Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$154

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

78.5%

Resolved

160

Trades

403

lifetime

Volume

$20.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$51

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-06-20

last 11-05 10:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Other

74% 58% +$14

Politics

12% 60% +$42

Sports

10% 54% -$176

Crypto

4% 40% -$34

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes		+3	$2	76¢	$2	$0	11-05 10:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	18	$2.0K	2,493	2,493	+0	Yes	+$91	10-26 00:31
CA Aldosivi vs. CA Tucumán: O/U 4.5	2	$597	308	308	+0	Under	+$17	09-21 19:38
CA Barracas Central vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 3.5	2	$498	271	271	+0	Under	+$38	09-21 23:37
Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-10-05?	2	$473	346	346	+0	Yes	+$169	10-06 00:27
Will Solana reach $110 in October?	2	$471	273	273	+0	No	+$31	10-29 08:26
mlb pit cle 2026 07 18	4	$453	251	251	+0	Cleveland Guardians	+$13	07-19 02:40
Will CA Penarol Montevideo win on 2026-08-08?	5	$424	494	494	+0	No	-$35	10-01 00:52
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	2	$413	333	333	+0	open	—	10-08 12:35
dota2 ybn dxk 2026 07 27	15	$391	290	290	+0	Daxak Team	+$103	07-27 15:38
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-07-29?	4	$387	243	243	+0	Yes	+$77	07-30 02:32
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-11-01?	3	$367	263	263	+0	Yes	+$127	11-02 02:17
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	3	$356	1,735	610	+1,125	No	-$164	10-08 23:44
dota2 bb4 pari 2026 07 19	6	$346	239	239	+0	PARIVISION	+$6	07-19 18:54
CA Mineiro vs. Montevideo City Torque: O/U 3.5	2	$312	174	174	+0	Under	+$12	10-14 23:38
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	3	$303	338	338	+0	open	—	10-28 00:14
Timberwolves vs. Rockets	3	$297	270	135	+135	Timberwolves	-$103	11-04 14:15
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs	2	$284	159	159	+0	MOUZ	+$24	10-05 19:17
dota2 pr1 thewar 2026 10 13	3	$270	169	169	+0	Power Rangers	+$55	10-13 16:20
Will Santos FC win on 2026-07-21?	3	$265	192	192	+0	Yes	+$65	07-22 02:40
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$261	541	441	+100	No	+$61	07-12 23:44
dota2 re playti 2026 08 01	2	$250	151	151	+0	Rune Eaters	+$50	08-01 13:10
dota2 pckcp kw1 2026 07 28	2	$250	151	151	+0	PuckChamp	+$44	07-28 16:54
Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-08-02?	2	$245	145	145	+0	Yes	+$45	08-03 00:59
Will CA Penarol Montevideo win on 2026-09-13?	2	$242	145	145	+0	Yes	+$48	09-14 00:43
dota2 yes ch1 2026 10 05	2	$239	134	134	+0	Yellow Submarine	+$29	10-05 13:49
Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-10-11?	3	$236	156	156	+0	Yes	+$46	10-12 00:13
Danubio FC vs. Club Nacional de Football: O/U 3.5	2	$233	133	133	+0	Under	+$33	11-01 22:08
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B	4	$231	148	148	+0	Zero Tenacity	+$64	07-29 15:18
bitcoin above 64k on august 18 2026	2	$224	145	145	+0	Yes	+$6	08-18 12:31
Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-11-01?	3	$221	175	175	+0	Yes	+$21	11-01 22:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 10:12:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x12ee0d…
11-05 10:11:19	Will Argentina host the 2028 Copa America?	Yes	SELL	93	1¢	$1	0xc86d31…
11-05 10:11:12	Will Ecuador host the 2028 Copa America?	Yes	SELL	105	1¢	$1	0x858587…
11-05 10:10:58	Will Andy Burnham not participate in the next PMQ?	Yes	SELL	64	1¢	$1	0x5c24c0…
11-05 09:56:28	Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ?	Yes	SELL	60	1¢	$1	0x3623c0…
11-04 19:26:51	Will AEK vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xa1216f…
11-04 19:20:16	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	SELL	164	16¢	$26	0x75b96c…
11-04 19:19:52	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x4561b6…
11-04 16:20:25	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	146	82¢	$120	0x1a0424…
11-04 14:15:57	Timberwolves vs. Rockets	Rockets	SELL	135	72¢	$97	0x34842c…
11-04 13:27:19	Timberwolves vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	108	74¢	$80	0x89b6da…
11-04 12:20:19	Pacers vs. Grizzlies	Grizzlies	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0xef05c1…
11-04 12:11:04	Will Argentina host the 2028 Copa America?	Yes	BUY	93	5¢	$5	0x4fe1eb…
11-04 12:06:19	Will Ecuador host the 2028 Copa America?	Yes	BUY	105	5¢	$5	0xa4b339…
