Jolly-Sovereignty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$27

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

47.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$264

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$20

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 22:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 35% $-27

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	+9	$6	99¢	$9	+$3	05-05 22:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	-6	$-6	99¢	$-6	+$0	05-05 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	+6	$2	99¢	$5	+$3	05-05 22:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	2	$21	0	22	-22	open	—	05-05 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	4	$14	12	5	+7	open	—	05-05 19:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	3	$14	0	16	-16	open	—	05-05 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	2	$9	17	0	+17	open	—	05-05 06:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	2	$9	7	6	+1	open	—	05-05 07:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 04:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	1	$7	16	0	+16	Down	$-7	05-05 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	2	$7	12	0	+12	Up	+$5	05-05 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	2	$7	12	0	+12	Up	+$5	05-05 02:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$6	9	0	+9	open	—	05-05 22:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$6	0	6	-6	open	—	05-05 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$6	0	6	-6	open	—	05-05 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	2	$6	9	0	+9	Down	+$3	05-05 05:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	1	$6	10	0	+10	Down	$-6	05-05 00:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	05-05 21:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	1	$5	0	7	-7	open	—	05-05 13:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	$-5	05-05 04:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	1	$5	0	7	-7	open	—	05-05 19:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	+$3	05-05 00:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$4	05-05 03:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-05 08:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-05 08:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-05 11:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Down	$-5	05-04 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	1	$4	7	0	+7	Up	+$2	05-05 03:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$4	7	0	+7	open	—	05-05 07:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	1	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	05-05 12:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	1	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	05-05 07:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	1	$4	7	0	+7	Down	$-4	05-05 03:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	1	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	05-05 13:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 22:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0x8e9859…
05-05 22:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0x28c961…
05-05 21:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x53895d…
05-05 21:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x73be9f…
05-05 21:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xd5c14e…
05-05 19:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xe66f52…
05-05 19:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x4e880a…
05-05 19:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x4423c8…
05-05 19:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x50c7d5…
05-05 19:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x865974…
05-05 17:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x557b05…
05-05 15:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0x119044…
05-05 14:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0x4582da…
05-05 14:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	14	96¢	$13	0x70abb8…
05-05 14:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x6e014d…
05-05 14:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x7d0c54…
05-05 14:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x54b2f2…
05-05 13:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xdc2e59…
05-05 13:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x3cc5ed…
05-05 13:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	7	77¢	$5	0x8d425d…
05-05 13:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	64¢	$2	0x81d4c8…
05-05 13:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x25085a…
05-05 12:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x8f493e…
05-05 12:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$3	0xb0fe36…
05-05 12:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x012f5f…
05-05 11:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x8ed8e9…
05-05 11:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x331e0f…
05-05 11:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$4	0x9acbfa…
05-05 08:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0xb6accf…
05-05 08:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xdf1506…
05-05 08:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x2fe37d…
05-05 07:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0xc5b6fe…
05-05 07:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0xf5104d…
05-05 07:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x955390…
05-05 07:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xa6ad09…
05-05 07:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x503d26…
05-05 06:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$5	0x0adb43…
05-05 06:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x499427…
05-05 05:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x02a855…
05-05 05:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0xac76a9…
05-05 05:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xcedfbd…
05-05 05:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0x9b7eb6…
05-05 05:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x3657f7…
05-05 05:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x4cccc7…
05-05 04:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	62¢	$5	0x8a751e…
05-05 04:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	75¢	$4	0x1975ed…
05-05 04:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0xdd8e9c…
05-05 03:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x2e8a06…
05-05 03:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	66¢	$4	0x7adf36…
05-05 03:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xa6db84…
05-05 03:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xc8e5bc…
05-05 02:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x7894e2…
05-05 02:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	62¢	$3	0x7264a1…
05-05 02:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x494ec3…
05-05 02:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xbb558b…
05-05 01:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	32¢	$2	0x443ce6…
05-05 01:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	47¢	$7	0x2e1068…
05-05 01:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	19	10¢	$2	0x48d43e…
05-05 00:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x6e0259…
05-05 00:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x55bc20…
05-05 00:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0x12ed6d…
05-05 00:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x9bb6c5…
05-04 23:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x233b2a…
05-04 22:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xf66bd5…
05-04 21:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	37¢	$5	0x3d9b8c…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	52	$6.65K	264	05-05 22:20
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	49	$6.65K	255	05-05 22:15
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	48	$3.45K	213	05-05 22:15
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	47	$2.62K	238	05-05 22:15
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	46	$3.60K	219	05-05 22:15
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	46	$2.56K	220	05-05 22:15
Hard-Counter 0x32e4…beed	44	$902	108	05-05 22:15
Babyish-Cribbage 0x2a6c…0b42	44	$630	220	05-05 22:15