Fluffy-Beanstalk — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

+$534

Hit rate

87.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,365

lifetime

Volume

$261.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$192

Open exposure

$14.5K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-23 15:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

61% 100% +$3

Politics

29% — —

Crypto

7% 0% $-5

Tech

4% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	No		+8,114	$7,303	92¢	$7.5K	+$203	06-24 03:28
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No		+7,699	$6,713	92¢	$7.0K	+$332	07-23 15:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	51	$17.6K	10,829	10,829	+0	open	—	01-03 17:21
trump out as president by march 31	21	$17.3K	8,771	8,771	+0	open	—	03-22 06:09
russian strike on a nato member by march 31	7	$9.5K	10,131	0	+10,131	open	—	03-13 04:59
dota2 ts8 tundra 2026 02 18 game2	14	$8.8K	13,259	0	+13,259	open	—	02-18 20:40
Trump out as President by April 30?	4	$8.2K	8,368	0	+8,368	open	—	04-08 18:54
dota2 liquid xtreme 2026 02 04	38	$8.0K	9,050	0	+9,050	open	—	02-04 22:21
dota2 aur1 heroic 2026 03 08	40	$7.5K	4,464	4,464	+0	open	—	03-08 15:27
Trump out as President before 2027?	4	$7.3K	8,114	0	+8,114	open	—	06-24 03:28
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	1	$7.1K	7,265	0	+7,265	open	—	05-01 18:40
will ethereum reach 4400 in january 2026	2	$6.9K	3,500	3,500	+0	open	—	01-24 20:13
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	3	$6.8K	6,901	0	+6,901	open	—	01-25 14:50
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	21	$6.7K	7,699	0	+7,699	open	—	07-23 15:41
maduro out by january 31 2026 318	4	$5.6K	5,804	5,804	+0	open	—	01-03 09:39
israel x iran ceasefire broken by march 31 2026 312 682	4	$5.2K	5,195	0	+5,195	open	—	02-28 07:03
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	12	$4.9K	3,893	3,893	+0	open	—	02-28 17:06
dota2 1win avl 2026 02 10 game1	9	$4.9K	4,881	0	+4,881	open	—	02-10 20:48
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	3	$4.7K	2,192	2,541	-349	open	—	01-26 07:03
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	1	$4.6K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	02-01 19:18
dota2 valino l1ga 2026 02 10 game2	1	$4.4K	4,412	0	+4,412	open	—	02-10 21:15
will ethereum reach 4200 in january 2026	5	$3.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	01-25 14:49
will france uk or germany strike iran by january 31	3	$3.8K	3,832	0	+3,832	open	—	01-27 08:29
nato x russia military clash by march 31 2026	6	$3.3K	3,506	0	+3,506	open	—	03-16 13:16
dota2 tundra liquid 2026 02 03	19	$3.3K	3,500	200	+3,300	open	—	02-03 18:03
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	5	$3.1K	3,201	0	+3,201	open	—	04-15 03:37
will ethereum reach 4000 in january 2026	3	$2.9K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	01-24 20:29
dota2 xtreme nem 2026 03 08 game2	22	$2.8K	3,246	1,059	+2,187	open	—	03-08 10:38
dota2 tundra yes 2026 03 08 game1	6	$2.8K	2,896	0	+2,896	open	—	03-08 15:55
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	36	$2.7K	2,410	2,410	+0	open	—	02-12 07:44
dota2 ts8 tundra 2026 02 18 game1	14	$2.5K	2,929	0	+2,929	open	—	02-18 19:46
dota2 gl og 2026 02 03	1	$2.4K	3,499	0	+3,499	open	—	02-03 21:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 15:41:04	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0x121a08…
07-21 08:11:52	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	92¢	$19	0xc7e308…
07-18 20:14:07	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0x2b63a3…
07-17 03:06:55	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	35	91¢	$32	0xd1e4ec…
07-12 16:02:19	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	147	92¢	$135	0x23a2cb…
07-11 18:58:20	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	78	72¢	$56	0xd2746e…
07-02 05:01:01	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x497223…
07-01 06:26:08	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7,356	87¢	$6,400	0x98d6c8…
07-01 05:14:29	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x83855b…
06-30 07:23:10	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xbc6b24…
06-29 01:30:17	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$6	0x502024…
06-28 15:49:46	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$6	0x9bcdc4…
06-27 01:42:56	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	89¢	$11	0x2c7f30…
06-25 11:31:32	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	8	67¢	$6	0xd68a70…
06-24 03:28:08	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	13	91¢	$11	0xced0b7…
06-22 14:22:55	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0x835b49…
06-21 18:54:01	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	21	67¢	$14	0x612bcb…
06-21 18:32:52	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x8481d5…
06-18 05:00:58	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0x2c39b0…
06-16 03:40:58	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0x4ef9e6…
06-12 04:43:58	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	18	92¢	$17	0x6d8629…
06-09 06:13:16	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0xa0e2cf…
06-08 04:13:46	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x70ef29…
06-07 17:00:37	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x212996…
06-06 06:54:22	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x6b4843…
06-05 19:14:31	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x17ceec…
06-04 12:12:19	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x6a619b…
06-03 06:58:21	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$6	0x3e77d2…
06-02 03:55:56	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x6f1be5…
06-01 18:14:52	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	8,088	90¢	$7,279	0x103db1…
05-30 18:19:23	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x80dc3d…
05-29 17:42:53	Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Tundra Esports	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0x5e5b13…
05-29 17:28:51	Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Tundra Esports	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xf0d819…
05-29 00:09:53	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x0c66ce…
05-28 17:12:06	Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Xtreme Gaming	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x162cc1…
05-28 16:44:21	Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	PARIVISION	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x0c2e73…
05-28 16:20:16	Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	PARIVISION	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0x63fafc…
05-28 16:20:05	Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	PARIVISION	BUY	1	76¢	$0	0xd36c16…
05-28 16:20:04	Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	PARIVISION	BUY	0	76¢	$0	0x0a213d…
05-28 16:19:22	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	BetBoom Team	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x88cfb7…
05-28 15:18:49	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	BetBoom Team	BUY	7	92¢	$7	0x8a6216…
