Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.30K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

36.5%

Resolved

790

Trades

2,332

lifetime

Volume

$12.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 10-25 19:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 118 days

Categories

Other

55% 24% -$298

Crypto

30% 30% -$435

Sports

11% 8% -$403

Politics

4% 16% -$133

Tech

0% 0% -$30

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the dhs shutdown last 21 days or more 531	36	$781	2,963	2,963	+0	Yes	-$194	03-03 03:18
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 10?	11	$456	638	638	+0	Yes	-$45	10-08 10:29
will the government shutdown last 7 days or more 131 166 287 285 292 389	6	$418	376	376	+0	No	+$331	02-15 00:43
will the government shutdown last 3 days or more 472 292 194 673	9	$416	332	332	+0	No	+$244	02-15 00:54
will slovakia win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	28	$375	15,239	9,345	+5,894	No	-$70	02-20 21:03
will the dhs shutdown last 30 days or more 945 663	16	$372	694	401	+293	Yes	-$95	03-06 08:53
Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?	4	$272	197	197	+0	No	+$72	10-08 19:36
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8?	9	$271	441	203	+237	Yes	-$170	10-08 19:37
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	11	$254	606	606	+0	Yes	-$71	10-08 20:18
will the dhs shutdown last 14 days or more	22	$251	2,933	2,933	+0	Yes	-$61	02-24 17:25
will finland win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	21	$247	2,476	2,476	+0	No	-$107	02-20 18:10
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 9?	7	$247	347	309	+38	Yes	-$71	10-08 19:16
will the government shutdown last 6 days or more 524 337	6	$238	139	139	+0	No	+$38	02-15 00:42
us strike on somalia by february 7 553	30	$211	177	177	+0	No	+$78	02-10 05:20
will there be at least 1200 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 152 495 466 979 817	12	$204	268	268	+0	No	-$24	02-17 21:30
will germany win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	22	$178	11,207	8,207	+3,000	No	-$44	02-18 10:57
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	15	$169	1,017	1,017	+0	Yes	-$65	02-28 21:40
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more 234 558 393 861	5	$150	197	197	+0	No	+$107	02-13 16:24
us strike on somalia by february 14	9	$147	179	138	+40	Yes	-$37	02-14 07:58
bitcoin above 70k on february 15	5	$125	114	114	+0	No	+$14	02-15 05:09
will there be between 6 and 9 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	6	$116	448	606	-158	No	-$86	02-17 16:56
will there be between 10 and 13 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	6	$106	69	69	+0	Yes	+$16	02-28 02:52
will canada win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	4	$99	90	90	+0	No	-$4	02-20 21:29
Will Jared Goff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	5	$94	1,187	1,187	+0	No	-$10	07-05 05:03
new 10 us blanket tariff goes into effect by february 28	4	$92	1,164	1,164	+0	Yes	-$21	02-22 23:52
another us government shutdown by february 14	8	$88	157	157	+0	No	-$6	02-11 05:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11PM ET	2	$87	60	60	+0	Up	+$30	10-09 03:43
pakistan x afghanistan ceasefire by march 31	6	$84	100	100	+0	No	+$11	02-28 19:57
will switzerland win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	10	$79	3,941	2,508	+1,432	No	-$30	02-18 18:48
Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	10	$79	978	0	+978	Yes	-$79	10-13 15:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 19:19:36	Panthers vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0xf87c0c…
10-13 15:17:59	Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	140	7¢	$9	0x0e812d…
10-13 15:11:40	Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	179	5¢	$10	0xc7a6c4…
10-13 15:03:40	Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	133	7¢	$9	0x2b34fe…
10-13 14:25:52	Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	103	9¢	$9	0x4382d4…
10-13 13:37:41	Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	54	12¢	$6	0x54d93e…
10-13 13:29:59	Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	52	10¢	$5	0x1dd091…
10-13 13:29:17	Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	110	10¢	$11	0x0c3682…
10-13 13:23:40	Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	34	9¢	$3	0x777ffa…
10-13 13:23:10	Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	103	9¢	$9	0x4cefe3…
10-13 13:14:28	Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	70	10¢	$7	0x6df21e…
10-11 07:15:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x76d4d2…
10-11 07:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	8¢	$1	0x2ca09a…
10-11 07:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa39372…
10-11 07:04:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x9434af…
10-11 07:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0x2d7b0a…
10-11 07:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe2ee73…
10-11 06:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xe830bb…
10-11 06:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0xeea20e…
10-11 06:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x6d6870…
10-11 06:55:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 12?	Yes	SELL	56	3¢	$2	0xc44600…
10-11 06:48:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xcd3c44…
10-11 06:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x2e7165…
10-11 06:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	84¢	$2	0xe56ac2…
10-11 06:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xe9befe…
10-11 06:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x6557d8…
10-11 06:18:00	Will Alireza Firouzja finish in the Top 8 of Titled Tuesday on October 13?	Yes	SELL	13	2¢	$0	0x5a31ab…
10-11 06:17:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 11?	Yes	SELL	192	0¢	$1	0xfec18d…
10-11 06:16:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 11?	No	SELL	33	0¢	$0	0x3e16b2…
10-10 10:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x403ea4…
10-10 10:12:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 10?	No	BUY	126	2¢	$3	0x715889…
10-10 10:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x220048…
10-10 10:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x69c13c…
10-09 05:04:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x4af9a2…
10-09 04:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xf08edf…
10-09 04:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xb04676…
