Quiet-Chives — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$440

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.0%

Resolved

2,396

Trades

3,935

lifetime

Volume

$14.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 11-02 12:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 110 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 76% -$249

Other

24% 44% -$191

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 380 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	2	$390	303	303	+0	Yes	+$70	05-19 07:56
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	4	$344	576	576	+0	No	+$47	05-17 09:42
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	4	$322	272	272	+0	Yes	+$112	05-15 14:32
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	4	$297	1,278	1,278	+0	No	+$15	05-17 09:43
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	3	$194	449	210	+239	No	-$40	05-18 14:22
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	4	$176	128	128	+0	No	+$15	06-02 07:00
Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Score	2	$163	103	103	+0	Yes	+$43	05-14 19:39
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	3	$135	373	264	+109	No	-$6	05-30 17:51
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score	2	$134	87	87	+0	Yes	+$38	06-14 21:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 14:35 UTC	2	$131	109	109	+0	Down	+$21	08-30 14:35
fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 total 1pt5	2	$118	122	122	+0	Under	-$72	06-23 21:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 13:35 UTC	2	$110	98	98	+0	Up	+$8	08-30 13:35
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	2	$108	63	63	+0	Yes	+$18	05-30 18:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 16:20 UTC	2	$102	89	89	+0	Down	+$2	08-28 16:20
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$100	87	87	+0	Yes	+$10	05-30 16:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 16:40 UTC	2	$97	131	131	+0	Up	-$46	08-30 16:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 16:45 UTC	4	$87	117	117	+0	Up	+$6	08-30 16:48
fifwc civ ecu 2026 06 14 btts	1	$85	202	0	+202	No	-$85	06-14 21:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 18:40 UTC	5	$81	54	54	+0	Down	+$25	08-29 18:43
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	1	$79	509	0	+509	No	-$79	05-19 22:13
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	1	$72	231	0	+231	No	-$72	05-19 22:12
fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 btts	2	$72	49	49	+0	Yes	+$26	06-13 22:47
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	1	$70	242	0	+242	No	-$70	05-19 22:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 17:20 UTC	4	$67	75	75	+0	Down	-$18	08-30 17:22
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	2	$67	57	57	+0	No	+$7	05-14 16:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 15:30 UTC	2	$65	55	55	+0	Down	+$9	08-29 15:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 19:10 UTC	2	$60	58	58	+0	Up	+$1	08-31 19:10
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	2	$59	175	175	+0	Yes	-$17	06-01 17:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 15:20 UTC	2	$55	49	49	+0	Down	+$3	08-28 15:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 22:05 UTC	2	$54	47	47	+0	Up	+$5	08-31 22:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 12:56:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	65¢	$8	0xfb1b96…
11-02 12:49:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0xcc4aeb…
11-02 12:48:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0x79d127…
11-02 10:58:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0x9b76a4…
11-02 10:43:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x873ed8…
11-02 10:42:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0x84c8c8…
11-02 10:42:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0xcc5fab…
11-02 10:41:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	9	63¢	$6	0xaae1b9…
11-02 10:40:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	29¢	$3	0x434633…
11-02 10:29:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0xd4d482…
11-02 10:23:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0x44a62b…
11-02 10:22:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	80¢	$3	0xa9b1b8…
11-02 10:18:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xd58dd9…
11-02 10:17:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x7b3fbc…
11-02 10:16:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	9	35¢	$3	0x806f20…
11-02 10:16:31	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x528942…
11-02 00:02:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x5cb86e…
11-02 00:00:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xd89f89…
11-01 23:38:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xb57c33…
11-01 23:33:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x9df613…
11-01 23:33:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x35213a…
11-01 23:28:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x0f88d3…
11-01 23:27:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	45¢	$5	0xb6091d…
11-01 23:25:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x5fb58a…
11-01 23:22:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x967d96…
11-01 23:21:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x520d02…
11-01 22:49:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x5d3b1f…
11-01 22:21:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x782f1a…
11-01 22:12:54	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0x887d91…
11-01 22:12:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	81¢	$7	0x6c02d1…
11-01 21:43:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0xac5bf8…
11-01 21:42:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x93d7b5…
11-01 20:41:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	78¢	$7	0xbb2c7e…
11-01 20:41:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	56¢	$5	0xfb24c3…
11-01 20:24:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0x7be227…
11-01 20:23:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x6bf753…
11-01 20:19:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x79d57d…
11-01 20:16:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	88¢	$2	0x119807…
11-01 20:15:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0xe07e6d…
11-01 20:15:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xc08410…
11-01 20:02:31	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xef7496…
11-01 19:57:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x9e7c5b…
11-01 19:57:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xb45d61…
11-01 19:56:54	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x3ad310…
11-01 19:53:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	84¢	$3	0x24918c…
11-01 19:50:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x6aba44…
11-01 19:49:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x6adbc1…
11-01 19:48:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xf93d90…
11-01 19:44:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	81¢	$3	0x8e1d20…
11-01 19:42:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0x9d0639…
11-01 19:41:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	82¢	$2	0x47eb6a…
11-01 19:41:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0xc9a0ba…
11-01 19:39:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x213772…
11-01 19:38:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x33013e…
11-01 19:22:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0xb02139…
11-01 19:19:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x0299a5…
11-01 18:51:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x1d953f…
11-01 18:23:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0xe0bf6f…
11-01 18:06:54	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0xd1a4be…
11-01 18:02:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x32cb9d…
11-01 17:54:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x0d8a57…
11-01 17:41:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x4a339a…
11-01 17:32:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0xf256ce…
11-01 16:31:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0xd2d35d…
11-01 16:23:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x118fb2…
11-01 16:17:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0xed0f5f…
11-01 15:52:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x8c657a…
11-01 15:37:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x442926…
11-01 15:31:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0xde16b3…
11-01 15:28:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0xcf840f…
11-01 15:26:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0xaf9442…
11-01 13:22:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x3cd874…
11-01 13:16:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x60f85d…
11-01 13:02:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x3aa3a7…
11-01 12:46:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0x895ac5…
11-01 12:42:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x5b1e08…
11-01 12:13:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0xf01b6e…
11-01 12:08:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0x9fcc51…
11-01 12:07:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x781821…
11-01 11:51:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0x2cc894…
11-01 11:32:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0x5f8d72…
11-01 11:11:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x3cadc0…
11-01 10:32:31	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x44e7d3…
10-31 20:01:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x05f830…
10-31 17:58:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0xfada08…
10-31 17:52:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0xf92976…
10-31 17:46:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x9d26d0…
10-30 21:27:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0x9517ab…
10-30 21:23:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0x599f39…
10-30 21:16:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0x24c8d1…
10-30 21:13:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x02b375…
10-30 21:06:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x5dd9cc…
10-30 21:01:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0xe24f67…
10-30 20:48:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0x0f4f0e…
10-30 12:23:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0x26db97…
10-30 12:17:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0xdf2adb…
10-30 12:11:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0xb96279…
10-30 12:08:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0x6c585c…
10-30 10:46:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0xc20da5…
10-30 10:31:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0xb3a3f9…