11-04 12:03:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	74	20¢	$15	0xd077f8…
11-04 11:56:51	Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs	Yellow Submarine	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xb72a67…
11-04 11:42:27	Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ?	Yes	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x068cb0…
11-04 10:11:43	Timberwolves vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	162	74¢	$120	0x47be7c…
11-04 10:10:15	Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs	Yellow Submarine	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x91bb1a…
11-04 02:02:12	Will Andy Burnham not participate in the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	64	8¢	$5	0x1f3305…
11-04 02:01:54	Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x65a40b…
11-04 00:28:13	Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	71	79¢	$56	0x3863f3…
11-04 00:17:07	Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x5dcf19…
11-03 23:18:04	Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0xcd6a86…
11-03 23:17:51	Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xd080a2…
11-03 19:21:06	Galatasaray SK vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0xa7e1b7…
11-03 01:20:48	Pistons vs. Hornets	Hornets	SELL	182	38¢	$69	0xc42017…
11-02 23:08:57	Pistons vs. Hornets	Hornets	BUY	182	33¢	$60	0xcfc8e9…
11-02 13:56:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x205d20…
11-02 13:54:55	Dota 2: OG vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs	Yellow Submarine	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0x595684…
11-02 13:54:45	Dota 2: OG vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs	Yellow Submarine	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0x5974af…
11-02 13:54:28	Dota 2: OG vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs	Yellow Submarine	SELL	58	53¢	$31	0x0006ba…
11-02 12:02:37	Dota 2: OG vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs	Yellow Submarine	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x5c68d6…
11-02 02:39:43	Will Los Angeles FC vs. Minnesota United FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x86ff4c…
11-02 02:39:37	Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xa146d7…
11-02 02:17:45	Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	SELL	263	94¢	$247	0x0fbd5a…
11-01 23:46:43	Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	159	44¢	$70	0x59e280…
11-01 22:40:40	Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0xff8413…
11-01 22:37:57	Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	73	41¢	$30	0xfffb90…
11-01 22:08:10	Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	SELL	89	100¢	$89	0xf44ce2…
11-01 22:08:00	Danubio FC vs. Club Nacional de Football: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	133	100¢	$133	0xc9c8c7…
11-01 20:52:52	Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	SELL	86	37¢	$32	0xe6cd57…
11-01 19:27:40	Danubio FC vs. Club Nacional de Football: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x40790c…
10-29 11:16:41	Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0xf2476f…
10-29 08:26:37	Will Solana reach $110 in October?	No	SELL	273	92¢	$251	0xee6b4e…
10-28 11:12:38	Will Solana reach $110 in October?	No	BUY	273	81¢	$220	0xa931c6…
10-28 00:22:38	Nets vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	238	80¢	$190	0x436a81…
10-28 00:16:03	Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	SELL	156	17¢	$27	0x5d2338…
10-28 00:15:21	Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	SELL	156	17¢	$27	0x47198f…
10-28 00:14:47	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	338	39¢	$133	0xb449cf…
10-26 01:36:47	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	278	50¢	$140	0x89da3a…
10-26 00:31:02	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	618	100¢	$617	0xdc0352…
10-25 13:15:41	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0xef08b8…
10-25 11:25:11	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	133	21¢	$28	0xf35fe1…
10-21 00:56:47	CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	34	79¢	$27	0xaae97c…
10-20 00:37:05	Club Nacional de Football vs. Deportivo Maldonado: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	46	59¢	$27	0xad2a0b…
10-19 13:12:12	Club Nacional de Football vs. Deportivo Maldonado: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0xe48f43…
10-18 23:38:45	Liverpool Montevideo vs. CA Penarol Montevideo: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x455cd2…
