Shallow-Eponym — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$27.0K

Unrealized P&L

+$354

Hit rate

93.2%

Resolved

Trades

2,170

lifetime

Volume

$1.68M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$774

Open exposure

$39.9K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-30 18:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Other

63% 96% +$14,771

Politics

31% 100% +$13,371

Sports

6% 67% -$1,173

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes		+42,702	$39,573	94¢	$39.9K	+$354	10-30 18:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	195	$113.7K	115,295	0	+115,295	Yes	+$1,560	02-06 12:58
will social democrats win the most seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	32	$100.8K	101,093	0	+101,093	Yes	+$303	03-23 19:24
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	201	$99.7K	101,630	0	+101,630	Yes	+$1,913	06-11 08:43
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	15	$93.6K	96,591	0	+96,591	Yes	+$3,026	03-16 08:25
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	4	$77.7K	80,861	0	+80,861	Yes	+$3,192	01-26 09:56
will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	76	$70.3K	41,341	41,341	+0	No	-$9,680	03-08 21:47
will cdu win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	135	$61.2K	31,231	30,900	+331	Yes	+$880	03-12 16:22
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	16	$50.3K	57,541	0	+57,541	Yes	+$7,205	09-16 12:45
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	82	$50.0K	50,323	0	+50,323	Yes	+$323	02-19 14:23
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	68	$49.7K	50,486	0	+50,486	Yes	+$790	03-22 18:47
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	188	$48.1K	50,548	0	+50,548	Yes	+$2,460	04-13 23:14
will tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	226	$46.1K	51,779	0	+51,779	Yes	+$5,650	04-12 18:36
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	14	$39.9K	20,488	20,000	+488	Yes	+$484	07-18 07:16
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	20	$39.6K	42,702	0	+42,702	open	—	10-30 18:14
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	48	$36.2K	36,802	0	+36,802	Yes	+$627	09-20 19:20
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	47	$36.0K	40,000	0	+40,000	Yes	+$3,950	04-12 18:31
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	7	$33.3K	33,425	0	+33,425	Yes	+$107	08-26 00:25
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	34	$33.2K	20,372	20,372	+0	open	—	09-13 20:33
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	11	$32.0K	16,341	16,341	+0	open	—	10-30 18:01
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	48	$31.4K	28,483	10,000	+18,483	Yes	-$2,284	10-27 09:33
will avatar fire and ash 3rd weekend box office be between 45m and 50m	21	$30.0K	30,291	0	+30,291	No	+$274	01-03 22:28
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	46	$30.0K	30,318	0	+30,318	Yes	+$333	08-18 21:39
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	38	$29.9K	31,006	0	+31,006	Yes	+$1,132	08-26 17:09
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	7	$29.1K	15,000	15,000	+0	open	—	10-30 10:09
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 122m?	20	$28.1K	28,300	0	+28,300	No	+$198	05-22 17:25
will wuthering heights opening weekend box office be less than 47m	32	$27.6K	27,661	0	+27,661	Yes	+$108	02-15 23:40
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?	29	$25.0K	25,417	0	+25,417	Yes	+$452	09-27 16:48
will the ecb announce no change at the february 2026 meeting	42	$23.1K	23,449	0	+23,449	Yes	+$386	01-29 11:17
will wuthering heights opening weekend box office be greater than 65m	5	$22.4K	22,600	0	+22,600	No	+$153	02-13 23:44
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	24	$20.1K	20,740	0	+20,740	Yes	+$690	05-26 20:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 18:14:31	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	6,593	94¢	$6,197	0x2344ef…
10-30 18:01:01	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	SELL	16,341	99¢	$16,194	0x0ee4cc…
10-30 10:31:36	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	4,940	94¢	$4,644	0xc34ede…
10-30 10:09:10	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	15,000	99¢	$14,910	0x4589e0…
10-29 17:34:04	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	3,631	93¢	$3,377	0xf210c9…
10-28 04:15:07	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	4,480	97¢	$4,346	0x33a088…
10-28 04:14:50	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	5,330	97¢	$5,170	0x7ac3fa…
10-28 04:08:19	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	175	97¢	$169	0x12dc43…
10-28 03:58:04	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	499	97¢	$484	0x4bd037…
10-28 03:56:14	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	3,000	97¢	$2,910	0xccc20d…
10-28 03:52:28	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	2,083	97¢	$2,020	0x66b3e8…
10-28 03:32:19	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	57	97¢	$56	0xa14930…
10-28 03:32:19	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0x9873ea…
10-28 03:30:22	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	500	97¢	$485	0xd8481b…
10-28 03:29:51	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	17	97¢	$17	0x837921…
10-28 03:20:24	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1,699	94¢	$1,606	0x50a4ea…
10-28 03:11:08	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	7,560	95¢	$7,144	0x956736…
10-28 03:03:30	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	641	94¢	$605	0x91b8f8…
10-28 03:03:30	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x00829d…
10-28 02:41:47	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	4,890	94¢	$4,597	0x36f132…
10-28 02:41:03	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	110	94¢	$103	0x216577…
10-27 09:33:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	917	94¢	$860	0x1468f6…
10-27 09:32:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6,720	94¢	$6,303	0xb72eb1…
10-27 09:18:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x1b55e4…
10-27 09:18:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0x5d919b…
