Harmonious-Clinic — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.08K

Unrealized P&L

-$110

Hit rate

40.8%

Resolved

267

Trades

783

lifetime

Volume

$10.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$279

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-20 13:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 73 days

Categories

Sports

36% 21% -$523

Other

33% 21% -$148

Politics

17% 19% -$258

Crypto

13% 43% -$95

Tech

1% 0% -$50

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes		-246	-$134	100¢	$-245	-$111	05-26 15:40
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes		+177	$32	19¢	$34	+$2	10-20 13:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	24	$704	29,588	29,588	+0	No	+$6	09-11 13:55
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?	10	$457	426	426	+0	No	+$172	06-27 15:07
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	1	$399	0	422	-422	Yes	-$23	01-19 02:36
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	3	$329	216	216	+0	Yes	-$39	02-28 17:51
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	7	$314	1,970	1,337	+633	No	+$164	07-16 18:01
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	9	$312	4,067	3,548	+519	No	-$48	01-23 16:53
will joo cotrim figueiredo win the 2026 portugal presidential election 643	9	$281	889	641	+248	No	-$19	01-16 21:21
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	13	$267	1,020	738	+282	No	-$57	09-16 12:53
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	20	$251	3,371	3,371	+0	No	-$80	09-06 15:15
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	5	$243	176	176	+0	Yes	+$39	09-11 13:56
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	9	$227	4,507	4,507	+0	No	+$20	03-30 17:10
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	16	$215	36,917	28,287	+8,630	No	-$45	07-29 15:48
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?	5	$178	4,442	4,442	+0	No	+$78	07-05 15:27
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?	3	$177	169	169	+0	No	-$23	07-05 14:28
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?	4	$165	151	272	-121	Yes	-$21	02-26 22:10
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?	11	$163	1,293	1,293	+0	No	-$55	05-24 20:30
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	4	$144	2,648	1,827	+822	Yes	+$4	01-28 01:05
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	6	$141	87	87	+0	Yes	+$1	06-07 15:00
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	1	$134	0	246	-246	open	—	05-26 15:40
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	15	$134	7,632	7,632	+0	No	-$9	09-25 10:47
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?	6	$133	165	54	+111	No	-$74	07-25 15:00
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?	8	$130	510	455	+56	Yes	-$4	07-25 15:01
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?	7	$126	282	282	+0	No	-$12	06-28 14:06
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	7	$107	678	678	+0	Yes	-$13	07-20 00:34
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	8	$100	2,489	2,489	+0	open	—	10-06 15:44
Will Red Bull have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	07-05 16:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 15:25 UTC	2	$98	74	73	+1	Up	+$18	02-12 15:28
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	8	$97	571	566	+5	No	+$0	06-07 15:18
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?	5	$90	118	0	+118	Yes	+$28	06-13 15:13
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	5	$89	1,156	1,156	+0	No	-$19	07-04 11:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 13:30:47	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	177	18¢	$32	0x3b60f9…
10-15 13:13:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5,671	0¢	$28	0xe75230…
10-14 13:19:02	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,155	0¢	$6	0x486739…
10-11 10:49:54	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	892	1¢	$8	0x767b95…
10-11 10:49:12	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,568	1¢	$13	0xfb8759…
10-11 10:47:26	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	372	1¢	$3	0x2ec5e9…
10-11 10:46:41	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,400	1¢	$11	0x465093…
10-11 10:46:20	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x308441…
10-11 10:46:00	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,500	0¢	$8	0xa1a8e1…
10-11 10:45:41	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	455	0¢	$2	0x86f1a9…
10-09 13:54:40	Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0x4f20ff…
10-09 13:35:45	Will Lando Norris achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	44	16¢	$7	0x16bb04…
10-09 13:34:16	Will Charles Leclerc achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	74	29¢	$21	0x1986b0…
10-09 13:23:43	Will Charles Leclerc achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	74	47¢	$35	0x36b4c7…
10-09 13:23:21	Will George Russell achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	59	4¢	$2	0x6403db…
10-09 13:23:04	Will George Russell achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x79cde2…
10-09 13:21:10	Will Yuki Tsunoda achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x531c65…
10-06 15:47:02	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	345	1¢	$5	0x253138…
10-06 15:46:33	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	267	1¢	$3	0xd3271f…
10-06 15:44:45	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	828	1¢	$10	0x892057…
10-06 15:44:17	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	843	3¢	$24	0x7e9ba7…
10-03 09:24:11	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	49	59¢	$29	0x89769c…
10-03 09:23:44	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x108085…
10-02 13:59:05	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x8223e1…
10-02 13:58:48	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	Yes	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0x5dcbaa…
10-02 13:57:21	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x3cc3aa…
10-02 13:56:47	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	Yes	SELL	90	25¢	$23	0xbd080a…
09-25 12:17:02	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x0c034f…
