Humongous-Derivation-Fence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$376

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-09 22:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 53% $-16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	7	$21	29	28	+1	Down	$-2	05-09 21:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	4	$16	12	12	+0	open	—	05-04 08:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	4	$16	12	12	+0	open	—	05-04 10:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	2	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	05-04 11:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	4	$11	13	13	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 21:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-04 12:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-04 11:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-04 20:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-04 13:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-04 12:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	05-04 13:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	05-04 11:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	05-04 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 19:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	3	$10	6	6	+0	Down	+$2	05-06 12:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	3	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 18:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	05-04 11:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	05-04 12:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	3	$10	12	6	+6	open	—	05-04 10:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	3	$10	12	6	+6	Down	$-4	05-06 16:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	2	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	05-04 09:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	05-04 13:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	05-04 13:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	05-04 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 00:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	3	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	05-04 08:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 13:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 19:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	2	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	05-04 08:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	2	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	05-04 10:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 22:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xe042f7…
05-09 21:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	41¢	$3	0xcb5855…
05-09 21:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x6b8ce3…
05-09 21:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0xe4963a…
05-09 21:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xad1aba…
05-09 21:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	7	48¢	$3	0x9da559…
05-09 21:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	37¢	$2	0x8fbcb7…
05-09 21:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf10c2e…
05-09 21:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x185e2a…
05-09 21:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0x96e3e7…
05-09 21:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xbeccb4…
05-09 21:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	7	51¢	$4	0x10d33f…
05-09 21:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x94a90d…
05-09 21:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	9	47¢	$4	0xafeacc…
05-09 21:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0xf243c8…
05-08 03:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0xe01d34…
05-08 00:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	74¢	$4	0xcd70a5…
05-08 00:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x877733…
05-07 18:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0x1f2ab8…
05-07 18:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x896d44…
05-07 18:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x822e97…
05-06 16:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0xf025c2…
05-06 16:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0x4d57d0…
05-06 16:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x289750…
05-06 13:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0xf36cc1…
05-06 13:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0xb0aa49…
05-06 13:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x6ede0e…
05-06 13:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x79ffd5…
05-06 13:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xc4dd7a…
05-06 12:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x0dd2ac…
05-06 12:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xe92914…
05-06 12:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x754857…
05-05 19:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0x228203…
05-05 19:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0xde635a…
05-05 19:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xdc7e17…
05-05 19:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x36d9db…
05-04 20:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x54765e…
05-04 20:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xd69918…
05-04 14:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x755cf2…
05-04 14:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x5b99ce…
05-04 13:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x37b433…
05-04 13:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x7030b3…
05-04 13:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x6e9db5…
05-04 13:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xd34ddc…
05-04 13:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x88b2a6…
05-04 13:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x31e923…
05-04 13:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x156f50…
05-04 13:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x7cec0f…
05-04 13:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x55157f…
05-04 13:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xb10a77…
05-04 13:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x558f79…
05-04 13:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x723e7d…
05-04 12:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xf6e75d…
05-04 12:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xdc18b7…
05-04 12:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x17d3ed…
05-04 12:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x9d8b8d…
05-04 12:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xf3c89a…
05-04 12:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x9b5cb3…
05-04 12:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x5215bf…
05-04 11:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x70c3bf…
05-04 11:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x31dbfe…
05-04 11:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x0c9df8…
05-04 11:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x6b00d2…
05-04 11:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x1d2313…
05-04 11:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x3d6bc8…
05-04 11:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x9dcf20…
05-04 11:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x4979a8…
05-04 10:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0x6301f6…
05-04 10:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x1bf167…
05-04 10:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0xbc1471…
05-04 10:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x3109ae…
05-04 10:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xb30cc2…
05-04 10:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x1e121e…
05-04 10:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	6	56¢	$3	0xc074fb…
05-04 10:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x6c04ac…
05-04 10:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x04a71a…
05-04 10:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0x6e8d70…
05-04 10:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x819c16…
05-04 09:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0xa577ac…
05-04 09:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x3c1a7e…
05-04 09:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x8db9a4…
05-04 09:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x8ebf1b…
05-04 09:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x18bc60…
05-04 09:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x2cc411…
05-04 09:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0x07c733…
05-04 09:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xa84959…
05-04 08:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	75¢	$2	0x944600…
05-04 08:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0x2ba641…
05-04 08:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x17b0da…
05-04 08:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xbee142…
05-04 08:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x888dd1…
05-04 08:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	75¢	$4	0xacd46e…
05-04 08:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x61d970…
05-04 08:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0x1a5891…
05-04 08:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x0ceb94…
05-04 08:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0x55c568…
05-04 08:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xc1c901…