Esteemed-Insurgence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$978

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.8%

Resolved

1,592

Trades

2,525

lifetime

Volume

$26.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-26 20:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 138 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 63% -$1,015

Sports

3% 45% +$44

Other

2% 47% -$15

Politics

0% 100% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 02:10 UTC	3	$402	348	173	+175	Down	+$41	03-23 02:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 04:55 UTC	2	$312	311	307	+4	Up	-$83	03-23 04:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 05:30 UTC	2	$256	155	153	+2	Down	+$31	03-21 05:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 17:55 UTC	2	$251	135	135	+0	Down	+$16	03-23 18:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 07:15 UTC	4	$241	173	171	+2	Up	-$8	03-24 07:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 05:00 UTC	2	$237	126	126	+0	Up	+$12	03-23 05:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 17:50 UTC	2	$233	119	119	+0	Up	+$2	03-23 17:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 04:20 UTC	2	$230	119	119	+0	Up	+$6	03-21 04:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 18:25 UTC	2	$208	115	115	+0	Down	+$13	03-23 18:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 17:45 UTC	2	$202	120	119	+1	Up	+$30	03-23 17:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 06:50 UTC	2	$193	168	167	+1	Up	-$83	03-24 06:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 18:20 UTC	2	$189	99	99	+0	Down	+$7	03-23 18:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 04:40 UTC	1	$185	197	0	+197	Down	+$13	03-23 04:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 01:40 UTC	2	$185	113	112	+1	Down	+$32	03-23 01:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 04:25 UTC	1	$172	185	0	+185	Up	+$13	03-23 04:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 18:15 UTC	2	$165	93	92	+1	Up	+$18	03-23 18:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 05:30 UTC	2	$158	88	88	+0	Down	+$9	03-23 05:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 07:25 UTC	3	$157	157	93	+64	Up	-$65	03-24 07:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 21:35 UTC	2	$146	175	173	+3	Up	-$28	03-23 21:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 05:40 UTC	2	$143	73	73	+0	Up	+$1	03-24 05:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 19:40 UTC	1	$141	150	0	+150	Down	+$9	03-23 19:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 17:40 UTC	2	$139	79	79	+1	Down	+$13	03-24 17:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 21:45 UTC	2	$131	88	87	+1	Down	+$16	03-23 21:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 07:20 UTC	2	$130	67	67	+0	Up	+$2	03-24 07:25
nba tor uta 2026 03 23	2	$127	75	75	+0	Raptors	+$7	03-24 02:06
nba hou chi 2026 03 23	2	$127	110	110	+0	Bulls	-$6	03-24 02:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 05:20 UTC	2	$125	75	74	+1	Down	+$18	03-24 05:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 19:55 UTC	3	$125	115	51	+64	Up	-$38	03-24 19:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 03:30 UTC	2	$125	72	72	+0	Down	+$10	03-21 03:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 05:05 UTC	1	$124	140	0	+140	Up	-$124	03-23 05:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 20:48:09	Wizards vs. Hornets	Wizards	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xf17aa5…
10-26 20:48:02	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x7f15e7…
10-26 20:40:18	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe9597e…
10-26 20:40:08	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x62fce0…
10-26 20:40:03	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	507	0¢	$1	0x1db098…
10-26 20:39:38	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	12	7¢	$1	0x39acb5…
10-26 20:39:20	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	18	23¢	$4	0x9d4035…
10-26 20:17:35	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xba5e86…
10-26 20:11:06	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x0a72ab…
10-26 20:10:53	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0x830244…
10-26 20:10:35	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x745aa1…
10-26 20:10:18	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x272286…
10-26 20:10:09	Sioux Falls: Timo Legout vs Andrew Fenty	Timo Legout	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0xf10b29…
10-26 17:47:27	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$1	0x0283a2…
10-26 17:46:54	Mensik vs. Neumayer: Match O/U 21.5	Under	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xe3bd75…
10-26 17:12:24	Sioux Falls: Timo Legout vs Andrew Fenty	Timo Legout	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x847c5f…
10-26 17:12:03	Mensik vs. Neumayer: Match O/U 21.5	Under	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x8357c3…
10-26 17:08:48	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x7d36e9…
10-26 17:07:54	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x56c772…
10-26 17:06:59	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	700	0¢	$1	0x466835…
10-26 16:56:14	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0xc253e7…
10-25 21:58:45	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	17	42¢	$7	0x6eaf4b…
10-25 12:09:21	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	17	21¢	$4	0xc80f08…
10-25 12:08:53	Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Daniel Altmaier	Daniel Altmaier	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xe407d7…
10-25 05:11:26	Lakers vs. Jazz	Lakers	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x7b9ac4…
10-25 05:10:51	Japan Women's Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Katerina Siniakova	Katerina Siniakova	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x28551c…
10-25 03:10:23	Warriors vs. Suns	Warriors	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x50806f…
10-25 03:10:14	Pelicans vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xcbe947…
10-25 03:09:53	Warriors vs. Suns	Warriors	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x25b618…
10-24 12:03:29	Will Walker Kessler win the 2026-27 NBA Most Improved Player?	Yes	BUY	32	6¢	$2	0x10e408…
10-24 01:58:38	Pelicans vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xb18fe6…
10-24 01:56:30	Pistons vs. Heat	Pistons	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x4332ae…
10-23 23:51:48	Clippers vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x0954f8…
10-23 23:51:27	Pistons vs. Heat	Pistons	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x9b407e…
10-23 23:50:47	Knicks vs. Celtics	Knicks	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x53c825…
