Tight-Gnu — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.65K

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

55.6%

Resolved

8,587

Trades

16,656

lifetime

Volume

$49.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 10-25 10:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 118 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 33% -$1,655

Other

1% 61% +$19

Politics

0% 7% -$15

Sports

0% 5% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 657 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes		-5	-$1	29¢	$-1	$0	06-24 21:01
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes		-4	-$1	15¢	$-1	+$0	06-24 21:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	41	$231	237	270	-33	Down	-$10	05-04 14:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	51	$226	255	279	-24	Down	-$5	05-04 14:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 21:35 UTC	13	$212	384	0	+384	Up	-$16	04-11 21:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 22:20 UTC	16	$201	390	0	+390	Down	-$17	04-11 22:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	45	$184	224	280	-57	Down	-$6	05-04 13:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 22:35 UTC	69	$181	1,871	0	+1,871	Down	-$46	04-11 22:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 21:15 UTC	15	$175	329	0	+329	Down	+$15	04-11 21:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 15:00 UTC	5	$154	247	0	+247	Up	-$14	04-18 15:02
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 20:50 UTC	47	$149	153	104	+49	Down	-$30	03-24 20:54
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	19	$142	0	240	-240	Up	+$22	05-06 09:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 21:50 UTC	10	$139	281	0	+281	Up	+$6	04-11 21:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 14:10 UTC	31	$137	186	112	+74	Up	-$26	04-09 14:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 20:20 UTC	8	$133	245	0	+245	Up	-$20	04-18 20:24
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	16	$132	0	234	-234	Up	+$2	05-06 10:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 15:20 UTC	7	$131	175	0	+175	Up	+$9	04-18 15:23
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 20:40 UTC	37	$128	94	98	-4	Down	+$3	03-24 20:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 16:55 UTC	46	$126	129	109	+20	Up	-$30	04-23 16:58
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 19:50 UTC	40	$122	101	78	+24	Up	+$7	03-24 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	14	$118	0	156	-156	Up	-$12	05-06 10:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 22:05 UTC	10	$112	218	0	+218	Up	+$6	04-11 22:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	40	$111	179	52	+127	Up	-$51	05-04 14:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 17:10 UTC	20	$106	141	91	+50	Up	+$18	04-09 17:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 14:15 UTC	32	$100	111	90	+20	Down	-$2	04-23 14:19
bitcoin up or down april 18 2026 12pm et	4	$100	113	47	+66	Down	-$5	04-18 17:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 18:10 UTC	1	$99	9,898	0	+9,898	Up	-$99	04-05 18:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 10:10 UTC	31	$98	101	82	+19	Down	+$0	04-23 10:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 15:35 UTC	4	$97	129	0	+129	Down	-$3	04-18 15:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 14:35 UTC	18	$97	123	96	+27	Up	+$0	04-09 14:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 13:45 UTC	28	$97	156	79	+77	Down	+$13	04-09 13:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 15:50 UTC	12	$96	177	34	+143	Down	-$21	04-18 15:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 10:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xa4086d…
10-25 10:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xdc8887…
10-25 10:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x93e664…
10-25 09:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xf908a0…
10-25 09:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xfe8b5d…
10-25 09:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x932a4b…
10-25 09:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x80ffde…
10-25 08:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x42dc30…
10-25 08:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xb8cba0…
10-25 08:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xf01c82…
10-25 08:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xbaf3b8…
10-25 08:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xc337af…
10-25 08:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x82ad75…
10-25 07:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x92b41b…
10-25 07:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xa95da9…
10-25 07:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xdf31a4…
10-25 07:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xf5020c…
10-25 07:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x479963…
10-25 06:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x556d30…
10-25 06:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x22843a…
10-25 05:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x1ae9be…
10-25 05:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x2cf86d…
10-25 05:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x133472…
10-25 05:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x46d894…
10-25 05:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x8bb4f6…
10-25 04:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xae7145…
10-25 04:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x6b70d2…
10-25 04:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xa6042f…
10-25 04:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x24e548…
10-25 03:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x056482…
10-25 03:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x1438bb…
10-25 03:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0xe4edc7…
10-25 02:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0x2488f1…
10-25 02:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xed2bf9…
10-25 02:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x49aa7b…
10-25 01:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x7ac28e…
10-25 01:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x050409…
10-25 01:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x21c94d…
10-25 01:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x5e9b9e…
10-25 01:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x22ab45…
10-25 00:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xab7d40…
10-25 00:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x949622…
10-25 00:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xc05772…
10-24 19:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xff6a16…
10-24 19:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x2baaa7…
10-24 19:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x3ff611…
10-24 19:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xef12cd…
10-24 19:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x0e6d04…
10-24 19:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0xcbf3d2…
10-24 19:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xea4401…
10-24 18:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xd5abcc…
10-24 18:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x1d3a51…
10-24 18:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0xef3ff5…
10-24 18:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xf9a3e6…
10-24 17:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x80581e…
10-24 17:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x495598…
10-24 17:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x6752f9…
10-24 17:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xd637b0…
10-24 17:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x8b64c1…
10-24 16:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x246313…
10-24 16:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x336d0e…
10-24 16:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x1850e4…
10-24 16:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xc1c5cb…
10-24 16:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xc04429…
10-24 15:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xf5ee77…
10-24 15:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x665559…
10-24 15:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0xbbde17…
10-24 14:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x43e001…
10-24 14:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x9760d8…
10-24 14:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x21afa5…
10-24 14:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x655c51…
10-24 14:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0x693806…
10-24 13:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xae91bb…
10-24 13:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x25945c…
10-24 13:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x1e65be…
10-24 13:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xde2f57…
10-24 13:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xbf27a1…
10-24 13:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xbc7c20…
10-24 13:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x09030c…
10-24 13:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x1c4189…
10-24 12:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$4	0xc525ac…
10-24 12:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x27e8df…
10-24 12:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xb25925…
10-24 12:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xa36c42…
10-24 12:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xaaf79e…
10-24 12:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x29251f…
10-24 11:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x6cf88f…
10-24 11:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xe9a0b7…
10-24 11:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x19368c…
10-24 11:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xc8278d…
10-24 11:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x7ea64f…
10-24 11:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x0164b5…
10-24 11:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x1fbc29…
10-24 10:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xd1b833…
10-24 10:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x3b02e8…
10-24 10:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xeecd34…
10-24 10:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x9b2c51…
10-24 10:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x5ef1ee…
10-24 10:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x61237a…
10-24 09:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x947a82…