Raw-Noir — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$100

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.1%

Resolved

130

Trades

365

lifetime

Volume

$1.62K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-13 06:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 44% $-100

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 114 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	7	$43	113	113	+0	Up	+$23	05-07 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	3	$43	81	81	+0	Up	+$3	05-06 06:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	5	$42	56	56	+0	Down	+$22	05-07 05:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	2	$40	47	47	+0	Down	+$10	05-06 07:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	6	$39	90	90	+0	Down	+$9	05-13 05:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	2	$37	182	182	+0	Down	+$9	05-06 06:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	4	$37	117	27	+90	Down	$-9	05-06 07:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	2	$36	42	42	+0	Up	+$6	05-06 07:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	5	$35	60	60	+0	Down	+$9	05-07 11:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	4	$32	56	42	+14	Up	+$8	05-07 06:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	4	$32	45	45	+0	Down	+$12	05-07 09:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	5	$28	43	43	+0	Up	+$14	05-05 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	4	$27	85	66	+19	Up	+$5	05-07 04:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	6	$27	43	43	+0	Down	+$11	05-06 04:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	3	$27	40	40	+0	Down	+$11	05-07 08:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	2	$24	43	43	+0	Down	+$4	05-06 07:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	7	$24	29	27	+3	Up	+$6	05-05 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	4	$24	28	28	+0	Down	+$10	05-05 09:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	4	$23	93	24	+69	Down	$-3	05-13 05:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	5	$21	185	185	+0	Down	$-5	05-07 11:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	2	$21	30	30	+0	Down	+$5	05-07 04:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	4	$21	35	35	+0	Up	+$5	05-06 05:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	2	$20	35	35	+0	Up	+$8	05-09 06:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	5	$20	55	32	+23	Up	+$4	05-05 10:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	3	$20	15	15	+0	Up	+$10	05-05 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	3	$20	69	69	+0	Up	+$6	05-07 09:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	3	$19	151	151	+0	Down	$-1	05-07 07:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	3	$19	147	0	+147	Down	$-19	05-09 06:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	3	$19	101	0	+101	Up	$-19	05-06 08:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	3	$18	213	0	+213	Down	$-18	05-13 05:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 06:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xaa431d…
05-13 06:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x58f1f9…
05-13 06:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	8	34¢	$3	0xe8d0f6…
05-13 06:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xabf6ac…
05-13 05:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	11	55¢	$6	0x0352a3…
05-13 05:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xd1c496…
05-13 05:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	54¢	$1	0x879565…
05-13 05:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x5b57f7…
05-13 05:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xe1f941…
05-13 05:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	26	5¢	$1	0x7f820c…
05-13 05:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x8404ef…
05-13 05:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xfca0e7…
05-13 05:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x2b7b83…
05-13 05:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x24ddf2…
05-13 05:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	38	21¢	$8	0x8e4aa9…
05-13 05:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xfe4823…
05-13 05:26:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	22	16¢	$4	0xaaaae2…
05-13 05:25:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xe9e071…
05-13 05:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	27	29¢	$8	0x1976cc…
05-13 05:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	41	31¢	$13	0xc5b9d9…
05-13 05:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x191747…
05-13 05:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	40	20¢	$8	0x3f2b19…
05-13 05:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xdfcdc0…
05-13 05:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	39	8¢	$3	0x97d040…
05-13 05:08:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x87286c…
05-13 05:04:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	24	42¢	$10	0x26f560…
05-13 05:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x82e9c9…
05-13 04:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xf4edee…
05-13 04:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x206860…
05-13 04:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	19	15¢	$3	0x45a5ce…
05-13 04:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x2cc32e…
05-09 07:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x169e0a…
05-09 07:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	29	21¢	$6	0xe01650…
05-09 07:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0xaa426b…
05-09 07:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	18	10¢	$2	0x6005d1…
05-09 07:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	133	3¢	$4	0x2aad05…
05-09 07:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xf1fd7b…
05-09 07:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0xe3af47…
05-09 06:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x0a2f77…
05-09 06:52:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	22	19¢	$4	0x880757…
05-09 06:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x684d1d…
05-09 06:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	35	41¢	$14	0xcfeed4…
05-09 06:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	35	17¢	$6	0xf454e7…
05-09 06:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	25	44¢	$11	0xe0cc99…
05-09 06:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0x36bcd8…
05-09 06:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	89	1¢	$1	0x4aac8c…
05-09 06:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x11021c…
05-09 06:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x2e746d…
05-09 06:37:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	27	15¢	$4	0x59a779…
05-09 06:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x5ecb1f…
05-09 06:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xf2be90…
05-09 06:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x915b56…
05-09 06:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0xf3e444…
05-09 06:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xdcd299…
05-09 06:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xc9b365…
05-09 05:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xdb1639…
05-07 13:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x5066e1…
05-07 13:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x8aff18…
05-07 13:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x928279…
05-07 13:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xa87bf8…
05-07 13:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x4381b9…
05-07 12:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0xa01229…
05-07 12:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x3c8564…
05-07 12:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	23	45¢	$10	0xa64ae6…
05-07 12:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xb4eb99…
05-07 12:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x4973d4…
05-07 12:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x765a05…
05-07 11:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	35	6¢	$2	0xb37f27…
05-07 11:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	150	4¢	$6	0x4a02b9…
05-07 11:51:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x04c13f…
05-07 11:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x60c284…
05-07 11:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x36d239…
05-07 11:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xba877b…
05-07 11:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0xbd4f0b…
05-07 11:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x4468d0…
05-07 11:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xfb127f…
05-07 11:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	24	43¢	$10	0x36d437…
05-07 11:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x4a11ec…
05-07 11:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	37	33¢	$12	0x96a125…
05-07 11:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xf131de…
05-07 11:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x360a01…
05-07 10:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	19	50¢	$9	0x64739c…
05-07 10:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xb3abc1…
05-07 09:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	69	18¢	$13	0x900114…
05-07 09:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x5a4c43…
05-07 09:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x43a333…
05-07 09:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	25	42¢	$10	0x5f06f5…
05-07 09:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xf0c89c…
05-07 09:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0x145621…
05-07 09:31:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xae3115…
05-07 09:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x4d0fa7…
05-07 09:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x3b5ed3…
05-07 09:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xac9f3f…
05-07 09:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	46	9¢	$4	0x8f7d9c…
05-07 09:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0xda9088…
05-07 09:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x4645ae…
05-07 08:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x2bcf03…
05-07 08:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x544359…
05-07 08:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	23	36¢	$8	0xc917bd…
05-07 08:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0xa2bf3b…