10-27 09:08:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x219520…
10-26 09:39:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,822	95¢	$1,731	0x0c17dc…
10-26 09:32:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x8600f5…
10-26 09:32:38	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8dc3cd…
10-26 09:29:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x9879a4…
10-26 09:28:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xfe27ea…
10-26 09:28:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x7959af…
10-26 09:28:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x548aff…
10-26 09:28:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xdeed04…
10-26 09:28:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xc4c7c6…
10-26 09:28:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x99d4b0…
10-26 09:28:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x73d4bd…
10-26 09:28:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x6fe739…
10-26 09:28:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x597f17…
10-26 09:28:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x23a879…
10-26 09:27:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xd22384…
10-26 09:27:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xb3923f…
10-26 09:27:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xa92408…
10-26 09:27:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x7ec3c3…
10-26 09:27:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x77a20a…
10-26 09:27:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x4a682a…
10-26 09:27:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x2e344a…
10-26 09:27:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x4860eb…
10-26 09:27:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x208f3e…
10-26 09:27:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x1647ee…
10-26 09:27:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x45f737…
10-26 09:27:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x8c69b0…
10-26 09:27:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xc9d706…
10-26 09:27:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x9d1ce7…
10-26 09:27:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7,853	95¢	$7,460	0x9a4046…
10-26 09:27:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x848377…
10-26 09:27:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x7625a3…
10-26 09:27:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x58e8b9…
10-26 09:27:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x5856ca…
10-26 09:27:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x48a361…
10-26 09:27:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x26ec47…
10-26 09:27:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x2313cd…
10-26 09:27:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x0c2c58…
10-25 23:46:12	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,607	98¢	$1,575	0x458013…
10-25 23:45:08	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xe06128…
10-25 23:45:00	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	283	97¢	$274	0xf8ef64…
10-25 23:45:00	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	281	97¢	$273	0xcc8ca5…
10-25 23:45:00	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	988	97¢	$960	0xc3cdf6…
10-25 23:45:00	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	294	97¢	$285	0xaaa601…
10-25 23:45:00	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	278	97¢	$269	0x7db9b8…
10-25 23:45:00	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	218	97¢	$212	0x69ee18…
10-25 23:45:00	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	292	97¢	$283	0x695600…
10-25 23:45:00	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	280	97¢	$272	0x4fe06d…
10-25 23:44:59	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	819	97¢	$796	0xcfab6e…
10-25 23:44:59	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	786	97¢	$763	0x79b5b7…
10-25 23:44:59	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	300	97¢	$291	0x53665b…
10-25 23:44:57	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	698	97¢	$677	0xad4540…
10-25 23:44:57	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,925	97¢	$1,869	0x097fcf…
10-25 23:44:56	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,219	97¢	$1,184	0x325935…
10-21 10:38:14	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	2,649	96¢	$2,540	0xfed92a…
10-21 08:26:06	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	312	96¢	$299	0x3a8b39…
10-21 07:54:57	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	204	96¢	$196	0x041b11…
10-20 10:30:21	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	3,980	95¢	$3,781	0x8d59f6…
10-20 10:30:17	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x30c470…
10-20 08:25:25	Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	33	96¢	$31	0x9d2a1a…
10-19 18:30:00	Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	133	96¢	$128	0x6e7d38…
10-19 18:28:05	Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	77	96¢	$74	0x8079d5…
10-19 18:19:45	Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	103	96¢	$99	0x28d08c…
10-19 18:19:33	Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	128	96¢	$123	0xcfd762…
10-19 18:09:44	Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	538	96¢	$517	0x45aaad…
10-19 18:01:56	Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	103	96¢	$99	0xc8026f…
10-19 18:01:33	Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	112	96¢	$108	0x6f1ea0…
10-19 18:01:32	Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xc97aba…
10-19 16:22:56	Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x8a16c7…
10-19 12:00:45	Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	32	96¢	$30	0x7191cb…
10-16 07:40:30	Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0xaf4f91…
10-16 07:40:00	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	8,000	91¢	$7,280	0x9fb73b…
10-14 13:36:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3,879	53¢	$2,056	0xe1b315…
10-14 13:36:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x4b85be…
10-14 13:36:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5,000	53¢	$2,650	0x72510e…