Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$48

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

3.3%

Resolved

104

Trades

298

lifetime

Volume

$723

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-30

last 10-16 10:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Other

77% 6% -$40

Politics

9% 0% -$5

Tech

8% 11% -$2

Crypto

6% 0% -$1

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?	6	$18	54	54	+0	Yes	-$1	09-09 11:46
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?	5	$14	40	40	+0	No	-$1	09-05 14:16
laptop fdv above 50m one day after launch	4	$12	40	40	+0	Yes	$0	09-08 10:54
Fetterman leaves the Democrats by December 31, 2026?	3	$11	40	40	+0	open	—	09-10 09:42
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	2	$11	20	20	+0	No	$0	09-08 08:35
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 6?	2	$11	20	20	+0	Yes	$0	09-05 04:17
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 12?	2	$11	20	20	+0	No	$0	09-11 04:48
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on September 9?	2	$10	20	20	+0	No	+$0	09-08 10:10
Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	3	$10	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	08-30 11:33
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 1?	3	$10	20	20	+0	Yes	$0	08-30 15:31
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 10?	3	$10	20	20	+0	No	$0	09-09 04:25
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 11?	3	$10	20	20	+0	No	$0	09-10 10:07
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?	2	$10	20	20	+0	open	—	10-16 04:05
laptop fdv above 500m one day after launch	2	$10	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	09-08 01:16
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 17?	3	$9	20	20	+0	No	-$1	10-16 05:00
israeli airspace closed by december 31 2026	2	$9	20	20	+0	open	—	09-16 03:33
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 6?	5	$9	28	28	+0	No	$0	09-05 11:27
laptop fdv above 100m one day after launch	2	$9	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	09-08 07:33
Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	2	$9	20	20	+0	open	—	10-16 03:07
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on September 8?	4	$9	25	25	+0	Yes	$0	09-07 13:01
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 15 and 17.5 million views on day 1?	2	$9	20	20	+0	No	$0	09-13 04:48
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on September 10?	2	$9	20	20	+0	No	-$2	09-09 11:46
laptop airdrop by september 30	2	$8	20	20	+0	Yes	-$2	09-08 06:25
LAPTOP airdrop by September 9?	2	$8	20	20	+0	Yes	-$1	09-08 08:26
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 7 2026?	2	$8	20	20	+0	No	$0	09-08 13:46
Will Alfonso Sánchez García win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?	2	$8	20	20	+0	open	—	09-06 06:02
Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?	2	$8	20	20	+0	No	-$1	09-04 08:55
Will Forza Horizon 6 win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?	2	$8	20	20	+0	open	—	09-05 06:08
will googl reach 400 in october 2026	2	$8	20	20	+0	No	$0	10-01 05:31
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	2	$8	20	20	+0	Yes	$0	09-11 03:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 10:03:27	Will any other model be the best AI model on October 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0xd0f447…
10-16 10:03:22	Will any other model be the best AI model on October 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0xc10ef1…
10-16 10:01:16	Will any other model be the best AI model on October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xdfb2ae…
10-16 10:01:16	Will any other model be the best AI model on October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xadfd28…
10-16 07:18:18	Will Letitia Plummer win the 2026 Harris County Judge election?	No	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x98f927…
10-16 07:18:06	Will Letitia Plummer win the 2026 Harris County Judge election?	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x7fbc5d…
10-16 06:44:16	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x11374f…
10-16 06:43:55	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x1d885c…
10-16 06:34:40	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xba6e29…
10-16 06:34:39	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xe620a4…
10-16 06:34:27	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x58792b…
10-16 05:38:12	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xf0773f…
10-16 05:07:19	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x0529f0…
10-16 05:07:12	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xaf6e27…
10-16 05:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 17?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x84adfb…
10-16 05:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	9	27¢	$2	0xe40961…
10-16 05:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xd3e584…
10-16 04:50:33	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in October?	No	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x89292c…
10-16 04:23:10	Will Esteban "Steve" Guerra win the 2026 Cameron County Judge election?	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xfa442b…
10-16 04:22:36	Will Esteban "Steve" Guerra win the 2026 Cameron County Judge election?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x42a0e6…
10-16 04:10:19	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.30 and $2.40 in October?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x58c9f7…
10-16 04:10:10	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.30 and $2.40 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x169ad4…
10-16 04:05:03	Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x0f16be…
10-16 04:04:58	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in October?	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xda1805…
10-16 03:19:07	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xbec525…
10-16 03:18:52	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	12¢	$2	0xf61e9d…
10-16 03:18:52	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0xdc4bbe…
10-16 03:16:13	Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x7ebfe5…
10-16 03:12:22	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $375 in October?	No	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xbbfa96…
10-16 03:12:00	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $375 in October?	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xea4dcc…
10-16 03:07:57	Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x4241bb…
10-16 03:07:36	Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xe5c336…
10-03 14:21:26	Will London have between 70-85mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x645f54…
10-03 09:16:17	Will London have between 70-85mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x5a1ece…
10-03 07:54:30	Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 45% or higher?	No	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xb813e0…
10-03 07:54:15	Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 45% or higher?	No	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xd2fbe7…
10-03 07:54:14	Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 45% or higher?	No	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xb02120…
10-03 07:13:27	Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x4fde02…
10-03 07:13:17	Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xda163e…
