Courageous-Satire — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$25

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.02K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 06-25 06:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Other

78% 76% +$20

Crypto

22% 100% +$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-25).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	3	$92	100	100	+0	Yes	+$39	05-26 09:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-04 08:46
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$49	100	0	+100	Yes	+$51	06-25 06:33
Will CZ post 140-159 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	05-07 06:52
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$37	93	0	+93	No	-$37	05-18 00:22
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 13?	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	05-13 02:46
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on April 30?	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	04-30 01:15
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$33	93	0	+93	No	-$33	05-18 00:22
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$32	100	0	+100	No	-$32	06-25 06:33
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-29 03:09
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on May 22?	1	$30	31	0	+31	Yes	+$1	05-22 08:20
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 Week of May 4 2026?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-07 06:51
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	2	$28	100	100	+0	No	-$22	05-26 09:43
bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 2am et	2	$26	26	0	+26	Up	+$0	06-07 06:47
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 22?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	05-22 08:19
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	1	$25	26	0	+26	Down	+$1	04-30 01:11
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C or below on May 31?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	05-31 02:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9PM ET	2	$25	25	0	+25	Up	+$0	05-31 01:59
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on May 10?	1	$25	25	0	+25	Yes	+$0	05-10 08:48
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	2	$21	50	50	+0	No	+$5	05-26 09:43
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on May 22?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-22 08:16
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 4?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-05 00:22
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 4?	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	05-05 00:24
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 4?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-05 00:24
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	06-07 06:49
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	2	$15	100	100	+0	No	-$15	05-26 09:43
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 7?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	06-07 06:57
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	1	$15	17	0	+17	Up	+$2	04-29 03:08
bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 8pm et	1	$15	15	0	+15	Up	+$0	06-11 00:51
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on May 5?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	05-05 00:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 06:33:01	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0xff16c1…
06-25 06:33:01	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x6544d2…
06-25 06:33:01	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x5ae6f8…
06-14 05:53:01	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on June 14?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x26ff1e…
06-14 05:52:37	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 14?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x861d27…
06-14 05:52:27	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 14?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa622e6…
06-14 05:52:00	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on June 14?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2c0315…
06-14 05:51:25	Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on June 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0b077d…
06-11 00:51:48	bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x3ee6f4…
06-07 06:58:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 7?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x33085b…
06-07 06:57:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 7?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x06693e…
06-07 06:56:55	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x48d8bb…
06-07 06:53:00	bitcoin above 56k on june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9ff60f…
06-07 06:49:48	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x9af93f…
06-07 06:47:43	bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x68efce…
06-07 06:46:51	bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb45ff5…
06-07 06:33:48	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xeca634…
06-04 07:39:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xd3613b…
05-31 03:13:59	Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on May 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9a2ca3…
05-31 02:57:42	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C or below on May 31?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xd7a26c…
05-31 02:48:08	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xfc24cb…
05-31 01:59:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9b0552…
05-31 01:54:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe44da8…
05-26 09:43:58	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x3a2c4f…
05-26 09:43:52	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x0fc068…
05-26 09:43:40	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	66¢	$66	0x01e9c7…
05-26 09:43:30	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	26¢	$13	0x5c6c1b…
05-24 06:47:39	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0xaeab29…
05-24 06:47:25	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xe08f2e…
05-24 06:47:12	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x9ad8ea…
05-24 06:47:05	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x0785c1…
05-24 06:46:55	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	27¢	$19	0x227bf5…
05-24 06:46:41	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	26¢	$8	0xa4f06c…
05-22 08:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x8ce437…
05-22 08:20:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on May 22?	Yes	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xd3bc3c…
05-22 08:19:29	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 22?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x3ccba6…
05-22 08:16:04	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on May 22?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x37947e…
05-18 00:23:06	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	3¢	$3	0x88255e…
05-18 00:22:52	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	13¢	$12	0x80420e…
05-18 00:22:41	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	35¢	$33	0x2d3ded…
05-18 00:22:31	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	40¢	$37	0x32830e…
05-13 02:46:43	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 13?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xd1570d…
05-13 02:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb8712c…
05-10 08:51:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xc33f7d…
05-10 08:48:01	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x9b4b96…
05-10 08:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x10d248…
05-07 06:52:41	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xb2ba0c…
05-07 06:51:13	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xfac9e3…
05-05 00:25:06	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on May 5?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x8c8d87…
05-05 00:24:14	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 4?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x62dd7c…
05-05 00:24:02	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 4?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe71cc2…
05-05 00:22:42	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 4?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9fc149…
05-05 00:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x55d3fa…
05-04 09:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xf18ac8…
05-04 08:46:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x408c6e…
04-30 01:15:56	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on April 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x2c6481…
04-30 01:11:46	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x79f591…
04-29 03:10:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc99541…
04-29 03:09:44	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x3fc244…
04-29 03:08:06	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0xbdb4d0…