan reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120756	Yes	BUY	235	55¢	$129	0x870cf8…
06-29 17:29:58	will ivory coast reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134485	Yes	BUY	141	12¢	$17	0x8bd086…
06-29 17:29:43	will norway reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134501	Yes	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0x5bcf8c…
06-29 17:29:14	will croatia reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120780	No	BUY	55	66¢	$36	0x9408d7…
06-29 17:29:13	will croatia reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120780	No	BUY	111	66¢	$73	0x4c2545…
06-29 17:29:13	will croatia reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120780	No	BUY	111	66¢	$73	0x290d16…
06-29 17:29:11	will croatia reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120780	No	BUY	111	66¢	$73	0x8be45e…
06-29 17:29:08	will croatia reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120780	No	BUY	111	66¢	$73	0x31c335…
06-29 17:27:19	will switzerland reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120740	No	BUY	192	31¢	$60	0x3b6ef7…
06-29 16:52:10	will croatia reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120780	No	BUY	1	66¢	$0	0x0178d9…
06-29 16:42:50	will croatia reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120780	No	BUY	300	66¢	$198	0xabef03…
06-29 15:43:14	will croatia reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120780	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x9343a9…
06-29 15:40:43	will croatia reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120780	No	BUY	61	67¢	$41	0x84c178…
06-29 15:11:22	will the announcers say var or video assisted referee during brazil vs japan 20260628222111473	Yes	BUY	21	87¢	$18	0xdeb301…
06-29 15:08:26	will the announcers say champion during brazil vs japan 20260628222111479	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x06e038…
06-29 15:05:04	will the announcers say champion during brazil vs japan 20260628222111479	Yes	BUY	21	84¢	$18	0xf9e126…
06-29 14:08:40	will croatia reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120780	No	BUY	16	67¢	$11	0xf0facd…
06-29 13:36:49	Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xb1f81e…
06-29 13:16:23	will ghana reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120782	No	BUY	144	76¢	$110	0xb26c22…
06-29 12:53:17	will colombia reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120776	Yes	BUY	363	77¢	$280	0xc3f8a0…
06-29 12:25:04	will colombia reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120776	Yes	BUY	22	77¢	$17	0x09b961…
06-29 12:08:53	will switzerland reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120740	No	BUY	400	31¢	$124	0x0825ee…
06-29 05:11:22	will vinicius jrpt score 6 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145257762	No	BUY	23	51¢	$12	0x41c17f…
06-29 04:49:25	will colombia reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120776	Yes	BUY	15	77¢	$11	0x0e22dd…
06-29 04:44:49	will morocco reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134476	No	BUY	333	70¢	$233	0xff4038…
06-29 04:22:11	will netherlands reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120755	No	BUY	272	38¢	$103	0xf0c941…
06-29 04:18:20	will netherlands reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120755	No	BUY	32	38¢	$12	0x40f689…
06-29 04:07:08	will netherlands reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120755	No	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x0ebbd7…
06-29 04:05:40	will netherlands reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120755	No	BUY	48	38¢	$18	0x246d20…