10-03 05:23:27	saudi troops enter taiz governorate by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x10e653…
10-03 05:23:17	saudi troops enter taiz governorate by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x14c8be…
10-03 04:26:35	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 6?	No	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0x1ad791…
10-03 04:26:26	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 6?	No	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x35b827…
10-03 03:31:15	will gemini argon debut with a humanitys last exam score of 60 or higher	Yes	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0xd453ee…
10-03 03:31:08	will gemini argon debut with a humanitys last exam score of 60 or higher	Yes	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0x3c1532…
10-01 14:02:36	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $110 in October?	No	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x9718ae…
10-01 14:02:30	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $110 in October?	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x2265ea…
10-01 13:41:35	Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x67f7e0…
10-01 13:41:30	Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xe1c10a…
10-01 12:15:30	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $186 in October?	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xb5070d…
10-01 10:36:11	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $186 in October?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x3c02e1…
10-01 09:20:32	will coin dip to 185 in october 2026	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x0d1c5a…
10-01 07:19:42	will coin dip to 185 in october 2026	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x366a30…
10-01 06:49:57	us canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by october 31	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x7a09a2…
10-01 06:49:48	us canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by october 31	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xbd5ab8…
10-01 06:43:06	will xauusd reach 4200 by september 28 2026 from september 30	No	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0xaa015a…
10-01 06:42:59	will xauusd reach 4200 by september 28 2026 from september 30	No	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x440822…
10-01 06:20:15	will rklb reach 96 in october 2026	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xbf6124…
10-01 06:20:08	will rklb reach 96 in october 2026	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x2a94ef…
10-01 05:31:24	will googl reach 400 in october 2026	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0xf31b55…
10-01 05:31:12	will googl reach 400 in october 2026	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x8206b1…
09-30 15:05:51	will abnb dip to 148 by september 28 2026	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x1d9bb0…
09-30 04:15:24	will abnb dip to 148 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	17	13¢	$2	0x513c9e…
09-30 04:15:24	will abnb dip to 148 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	3	13¢	$0	0x028dad…
09-17 13:56:24	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 19?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x13a6ce…
09-17 13:10:31	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xaef80f…
09-17 12:14:51	ren zhengfei confirmed outside china by december 31	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x69ecb6…
09-17 12:14:39	ren zhengfei confirmed outside china by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xd44574…
09-17 11:10:06	Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,169,000 and $1,185,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xdc3f87…
09-17 08:24:12	Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,169,000 and $1,185,000 on September 30?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x9c9938…
09-17 07:27:22	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xae000b…
09-17 07:27:13	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0xaae2f8…
09-17 07:27:13	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0x491573…
09-17 04:28:01	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 31	No	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x9d9423…
09-17 04:24:54	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	No	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x120423…
09-17 04:24:43	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	No	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x2cba5b…
09-17 04:09:13	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 31	No	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x7a3b54…
09-17 03:11:30	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 18?	Yes	SELL	11	26¢	$3	0x912024…
09-17 03:11:15	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xcf348b…
09-17 03:11:10	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x97bbb8…
09-17 03:11:10	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	0	26¢	$0	0x01d29d…
09-16 14:07:37	anthropic reports another ai sandbox escape by september 30	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x691514…
09-16 09:24:09	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $180 in September?	No	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x96baba…
09-16 09:24:01	anthropic reports another ai sandbox escape by september 30	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xcf1ff7…
09-16 07:51:13	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 45 million views in week 1?	No	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0xab3e61…
09-16 07:51:01	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 45 million views in week 1?	No	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x1b06d7…
09-16 07:44:24	will the next claude opus model be released by september 17 2026	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x6ed75d…
09-16 07:44:15	will the next claude opus model be released by september 17 2026	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x14354d…
09-16 03:59:06	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $180 in September?	No	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x51d064…
09-16 03:33:24	israeli airspace closed by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0xaf2de4…
09-16 02:46:49	israeli airspace closed by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xa637ae…
09-13 14:03:52	Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by September 30?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x897eb8…
09-13 04:48:42	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 15 and 17.5 million views on day 1?	No	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x174b17…
09-13 04:48:33	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 15 and 17.5 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x546819…
09-13 02:16:00	Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by September 30?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xd2b4b5…
09-12 03:19:31	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on September 13?	Yes	SELL	11	24¢	$3	0x34bf22…
09-12 03:19:27	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	2	24¢	$0	0x23c8ca…
09-12 03:19:22	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x7ce72d…
09-12 03:19:22	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	0	24¢	$0	0x4ce9e9…
09-12 03:19:22	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x1f8150…