Amusing-Watchmaker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.66K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.6%

Resolved

231

Trades

700

lifetime

Volume

$123.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$177

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 10-25 00:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 59% -$3,664

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	7	$6.4K	3,378	3,378	+0	Up	+$244	05-25 04:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	4	$6.3K	3,284	3,284	+0	Up	+$251	05-25 04:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	17	$5.8K	8,712	8,712	+0	Down	-$2,196	05-25 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	9	$4.9K	3,997	3,997	+0	Up	+$889	05-25 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	7	$4.6K	2,835	2,835	+0	Up	+$570	05-25 04:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	6	$4.5K	2,450	2,450	+0	Down	+$326	05-25 04:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	9	$3.7K	3,440	3,440	+0	Down	-$317	05-25 03:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	8	$3.6K	3,716	3,716	+0	Up	+$632	05-25 04:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	13	$3.6K	2,394	2,394	+0	Up	+$1,170	05-25 03:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	5	$3.4K	1,872	1,872	+0	Up	+$353	05-25 04:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	5	$3.3K	2,086	2,086	+0	Up	+$865	05-25 03:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	16	$2.6K	1,731	1,731	+0	Up	+$810	05-25 03:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	4	$2.5K	1,565	1,565	+0	Down	+$549	05-27 14:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	10	$2.2K	7,779	7,779	+0	Up	-$1,803	05-25 04:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	4	$2.0K	3,802	0	+3,802	Up	-$2,000	05-25 04:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	4	$2.0K	2,967	0	+2,967	Down	-$2,000	05-25 03:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	3	$1.8K	996	996	+0	Up	+$186	05-27 05:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	9	$1.7K	3,667	2,762	+905	Up	-$36	05-27 02:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	4	$1.6K	1,058	1,058	+0	Up	+$447	05-25 05:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	7	$1.6K	1,057	1,057	+0	Down	+$447	05-25 02:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	4	$1.6K	1,444	742	+702	Up	-$387	05-26 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	9	$1.5K	919	919	+0	Up	+$137	05-25 02:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	3	$1.5K	1,751	0	+1,751	Down	+$251	05-25 03:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	8	$1.4K	995	995	+0	Down	+$224	05-25 01:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	9	$1.4K	784	784	+0	Up	+$201	05-25 01:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	3	$1.2K	709	709	+0	Up	+$202	05-27 14:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	3	$1.2K	1,851	0	+1,851	Up	-$1,200	05-28 05:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	4	$1.2K	908	908	+0	Up	+$599	05-26 05:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	11	$1.2K	611	611	+0	Down	+$55	05-25 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	3	$1.1K	777	777	+0	Up	+$401	05-27 03:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 00:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	92	54¢	$50	0xc1b510…
10-25 00:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0xba4e6f…
10-25 00:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	51	78¢	$40	0xff50a6…
10-25 00:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	29	61¢	$18	0x181216…
10-25 00:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	29	49¢	$14	0x5ad86a…
10-24 23:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	34¢	$13	0xaab1aa…
10-24 23:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	67¢	$6	0xe97cd5…
10-24 23:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x7c0d04…
10-24 23:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0xeaa703…
10-24 23:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x96a6df…
10-24 23:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xa55386…
10-24 23:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x1429c1…
10-24 23:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xe7da2a…
10-24 23:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x1913d1…
10-20 15:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0xb91d61…
10-20 15:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x72e3bf…
10-19 10:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	94	68¢	$64	0x15d4b8…
10-19 10:07:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	94	47¢	$44	0x483abc…
10-19 10:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	68	65¢	$44	0x894758…
10-19 10:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	68	44¢	$30	0x0a086b…
10-19 10:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	40	82¢	$33	0x9b05bf…
10-19 10:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x0e505d…
10-19 09:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x05966a…
10-19 09:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x491e47…
10-19 09:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x37b7cf…
10-19 09:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x0fbef4…
10-19 09:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0xd19c79…
10-08 15:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	74	61¢	$45	0xaa4e7e…
10-08 15:31:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0xd6bbb4…
10-08 15:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	104	99¢	$103	0x786919…
10-08 15:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x89a277…
10-08 15:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	125	84¢	$105	0xf280d5…
10-08 15:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x1cc1d0…
10-08 15:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x756886…