05-26 18:50:03	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	BetBoom Team	BUY	12	85¢	$11	0x7de424…
05-26 18:04:14	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Yandex	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x4411cf…
05-26 17:14:09	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Yandex	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0x7aec81…
05-26 17:12:54	Dota 2: GLYPH vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	GLYPH	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xec445e…
05-26 16:54:57	Dota 2: GLYPH vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	GLYPH	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0x306b92…
05-26 16:48:53	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs ex-HEROIC (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Falcons	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x663b02…
05-26 16:07:04	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs ex-HEROIC (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Falcons	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0xef5624…
05-16 19:20:57	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Xtreme Gaming	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0x4df6d3…
05-16 18:52:34	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	Team Falcons	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xc24837…
05-16 17:40:30	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	Team Falcons	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd92b02…
05-16 17:40:26	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	Team Falcons	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0xb673b6…
05-16 14:38:21	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	PARIVISION	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x1c9f95…
05-16 04:45:58	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	PARIVISION	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xf7f16c…
05-15 05:38:36	Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	Team Spirit	SELL	8	83¢	$7	0x4e0a88…
05-15 05:00:18	Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	Team Spirit	BUY	8	80¢	$7	0x67aa2e…
05-13 17:05:09	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	PARIVISION	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0x28c99a…
05-13 16:56:59	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	PARIVISION	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x7fb0bb…
05-11 06:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x6f53df…
05-09 10:19:31	Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner	Yellow Submarine	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x7d5bcd…
05-09 10:18:39	Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner	Yellow Submarine	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xf45cf6…
05-04 09:04:16	Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs REKONIX (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B	REKONIX	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0xab17be…
05-03 20:10:58	Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B	Nigma Galaxy	SELL	20	100¢	$19	0xba5689…
05-03 17:11:06	Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x2f210e…
05-03 17:10:14	Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3eb261…
05-03 12:02:56	Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Team Resilience	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x09226c…
05-03 11:35:56	Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Team Resilience	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xc789f8…
05-03 08:52:28	Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffs	Vici Gaming	BUY	14	94¢	$13	0x953176…
05-03 08:51:50	Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffs	Vici Gaming	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x1ade4c…
05-03 08:09:26	Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Vici Gaming	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x90c296…
05-03 07:38:02	Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Vici Gaming	BUY	18	58¢	$10	0x4fb38e…
05-02 10:13:26	Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience - Game 2 Winner	Team Resilience	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x4aea67…
05-01 18:40:26	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	7,265	97¢	$7,069	0xbb1085…
04-26 15:19:38	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 3 Winner	BetBoom Team	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x44fe0c…
04-26 14:49:36	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 3 Winner	BetBoom Team	BUY	34	92¢	$31	0x9db7f6…
04-26 13:59:48	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner	BetBoom Team	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xc47918…
04-26 13:20:04	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner	BetBoom Team	BUY	31	75¢	$23	0xb25ba8…
04-26 12:53:02	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner	BetBoom Team	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x74da16…
04-26 12:20:42	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner	BetBoom Team	BUY	24	80¢	$19	0xcdac6f…
04-26 09:16:10	Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner	Aurora	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x047649…
04-26 08:46:28	Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner	Aurora	BUY	18	77¢	$14	0x9c15da…
04-15 03:37:50	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x6f2a1c…
04-13 11:40:35	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd81d43…
04-10 05:33:57	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x47ba54…
04-08 18:54:15	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	3,012	98¢	$2,961	0x8c1d8e…
04-08 12:50:17	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	2,199	98¢	$2,148	0x7db014…
04-08 12:49:53	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	981	98¢	$957	0x699517…
04-07 16:40:33	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	1,000	98¢	$983	0x66e7ac…
04-07 16:40:15	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	1,000	98¢	$983	0xf0a217…
04-05 13:39:21	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	3,356	98¢	$3,299	0xe72a4a…
03-22 06:09:13	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	8,771	100¢	$8,728	0x3c5fa5…
03-20 04:46:05	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	762	97¢	$739	0x6d75b3…
03-20 04:45:55	tim cook out as apple ceo by march 31	No	SELL	739	99¢	$735	0x453227…
03-18 06:56:39	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x75b647…
03-16 13:29:33	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	1,086	97¢	$1,049	0x9a0b41…
03-16 13:16:59	nato x russia military clash by march 31 2026	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x228a17…
03-16 13:16:23	nato x russia military clash by march 31 2026	No	BUY	54	98¢	$53	0x22feb2…
03-13 04:59:05	russian strike on a nato member by march 31	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd7aef1…
03-09 05:41:55	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb87f0e…
03-08 19:41:33	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	3,208	98¢	$3,157	0x22f6a4…