Knotty-Reciprocity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$635

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.7%

Resolved

190

Trades

298

lifetime

Volume

$3.34K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 05-12 06:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 55% $-635

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	1	$300	651	0	+651	Up	$-300	05-10 13:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$230	138	138	+0	Up	+$30	05-08 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	2	$179	101	101	+0	Down	+$19	05-10 16:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	1	$160	417	0	+417	Up	$-160	05-10 13:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	2	$115	75	75	+0	Up	+$35	05-09 23:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	1	$100	137	0	+137	Down	+$37	05-10 13:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	1	$80	250	0	+250	Down	$-80	05-08 13:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	1	$80	128	0	+128	Down	$-80	05-08 13:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	1	$80	143	0	+143	Up	$-80	05-10 13:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	2	$80	145	0	+145	Up	$-80	05-10 22:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	3	$66	66	66	+0	Up	+$26	05-06 18:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	2	$48	35	35	+0	Down	+$8	05-09 18:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	1	$44	65	0	+65	Up	+$21	05-08 13:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	4	$42	30	30	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$40	38	38	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 20:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	1	$40	62	0	+62	Up	$-40	05-10 16:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	1	$40	63	0	+63	Up	$-40	05-10 13:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$40	74	0	+74	Down	+$34	05-09 15:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	1	$30	44	0	+44	Down	+$14	05-10 13:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	1	$30	80	0	+80	Up	$-30	05-10 12:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	1	$30	42	0	+42	Up	+$12	05-10 01:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$28	43	0	+43	Up	+$15	05-10 01:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$28	20	20	+0	Up	+$8	05-10 20:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$27	19	19	+0	Up	+$5	05-08 13:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$26	59	13	+46	Down	$-14	05-09 20:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	2	$26	17	17	+0	Down	+$6	05-08 14:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	4	$25	21	21	+0	Down	+$3	05-06 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$24	14	14	+0	Down	+$4	05-10 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	1	$24	47	0	+47	Up	+$23	05-08 16:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	2	$24	22	22	+0	Up	+$4	05-10 19:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 06:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x4267d0…
05-12 06:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xf88c5c…
05-11 20:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x8eb8ce…
05-11 07:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x3ff8c5…
05-11 07:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x26d746…
05-10 23:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x1ec581…
05-10 22:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xeaacdb…
05-10 22:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x3ccc0c…
05-10 22:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x5c6d29…
05-10 22:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x56e34e…
05-10 22:21:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0x786368…
05-10 22:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0xcbd161…
05-10 22:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	73	55¢	$40	0xdc81cc…
05-10 22:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	73	55¢	$40	0x0e2fea…
05-10 22:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x407b6c…
05-10 22:02:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x894636…
05-10 20:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x85a8b8…
05-10 20:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x228cca…
05-10 20:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x6bbcce…
05-10 20:38:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	38	53¢	$20	0x30bebe…
05-10 20:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x3b8666…
05-10 20:33:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x3f0cce…
05-10 20:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x9bbdf2…
05-10 20:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x0abbf7…
05-10 20:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x4b3a4f…
05-10 20:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x8a128f…
05-10 20:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xcb9d3e…
05-10 19:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x968f09…
05-10 19:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x589c6f…
05-10 19:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	22	63¢	$14	0x14842b…
05-10 19:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x57c79e…
05-10 19:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x502c4c…
05-10 18:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf956a5…
05-10 18:52:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	42	23¢	$9	0x73a46a…
05-10 18:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x91c55f…
05-10 18:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x9efa6a…
05-10 18:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x8f0a17…
05-10 18:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x6dadeb…
05-10 17:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x1a72ac…
05-10 17:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x988b8f…
05-10 17:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0x4e2e69…
05-10 17:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x577914…
05-10 16:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x776dca…
05-10 16:37:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xaaf6af…
05-10 16:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xbb61e6…
05-10 16:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x0f918b…
05-10 16:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xa430d1…
05-10 16:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xedb7bf…
05-10 16:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x5e92c6…
05-10 16:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	101	98¢	$99	0xc03c20…
05-10 16:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	101	79¢	$80	0xa04f82…
05-10 16:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	62	64¢	$40	0x6965ad…
05-10 16:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xf8b610…
05-10 15:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xe0cf79…
05-10 15:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x38dc00…
05-10 15:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	34	1¢	$0	0x0504aa…
05-10 15:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x590d8c…
05-10 15:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x515763…
05-10 14:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x1fd7f4…
05-10 13:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	44	69¢	$30	0x916d43…
05-10 13:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x775e0c…
05-10 13:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x6bc9de…
05-10 13:25:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	651	46¢	$300	0x042d05…
05-10 13:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	417	38¢	$160	0xca4a98…
05-10 13:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	143	56¢	$80	0x1ddaa2…
05-10 13:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	63	63¢	$40	0x3474e9…
05-10 13:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x30dc97…
05-10 12:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	80	38¢	$30	0x477b86…
05-10 12:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x08d9aa…
05-10 12:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xe7a0af…
05-10 11:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x01f0df…
05-10 11:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x0aa228…
05-10 11:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x02a9a3…
05-10 11:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xda153a…
05-10 11:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x8b6292…
05-10 11:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x287f30…
05-10 11:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xc9f9a4…
05-10 11:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xad6fed…
05-10 01:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xf5cd7f…
05-10 01:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0xf05bec…
05-10 01:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0xf795a6…
05-10 01:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0x0fa90f…
05-10 01:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x8bf2e1…
05-10 01:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x154ae8…
05-10 00:05:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xa0261d…
05-09 23:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xe0790d…
05-09 23:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	75	99¢	$75	0x3373d1…
05-09 23:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	75	53¢	$40	0x92c788…
05-09 23:25:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x545b2f…
05-09 23:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x6106e7…
05-09 23:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x295d45…
05-09 22:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x89132e…
05-09 22:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x5a5247…
05-09 22:51:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xf99fc7…
05-09 22:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	38¢	$2	0x3def89…
05-09 22:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x444251…
05-09 20:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x56a5d4…
05-09 20:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	11	49¢	$5	0xdf2675…
05-09 20:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xb9f558…
05-09 20:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	13	49¢	$6	0xce0276…