Numb-Deformation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$637

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.7%

Resolved

828

Trades

1,714

lifetime

Volume

$11.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 05-29 02:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 50% -$609

Other

0% 0% -$27

Politics

0% 33% -$1

Sports

0% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-29).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	2	$303	225	215	+10	Up	+$133	04-25 23:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	2	$232	160	154	+6	Up	+$78	04-25 23:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	3	$209	511	0	+511	Down	-$209	04-25 21:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	2	$202	146	141	+5	Up	+$53	04-26 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	3	$188	120	117	+3	Up	+$46	04-25 23:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	2	$155	86	85	+1	Up	+$15	04-26 00:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	2	$139	108	104	+4	Up	+$39	04-25 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	2	$138	128	122	+6	Up	+$54	04-26 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	2	$123	217	0	+217	Up	-$123	04-25 23:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	3	$122	70	69	+1	Down	+$16	04-25 22:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	2	$110	71	69	+2	Up	+$28	04-25 23:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	2	$105	94	91	+3	Up	+$3	04-25 22:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	1	$95	174	0	+174	Down	-$95	04-25 23:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	3	$92	63	61	+2	Up	+$31	04-26 00:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	2	$86	54	53	+1	Down	+$19	04-25 22:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	2	$86	59	59	+0	Down	+$26	05-03 23:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	4	$76	47	47	+0	Up	+$16	05-03 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	3	$74	99	38	+61	Down	-$8	04-26 00:39
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-14 20:00 UTC	8	$73	81	80	+1	Up	-$7	03-14 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	4	$70	60	58	+2	Up	+$14	04-25 20:30
bitcoin up or down on february 14	4	$69	36	36	+0	Up	-$1	02-14 11:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	2	$67	49	47	+2	Up	+$27	04-25 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	2	$62	104	0	+104	Down	-$62	04-25 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	4	$61	39	39	+0	Up	+$12	05-28 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	2	$60	187	0	+187	Down	-$60	04-26 00:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	3	$60	93	91	+2	Up	-$58	04-26 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	4	$58	41	41	+0	Up	+$18	05-28 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$57	32	32	+0	Up	+$7	05-24 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	2	$57	37	37	+0	Down	+$17	05-03 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$56	37	36	+1	Up	+$15	04-25 22:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-29 02:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x707ad8…
05-28 19:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x194a83…
05-28 19:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x24b078…
05-28 19:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x77df42…
05-28 19:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x6aebd7…
05-28 19:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x233b28…
05-28 19:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb33e13…
05-28 19:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xa8e5ef…
05-28 19:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x8678d9…
05-28 19:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x40a222…
05-28 19:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xc11544…
05-28 19:36:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x3e1163…
05-28 19:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x4fcde6…
05-28 19:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x85d1da…
05-28 19:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x909410…
05-28 19:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xc38b7d…
05-28 19:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xef9e2e…
05-28 19:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xb9d0be…
05-28 19:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xffeab5…
05-28 19:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	41	94¢	$38	0x27ebee…
05-28 19:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x8bea9d…
05-28 19:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x8dd5f0…
05-28 19:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x44401d…
05-28 19:24:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	39	94¢	$37	0xfff211…
05-28 19:23:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0xbe22d1…
05-28 19:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x764b2b…
05-28 19:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x48db63…
05-28 19:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x9e129e…
05-28 19:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x19eba4…
05-28 19:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	30	95¢	$28	0x66ce37…
05-28 19:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xe68c2b…
05-28 19:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x4cc9a0…
05-28 19:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xf58280…
05-28 19:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xa06726…
05-28 19:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$19	0x581c56…
05-28 18:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xbe3b38…
05-28 18:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xaf248e…
05-28 18:52:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xe14830…
05-28 18:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x0522f1…
05-28 18:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x6b6b68…
05-24 18:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xb0412f…
05-24 18:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x5cc255…
05-24 18:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0xf31d1a…
05-24 18:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xe88144…
05-24 18:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xd542fa…
05-24 18:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xa1d903…
05-24 17:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	55	36¢	$20	0x666bb9…
05-24 17:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x2f257d…
05-24 17:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x91f2f9…
05-24 17:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	30	83¢	$25	0x009573…
05-24 17:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x9d00fb…
05-24 17:47:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x934e25…
05-24 17:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x5a3bbb…
05-24 17:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	17	94¢	$16	0xb4f752…
05-24 17:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x05e31b…
05-24 16:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xc966f8…
05-24 16:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0xe257c5…
05-24 16:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x1e7246…
05-24 15:47:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xa353b7…
05-24 15:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xf7dce5…
05-24 13:32:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x634fd4…
05-24 13:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x9bd39f…
05-24 13:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x570060…
05-24 13:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xa9f960…
05-24 13:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x816a46…
05-24 12:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xbd691d…
05-24 12:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	18	98¢	$17	0xfe398c…
05-24 12:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xdc67f6…
05-24 12:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	12	97¢	$11	0xd94c3a…
05-24 12:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x11654f…
05-24 11:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0xf51d13…
05-24 11:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xb9abd8…
05-24 06:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x921723…
05-24 06:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x54d59f…
05-24 06:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x61d826…
05-24 06:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x937ef6…
05-24 06:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x3886cc…
05-24 06:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x5d9a9c…
05-24 05:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	46	53¢	$25	0xf130b5…
05-24 05:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	156	16¢	$25	0x01911f…
05-11 20:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x8765bc…
05-11 20:18:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xd97573…
05-11 20:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	19	15¢	$3	0x3286e1…
05-11 20:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x011a0d…
05-11 20:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x7b3493…
05-11 19:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	19¢	$1	0x507f5d…
05-11 19:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xce2199…
05-11 19:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0xf4e68f…
05-11 19:51:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	9	79¢	$7	0x789f1d…
05-11 19:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x96d7b0…
05-11 19:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x2c8ef9…
05-11 19:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	92¢	$1	0xb00e51…
05-11 19:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x243563…
05-11 19:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x8feada…
05-11 19:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x88f123…
05-04 15:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x8c0135…
05-04 15:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x0f1cc5…
05-04 15:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	84¢	$12	0x052077…
05-04 15:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	17	96¢	$17	0x505523…
05-04 15:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	81¢	$14	0x65c318…