10-08 15:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x9260e4…
10-08 15:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x206b46…
10-08 15:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x027e73…
10-06 10:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	70	98¢	$68	0x6f8f28…
10-06 10:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xddead6…
10-06 10:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6d3aa6…
10-06 10:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x300234…
10-06 10:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x9b3134…
10-06 10:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x25e531…
10-06 10:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	100	68¢	$68	0x4b20d0…
10-06 10:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xb288e6…
10-06 10:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0xd20aa3…
10-06 10:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x325152…
10-06 10:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0xc8c925…
10-06 10:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	149	17¢	$25	0x7d4b92…
10-03 02:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x00fa57…
10-03 02:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xa55e73…
10-03 02:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x0c4118…
10-03 02:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x16f680…
08-25 09:51:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 09:50 UTC	Down	SELL	31	98¢	$30	0x6bca74…
08-25 09:50:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0x29b1cf…
08-25 09:48:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 09:45 UTC	Down	SELL	70	99¢	$69	0x7b16c1…
08-25 09:47:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xe2beee…
08-25 09:46:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0xa48aaf…
08-25 09:46:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xad9ac2…
08-25 09:46:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0xa9c633…
08-19 18:11:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 18:10 UTC	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xd43ff1…
08-19 18:11:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 18:10 UTC	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x39882a…
08-19 18:11:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 18:10 UTC	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x7d8135…
08-19 18:11:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 18:10 UTC	Down	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xbc89e1…
08-19 18:08:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 18:05 UTC	Up	BUY	375	7¢	$25	0xd09d41…
08-19 18:08:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 18:05 UTC	Up	BUY	240	10¢	$25	0x6fccf7…
08-19 17:53:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 17:50 UTC	Up	SELL	203	81¢	$165	0xd26a08…
08-19 17:51:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 17:50 UTC	Up	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x69202b…
08-19 17:50:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 17:50 UTC	Up	BUY	162	62¢	$100	0x01578e…
08-19 17:47:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 17:45 UTC	Up	SELL	119	97¢	$116	0x014ef7…
08-19 17:46:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xa18a75…
08-19 17:46:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0xac0c4c…
08-19 17:46:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 17:45 UTC	Up	SELL	130	91¢	$118	0x336c1b…
08-19 17:46:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x66f793…
08-19 17:41:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 17:40 UTC	Down	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xb2afc1…
08-19 17:41:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 17:40 UTC	Down	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0xb659a5…
08-19 17:39:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 17:35 UTC	Up	SELL	156	99¢	$154	0x9ae35e…
08-19 17:38:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x074e60…
08-19 17:38:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xe9e6d5…
08-19 17:38:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x109494…
08-19 17:38:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x84b352…
08-19 17:37:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xcc393c…
08-19 17:37:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x316637…
08-19 17:37:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x15525e…
08-13 13:53:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 13:50 UTC	Down	SELL	155	99¢	$154	0x529960…
08-13 13:51:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x89d3f8…
08-13 13:51:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x1d262f…
08-13 13:51:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x52059a…
08-13 13:51:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xce1298…
08-13 09:11:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 09:10 UTC	Down	SELL	189	69¢	$131	0x0b5047…
08-13 09:11:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x17144a…
08-13 09:02:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xdf439b…
08-13 09:02:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xaffa9a…
08-13 09:01:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 09:00 UTC	Up	SELL	47	69¢	$33	0x6cf2d5…
08-13 09:00:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x36a674…
08-13 09:00:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xcb3432…
08-13 08:59:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 08:55 UTC	Up	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0xe49fbb…
08-13 08:58:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xb82fac…
08-13 08:58:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xbb2c88…
08-13 08:58:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0xa6d262…