10-09 04:54:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 11?	No	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0xc7f3b1…
10-09 04:54:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 11?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x4d569e…
10-09 04:52:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 10?	Yes	BUY	107	14¢	$15	0x6aa6ad…
10-09 04:31:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xb89c4a…
10-09 04:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	28	46¢	$13	0xc62d1d…
10-09 03:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11PM ET	Up	SELL	60	97¢	$58	0x7aa976…
10-09 03:21:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 11?	Yes	BUY	192	3¢	$6	0x22a2dc…
10-09 03:15:21	Counter-Strike: Villainous vs Reign Above (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffs	Villainous	SELL	12	56¢	$7	0x23210b…
10-09 03:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	60	48¢	$29	0x652e88…
10-09 03:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xf88b59…
10-09 03:00:29	Counter-Strike: Villainous vs Reign Above (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffs	Villainous	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0x50587a…
10-08 20:18:18	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	103	40¢	$41	0x022bc7…
10-08 19:37:00	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8?	No	BUY	93	71¢	$66	0x0f270c…
10-08 19:36:15	Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?	No	SELL	79	86¢	$68	0xcedba0…
10-08 19:35:12	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8?	No	BUY	144	71¢	$102	0xee7a00…
10-08 19:34:47	Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?	No	SELL	118	88¢	$104	0x50dcd0…
10-08 19:20:32	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on October 8?	Yes	SELL	156	0¢	$0	0xdec9bf…
10-08 19:17:51	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 8?	No	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x0ce56e…
10-08 19:16:30	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 9?	No	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0xecc150…
10-08 13:53:33	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x45b4f8…
10-08 12:18:51	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	44	7¢	$3	0x89d011…
10-08 12:17:39	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 8?	No	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0xf23cfa…
10-08 11:45:29	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	63	7¢	$5	0x6fe9d7…
10-08 11:41:53	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	103	23¢	$24	0xcd999e…
10-08 10:29:42	Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	101	57¢	$58	0x9d3ed8…
10-08 10:29:06	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 10?	No	SELL	280	22¢	$60	0x53f493…
10-08 06:20:26	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 10?	No	BUY	280	36¢	$100	0x0e08b4…
10-08 06:16:16	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 10?	Yes	SELL	80	69¢	$56	0x0c3bb7…
10-08 06:15:35	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8?	Yes	SELL	203	25¢	$51	0xd56b1f…
10-08 06:06:37	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 10?	Yes	BUY	80	74¢	$59	0xdc7fd1…
10-08 05:58:17	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8?	Yes	BUY	55	38¢	$21	0x22b239…
10-08 05:57:35	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 9?	No	SELL	304	28¢	$85	0x3e6079…
10-08 05:30:01	Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	95	45¢	$42	0x2db849…
10-08 05:17:47	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 7?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb5ea23…
10-08 04:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x6ec052…
10-08 04:37:13	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 9?	No	BUY	52	52¢	$27	0x123b61…
10-08 03:58:08	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 10?	No	SELL	250	32¢	$80	0x3f0280…
10-08 03:37:40	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8?	Yes	BUY	47	24¢	$11	0x9ec25e…
10-08 03:37:01	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 12?	No	SELL	112	11¢	$12	0xab2e6f…
10-08 03:29:50	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8?	Yes	BUY	27	23¢	$6	0xc9a459…
10-08 03:29:11	Will Alireza Firouzja finish in the Top 8 of Titled Tuesday on October 13?	Yes	SELL	39	9¢	$4	0x9f4ffb…
10-08 03:28:22	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 9?	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x22badb…
10-08 03:24:41	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8?	Yes	BUY	35	18¢	$6	0x21dbaf…
10-08 03:23:56	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 10?	No	SELL	19	36¢	$7	0x41e8f1…
10-08 03:09:56	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 12?	No	BUY	112	13¢	$15	0xbdbd66…
10-08 03:09:07	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8?	Yes	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0x565299…
10-08 03:08:02	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 10?	No	BUY	154	36¢	$55	0x2066c4…
10-08 02:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0x3b54cd…
10-08 02:47:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0xac0968…
10-08 02:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	15	61¢	$9	0xe0fc12…
10-08 02:45:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xa70b27…
10-08 02:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xe38184…
10-08 02:42:53	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8?	Yes	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x4d4288…
10-07 19:38:09	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 9?	No	BUY	94	51¢	$48	0x6c831b…
10-07 15:08:23	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 9?	No	BUY	117	40¢	$47	0x9e0284…
10-07 15:06:29	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	503	10¢	$50	0x1933d1…
10-07 07:05:48	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 10?	No	BUY	51	37¢	$19	0x3643f7…
10-07 04:55:44	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 9?	No	BUY	46	49¢	$22	0x74c084…
10-07 04:43:33	Will Alireza Firouzja finish in the Top 8 of Titled Tuesday on October 13?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xdaae27…
10-07 01:48:44	Islanders vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x6a45e0…
10-07 01:48:08	Islanders vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x4ad30d…
10-07 01:26:00	Islanders vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	11	24¢	$3	0x7b26fb…
10-07 01:25:26	Islanders vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	29	10¢	$3	0xa4ab32…
10-07 01:21:51	Islanders vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xbe62a9…