09-25 11:58:08	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	40	22¢	$9	0x95ceef…
09-25 11:57:17	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0xc6eafd…
09-25 10:48:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	343	2¢	$8	0x6e4528…
09-25 10:48:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$12	0x5cad9b…
09-25 10:47:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	300	1¢	$4	0xf74293…
09-25 00:09:36	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x706aed…
09-24 08:34:18	Will Pierre Gasly win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x19f692…
09-24 08:34:11	Will Pierre Gasly win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	275	0¢	$1	0x98b903…
09-21 11:56:08	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	4,745	0¢	$19	0xbc0277…
09-21 11:55:24	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?	Yes	SELL	438	8¢	$34	0x6d044c…
09-18 10:26:30	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?	Yes	BUY	230	4¢	$10	0x948350…
09-16 18:08:36	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,765	1¢	$14	0xeeaa08…
09-16 18:08:00	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,580	1¢	$11	0xf18579…
09-16 18:07:18	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	909	1¢	$7	0x0b244c…
09-16 18:07:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,646	1¢	$21	0xaa826c…
09-16 12:53:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x5dea38…
09-15 23:32:00	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x02035d…
09-15 23:31:51	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,200	1¢	$10	0x664028…
09-15 23:30:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0x3886c1…
09-15 23:30:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	114	10¢	$11	0x3ad52a…
09-15 23:29:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	399	3¢	$10	0x443a23…
09-15 23:29:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$10	0x6fee1b…
09-15 23:27:37	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	909	1¢	$10	0x0dc54a…
09-15 23:26:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	343	10¢	$34	0xf3d258…
09-15 23:25:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	770	2¢	$12	0x3948ae…
09-15 23:25:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	6,423	1¢	$51	0x7ac24f…
09-15 18:36:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x95de1c…
09-15 11:50:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x67740f…
09-13 21:31:55	Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	No	SELL	25	17¢	$4	0x815e89…
09-12 15:01:15	Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x5bf4c1…
09-12 15:00:28	Will Liam Lawson get pole position at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	156	3¢	$5	0x93c801…
09-12 15:00:21	Will Liam Lawson get pole position at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	361	3¢	$10	0xae1a3a…
09-12 14:59:57	Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	55	24¢	$13	0x1c33b1…
09-12 14:59:24	Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	47	48¢	$23	0x47d1cf…
09-12 14:55:06	Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x88894b…
09-12 14:54:07	Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xb3148d…
09-12 14:54:03	Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x06aaac…
09-12 14:53:37	Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xf1e619…
09-12 14:52:58	Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xbe1614…
09-12 14:51:40	Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	89	0¢	$0	0xf39891…
09-12 14:28:10	Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	167	0¢	$0	0xf558a8…
09-12 14:26:43	Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x3e1fe5…
09-12 14:26:36	Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x294bee…
09-12 14:26:07	Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x80fd98…
09-12 14:25:58	Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x2f12f6…
09-12 14:25:46	Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x8fa0d1…
09-12 14:25:40	Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xa17ea6…
09-12 14:21:55	Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$2	0x415f9c…
09-12 14:20:40	Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xc84a23…
09-11 14:27:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	267	18¢	$48	0xc727c6…
09-11 14:15:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	270	19¢	$51	0x580e82…
09-11 14:14:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x65d3e3…
09-11 14:01:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0x0dc9d6…
09-11 14:01:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0x9dd99b…
09-11 13:56:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	176	80¢	$141	0x428d43…
09-11 13:55:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	14	81¢	$11	0xced01f…
09-11 13:55:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	909	1¢	$8	0x61dbd0…
09-10 13:50:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0xd883d9…
09-10 13:49:36	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	909	1¢	$10	0xf31fd6…
09-10 13:40:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	77	3¢	$2	0x5b97bb…
09-10 13:34:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,464	1¢	$15	0x80b78a…
09-10 13:33:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0x2df15e…
09-10 13:14:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x71437e…
09-10 13:14:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,317	1¢	$21	0x872985…
09-09 09:46:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x6b2b4f…
09-09 09:45:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	148	1¢	$1	0x77e2be…
09-09 09:45:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,848	1¢	$17	0x412534…
09-08 17:21:43	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	889	1¢	$8	0x9cd289…
09-08 17:20:48	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% in August?	Yes	BUY	41	2¢	$1	0x1660b1…
09-08 17:20:00	Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in August?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x36b2d8…
09-06 15:15:04	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	152	0¢	$0	0xffaad6…
09-06 14:51:40	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	1,403	0¢	$4	0xa76d86…