10-18 12:32:23	Liverpool Montevideo vs. CA Penarol Montevideo: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x7ad9cc…
10-17 00:20:54	Will CA Cerro vs. Cerro Largo FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xa1f4e9…
10-16 21:44:08	Will CA Cerro vs. Cerro Largo FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	36	33¢	$12	0x9aaa3d…
10-16 20:37:18	dota2 yes thewar 2026 10 16	Yellow Submarine	SELL	25	50¢	$13	0xc524aa…
10-16 13:28:03	dota2 yes thewar 2026 10 16	Yellow Submarine	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0x5eb020…
10-15 23:04:18	Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	312	16¢	$50	0x678685…
10-15 23:02:49	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x7d2c1f…
10-15 20:57:09	Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Mena Warriors - Game 2 Winner	Mena Warriors	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x8cd3df…
10-15 17:25:17	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	Yes	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0xe3ba41…
10-15 13:52:40	LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs	Team WE	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0xe811ff…
10-15 11:37:18	Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Kalmychata (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs	Power Rangers	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xd7ce78…
10-15 11:33:33	LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs	Team WE	BUY	39	76¢	$30	0x21f09d…
10-14 23:38:19	CA Mineiro vs. Montevideo City Torque: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	174	93¢	$162	0x69c524…
10-14 22:13:22	CA Mineiro vs. Montevideo City Torque: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	174	86¢	$150	0xc7ce16…
10-14 11:52:59	dota2 nemiga kalmy 2026 10 14	Nemiga Gaming	SELL	11	22¢	$2	0x541f58…
10-14 11:20:50	dota2 nemiga kalmy 2026 10 14	Nemiga Gaming	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xb00860…
10-13 18:45:03	dota2 nemiga dawnbu 2026 10 13 game2	Dawn Bulls	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x1d1076…
10-13 17:10:52	dota2 nemiga dawnbu 2026 10 13	Nemiga Gaming	SELL	40	41¢	$16	0x27b103…
10-13 16:53:43	dota2 nemiga dawnbu 2026 10 13 game2	Dawn Bulls	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xcdb8fd…
10-13 16:22:37	dota2 nemiga dawnbu 2026 10 13	Nemiga Gaming	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xdc7503…
10-13 16:20:31	dota2 pr1 thewar 2026 10 13	Power Rangers	SELL	84	96¢	$81	0xed9aeb…
10-13 16:20:18	dota2 pr1 thewar 2026 10 13	Power Rangers	SELL	84	97¢	$81	0x9c7e50…
10-13 13:22:58	dota2 pr1 thewar 2026 10 13	Power Rangers	BUY	169	64¢	$108	0x294611…
10-12 17:27:36	Will Atalanta BC vs. Venezia FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	112	5¢	$6	0xbde7f2…
10-12 17:07:15	Will Atalanta BC vs. Venezia FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	225	1¢	$3	0xe0151d…
10-12 13:52:06	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xfc2074…
10-12 13:51:50	Will Coventry City FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xe65ed5…
10-12 01:49:39	Will Club Alianza Lima win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x31ba08…
10-12 00:57:44	Will Club Alianza Lima win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	SELL	50	38¢	$19	0xd2405f…
10-12 00:14:54	Will Club Alianza Lima win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x59dc1d…
10-12 00:13:05	Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0xde1b01…
10-11 20:32:18	Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	SELL	36	60¢	$21	0x15c618…
10-11 20:22:18	Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	156	61¢	$95	0xb18a22…
10-10 21:20:07	Will CA Penarol Montevideo win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x110f30…
10-09 19:17:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 19:15 UTC	Up	SELL	51	18¢	$9	0x983d7b…
10-09 19:15:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x602987…
10-09 19:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x5120be…
10-09 19:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x8c9a34…
10-09 19:08:26	Montevideo Wanderers vs. CA Boston River: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	92	75¢	$69	0x2f93d4…
10-09 10:59:30	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,227	13¢	$159	0x11c09c…
10-08 23:44:18	Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	514	12¢	$60	0x63160d…
10-08 23:38:17	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	235	28¢	$65	0xedfbcc…