10-23 12:24:27	European Open: Clement Chidekh vs Francisco Cerundolo	Francisco Cerundolo	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0xa71b5e…
10-23 10:11:08	Ningbo Open: Iva Jovic vs Diana Shnaider	Iva Jovic	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x5e8c78…
10-23 10:07:39	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	33	23¢	$8	0xe0dce9…
10-23 08:41:30	Japan Women's Open: Katie Boulter vs Antonia Ruzic	Antonia Ruzic	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x214ab7…
10-23 07:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x070e7e…
10-23 04:12:33	Spread: Thunder (-9.5)	Nuggets	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xfd42a8…
10-23 03:57:48	Nuggets vs. Thunder	Nuggets	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x6477a5…
10-23 02:54:56	Will Aday Mara win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x57d01c…
10-23 02:54:48	Will Aday Mara win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	BUY	104	2¢	$2	0x66a8e9…
10-23 02:31:12	Will CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xe93a81…
10-23 02:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xd25a8d…
10-23 01:55:17	Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xbd6f91…
10-23 01:41:48	Nuggets vs. Thunder	Nuggets	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x5a7b2c…
10-23 01:41:39	Spread: 76ers (-6.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x8e86a3…
10-23 01:40:48	Will CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xbb0e9d…
10-23 01:39:20	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	76ers	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0x0b9f63…
10-23 01:05:21	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x07782c…
10-22 23:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x8c46f9…
10-22 22:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x210314…
10-22 22:34:20	Nuggets vs. Thunder	Nuggets	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x857d3f…
10-22 22:33:48	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x94c2ba…
10-21 06:48:42	Almaty Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Tomas Etcheverry	Tomas Etcheverry	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x003665…
10-21 06:14:14	Guangzhou 2: Jay Dylan Friend vs James McCabe	James McCabe	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x8175c5…
10-21 05:44:08	Ningbo Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Anastasia Zakharova	Anastasia Zakharova	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x4bd3ca…
10-21 00:11:11	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x78fdc4…
10-20 22:19:33	Cali: Matias Soto vs Samuel Heredia	Matias Soto	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x87ad64…
10-20 22:16:26	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x07b6ca…
10-20 18:35:44	Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Clement Tabur	Luca Van Assche	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x200abb…
10-20 18:34:09	Fort Worth: Aidan Mayo vs Colton Smith	Colton Smith	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xc686ea…
10-20 18:32:32	Celtics vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x1eca66…
10-20 10:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x470c76…
10-20 10:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x62bc47…
10-20 09:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x2f6ba5…
10-20 09:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd5fec9…
10-20 08:58:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xbf6dde…
10-20 08:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x761bb1…
10-20 07:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xeb919c…
10-20 07:27:08	Ningbo Open: Sara Bejlek vs Alycia Parks	Alycia Parks	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0xd438cb…
10-20 06:32:17	Ningbo Open: Sara Bejlek vs Alycia Parks	Alycia Parks	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x77aabb…
10-19 09:35:15	Mannarino vs. Vukic: Match O/U 23.5	Over	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x42981e…
10-18 23:22:39	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	33	21¢	$7	0x51d809…
10-18 19:25:14	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO5) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs	FURIA	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x89824e…
10-17 18:31:26	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	41	23¢	$9	0xb95814…
10-12 21:15:36	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	41	13¢	$5	0x23781f…
10-10 18:12:57	FC Barcelona vs. Getafe CF: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xfc219c…
10-08 22:10:17	76ers vs. Nets	76ers	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x37fad2…
10-08 22:10:02	76ers vs. Nets	76ers	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xb1b994…
10-08 22:09:29	Will Grêmio Novorizontino win on 2026-10-08?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x5ca2b0…
10-06 19:31:24	Moldova vs. Slovakia: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xa2fafb…
10-06 14:53:18	Villena: Daniil Glinka vs Gauthier Onclin	Gauthier Onclin	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xc725b4…
10-06 12:14:55	Samsun: Aysegul Mert vs Viktoria Hruncakova	Viktoria Hruncakova	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x123b62…
10-06 11:55:19	Samsun: Antonia Ruzic vs Alicia Dudeney	Alicia Dudeney	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xcd5ef1…
10-06 00:32:13	Solana Up or Down - October 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xaa03e3…
10-05 21:06:16	Grizzlies vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x50e17d…
10-05 21:05:32	Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe22d7f…
10-05 20:35:19	Lakers vs. Kings	Lakers	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xe079a9…
10-05 19:10:53	Will France vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xf848af…
10-05 19:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xb0955b…
10-05 18:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xef9f34…
10-05 18:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x5396a7…
10-05 18:52:44	atp monteir moeller 2026 10 05	Elmer Moeller	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xbe40a6…
10-05 17:00:41	atp forejte kopp 2026 10 05	Jonas Forejtek	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x5fa4c2…
10-05 16:12:38	Villena: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Luca Nardi	Pablo Llamas Ruiz	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xe809be…
10-05 16:12:14	Braga: Thiago Monteiro vs Elmer Moeller	Elmer Moeller	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x26ea78…
10-05 12:59:28	China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev	Novak Djokovic	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa3f8aa…