Adept-Afterthought — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.0%

Resolved

Trades

374

lifetime

Volume

$3.69K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 06-13 11:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 77% $-7

Other

16% 85% +$9

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5AM ET	17	$336	215	215	+0	Down	+$4	05-08 10:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3PM ET	8	$113	63	63	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 19:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$109	62	62	+0	open	—	05-20 14:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	2	$102	53	53	+0	open	—	05-19 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	2	$101	52	52	+0	open	—	05-19 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	2	$101	57	57	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 09:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	3	$94	183	47	+136	open	—	05-23 11:17
bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 3am et	3	$80	45	36	+9	open	—	06-12 07:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$75	81	0	+81	Up	$-4	05-11 17:43
Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 4.5	2	$68	38	38	+0	Over	+$8	05-13 18:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$63	47	47	+0	open	—	05-23 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	3	$60	57	6	+51	Up	+$0	05-07 11:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$53	28	28	+0	open	—	05-23 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	11	$52	46	46	+0	open	—	05-23 21:16
bitcoin up or down june 13 2026 7am et	2	$51	29	29	+0	open	—	06-13 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	1	$50	53	0	+53	open	—	05-19 10:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	1	$50	51	0	+51	open	—	05-19 10:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$50	51	0	+51	Up	+$1	05-07 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	1	$50	51	0	+51	open	—	05-19 10:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	1	$50	51	0	+51	Up	+$1	05-07 10:39
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli	4	$45	46	13	+33	open	—	04-28 21:29
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5	2	$43	24	24	+0	open	—	05-03 15:55
Henan FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 2.5	2	$42	22	22	+0	open	—	05-01 12:32
fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 total 0pt5	2	$42	22	22	+0	open	—	06-12 19:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	2	$39	58	58	+0	open	—	05-23 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	4	$38	26	26	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 10:38
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 2.5	2	$38	20	20	+0	open	—	05-01 12:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$36	27	27	+0	open	—	05-21 18:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	7	$36	29	24	+6	Up	$-4	05-06 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	4	$33	31	31	+0	Down	$-3	05-06 11:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 11:50:00	btc updown 5m 1781351100	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xc981c7…
06-13 11:44:24	bitcoin up or down june 13 2026 7am et	Up	SELL	29	89¢	$26	0xcd4384…
06-13 11:41:51	bitcoin up or down june 13 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x52392e…
06-12 19:58:45	btc updown 4h 1781280000	Up	SELL	7	90¢	$7	0x71c0b3…
06-12 19:26:58	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 first half total 1pt5	Over	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0x50eaa3…
06-12 19:26:48	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 total 0pt5	Over	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x2c0f95…
06-12 19:24:39	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 spread away 1pt5	Bosnia and Herzegovina	SELL	14	17¢	$2	0xa629a7…
06-12 19:19:57	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xa576a5…
06-12 18:51:46	btc updown 4h 1781280000	Up	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x1392e3…
06-12 13:54:42	btc updown 5m 1781272200	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x015cc1…
06-12 11:08:19	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x91ca9b…
06-12 10:40:22	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 spread away 1pt5	Bosnia and Herzegovina	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x25faaa…
06-12 10:39:15	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x970517…
06-12 10:24:54	btc updown 5m 1781259600	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xdb8bbc…
06-12 09:41:27	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x692e3d…
06-12 07:58:34	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 3am et	Up	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0x7c7287…
06-12 07:57:46	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xc7c05b…
06-12 07:57:42	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0x1ecae6…
06-12 07:40:12	btc updown 15m 1781249400	Up	SELL	11	82¢	$9	0x618f82…
06-12 07:37:36	btc updown 15m 1781249400	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xf5b7a3…
06-12 07:03:24	btc updown 5m 1781247600	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xae1890…
06-12 06:51:48	btc updown 5m 1781247000	Up	SELL	4	38¢	$2	0xad58d6…
06-12 06:51:30	btc updown 5m 1781247000	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xf5d5f8…
06-12 06:24:15	btc updown 5m 1781245200	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xd892ed…
06-12 06:18:51	btc updown 5m 1781244900	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdd378e…
06-12 06:17:01	btc updown 5m 1781244900	Up	SELL	14	4¢	$1	0x6532f2…
06-12 06:16:27	btc updown 5m 1781244900	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x789017…
06-11 19:22:52	btc updown 5m 1781205600	Down	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0xf1b12a…
06-11 19:22:36	btc updown 5m 1781205600	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x1d0429…
05-29 13:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xf4e8a0…
05-29 13:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x29147f…
05-29 13:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0x3a473f…
05-29 13:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x6755d9…
05-29 13:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	11	13¢	$1	0x4905bd…
05-29 13:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x7487a6…
05-29 11:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	29¢	$0	0x0bf24b…
05-29 11:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x1bdb29…
05-29 11:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x1a40cb…
05-23 21:38:05	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0x848533…
05-23 21:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	48	50¢	$24	0x5858f0…
05-23 21:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x78af4b…
05-23 21:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xfb81db…
05-23 21:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xe76535…
05-23 21:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xcab8ab…
05-23 21:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xb35fdf…
05-23 21:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xa69dcf…
05-23 21:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x917bf8…
05-23 21:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x8edc52…
05-23 21:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0x8a304d…
05-23 21:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x4a1286…
05-23 21:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x17c831…
05-23 21:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	46	52¢	$24	0x200027…
05-23 21:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x2bd793…
05-23 21:09:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	47	84¢	$39	0x2adcb7…
05-23 21:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	47	50¢	$23	0x18bbb9…
05-23 20:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	28	92¢	$26	0x4f0152…
05-23 19:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x68ca2f…
05-23 18:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	28	97¢	$27	0x122304…
05-23 18:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	28	92¢	$26	0x25a155…
05-23 18:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	29	93¢	$27	0x1ba33d…
05-23 18:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	29	94¢	$27	0x18f73e…
05-23 14:21:03	World Championships: Slovakia vs. Czechia	Slovakia	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x1568a5…
05-23 11:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	58	46¢	$27	0x8d4097…
05-23 11:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	136	22¢	$30	0x8ee594…
05-23 11:16:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	47	72¢	$34	0xa5a299…
05-23 11:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0x9f9e24…
05-23 11:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	58	16¢	$9	0xd2e4fe…
05-23 11:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0x84cc09…
05-23 11:04:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xc808c2…
05-23 10:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xaf3f34…
05-23 10:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	37¢	$0	0x6c7b25…
05-23 10:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xd7351a…
05-23 10:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x69c536…
05-23 10:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	9	58¢	$5	0x124a5f…
05-23 10:54:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xfa9d9a…
05-23 10:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	8	68¢	$6	0x97b835…
05-23 10:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xdf1069…
05-23 10:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	9	64¢	$6	0xb089f9…
05-23 10:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x829be0…
05-23 10:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	15	39¢	$6	0x0d1ebc…
05-23 10:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x60eaa7…
05-23 10:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x14b43a…
05-23 10:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xb88576…
05-23 10:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x9fcbb3…
05-22 12:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	52¢	$1	0x2ecc00…
05-22 12:01:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x89499b…
05-22 11:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x3ec61f…
05-22 11:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x490e55…
05-22 11:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd16968…
05-22 11:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x245a3a…
05-22 11:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x01ff82…
05-22 11:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x51e6df…
05-22 10:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0x771ac5…
05-22 10:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x9c6620…
05-22 10:54:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa06396…
05-22 09:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0x301757…
05-22 09:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x00c927…
05-22 09:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	12	65¢	$8	0xf6aac7…
05-22 09:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x76ae32…
05-22 09:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0xe19b35…