Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.17K

Unrealized P&L

-$258

Hit rate

81.3%

Resolved

Trades

323

lifetime

Volume

$52.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$163

Open exposure

$145

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-28 12:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Other

75% 56% +$3,683

Politics

24% 29% -$1,569

Sports

1% 100% +$128

Crypto

0% 0% -$68

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	+150	$54	34¢	$50	-$4	10-27 22:34
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+130	$31	32¢	$41	+$10	10-28 12:26
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	+65	$33	62¢	$41	+$7	10-28 12:27
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	+450	$167	1¢	$6	-$161	10-25 14:18
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	-1,800	$105	0¢	$-6	-$111	09-06 13:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
si hit 110 high jan 2026 293 432 128	15	$9.1K	9,177	0	+9,177	Yes	+$91	01-26 20:08
will gold gc hit high 5300 by end of january 386 158	11	$8.7K	8,804	0	+8,804	Yes	+$65	01-28 19:57
will silver si hit low 85 by end of february 666 983 156 154 856 746 471 757	3	$4.4K	4,534	0	+4,534	Yes	+$145	01-30 18:24
si hit 100 high jan 2026 422 587 453	6	$4.0K	4,605	566	+4,039	Yes	+$1,089	01-24 00:02
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?	10	$3.1K	2,450	2,450	+0	Yes	+$1,762	10-16 18:06
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	3	$3.0K	2,222	2,222	+0	Yes	+$687	10-25 14:02
will gold gc hit low 4900 by end of february 837 718 553 296 868 122 264 951 762	5	$2.1K	2,102	0	+2,102	Yes	+$33	01-30 20:37
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	29	$2.0K	3,488	2,802	+686	Yes	-$35	06-18 20:48
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	3	$1.5K	863	863	+0	Yes	+$262	03-02 14:58
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	5	$1.2K	730	730	+0	No	+$263	05-05 11:14
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	11	$1.1K	7,576	0	+7,576	No	-$1,137	10-25 23:45
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	5	$737	1,300	450	+850	No	-$313	01-14 23:13
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	15	$735	2,100	2,100	+0	Yes	-$147	02-27 19:14
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	3	$705	1,500	1,500	+0	Yes	+$45	02-19 14:37
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?	9	$697	655	655	+0	Yes	+$589	10-16 17:48
will silver si hit low 90 by end of february 439 518 716 416 258 711 739 244	1	$643	670	0	+670	Yes	+$27	01-30 18:12
US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?	2	$613	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$7	02-26 18:46
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	7	$606	400	400	+0	No	+$166	04-22 14:15
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	23	$539	1,400	1,400	+0	No	+$321	06-19 13:55
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$534	1,640	0	+1,640	No	-$534	09-11 15:55
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	7	$502	35,165	3,273	+31,892	No	-$170	02-02 23:50
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	5	$454	1,600	0	+1,600	Yes	+$1,146	02-28 03:56
will gold gc hit high 5300 by end of february 951 613 527 114 637 649 745 884	2	$447	450	0	+450	Yes	+$3	01-28 19:56
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	2	$420	10,000	10,000	+0	No	-$400	03-04 17:24
will trump say bibi or netanyahu during address to the nation	8	$334	1,584	0	+1,584	No	-$334	04-02 00:58
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	3	$306	267	267	+0	Yes	+$221	06-16 11:44
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$236	203	203	+0	Yes	-$16	02-26 18:46
will trump say too late during the 2026 state of the union address	6	$229	432	0	+432	No	-$229	02-25 02:30
will warsh say gas during september press conference 20260909	9	$216	600	0	+600	No	-$216	09-16 17:59
will trump say biden 10 times during the 2026 state of the union address 599	1	$215	500	0	+500	No	-$215	02-25 00:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 12:27:50	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	65	51¢	$33	0xdf28c7…
10-28 12:26:08	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	130	45¢	$59	0xdde87d…
10-27 22:34:48	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	150	36¢	$54	0x9eeee3…
10-27 20:02:30	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	34	34¢	$12	0x50882e…
10-27 20:00:53	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	200	35¢	$69	0xb42175…
10-27 20:00:44	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	27	32¢	$9	0xb73fe6…
10-25 23:45:38	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	376	2¢	$8	0xdb85f0…
10-25 23:45:03	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	674	2¢	$14	0x046800…
10-25 23:41:57	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	600	4¢	$21	0xce4aa4…
10-25 23:38:11	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	900	6¢	$54	0xcc7eec…
10-25 23:26:14	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	440	7¢	$31	0x47c44d…
10-25 23:22:54	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	874	11¢	$94	0xcb9c41…
10-25 23:21:23	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	976	12¢	$112	0x6d5733…
10-25 23:20:11	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	11¢	$110	0x9fc40d…
10-25 23:19:26	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	296	10¢	$29	0xda5d03…
10-25 22:37:59	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	590	32¢	$189	0xc527c8…
10-25 22:05:27	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	850	56¢	$476	0x098bc4…
10-25 14:48:18	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	SELL	9	56¢	$5	0x994854…
10-25 14:18:14	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	450	37¢	$167	0x0d48ac…
10-25 14:15:29	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0xe5ce9d…
10-25 14:15:03	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0x81c79b…
10-25 14:14:45	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0xe3d125…
10-25 14:14:24	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	34	42¢	$14	0x6139f5…
10-25 14:14:12	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xd45f95…
10-25 14:13:51	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x198ec7…
10-25 14:12:54	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	4	64¢	$2	0xb5c176…
10-25 14:12:50	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xa32db3…
10-25 14:10:02	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	171	42¢	$72	0xf2f3bd…
10-25 14:09:57	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	30	42¢	$13	0xfeb4df…
10-25 14:09:57	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x34110e…
10-25 14:09:56	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	49	42¢	$21	0x472a31…
10-25 14:02:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,111	94¢	$1,044	0xe81a05…
10-16 18:06:21	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2,388	99¢	$2,374	0xa70dc7…
10-16 17:59:45	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xc876a2…
10-16 17:59:44	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xdd92f3…
10-16 17:59:44	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?	Yes	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x2c1556…
10-16 17:58:44	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x3c09af…
10-16 17:58:11	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?	Yes	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xf36b72…
10-16 17:58:09	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xed35f3…
10-16 17:58:09	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?	Yes	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xc412c5…
10-16 17:48:20	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?	Yes	SELL	232	98¢	$228	0xa1b57a…
10-16 17:47:47	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?	Yes	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xbb2423…
10-16 17:47:47	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?	Yes	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x9682eb…
10-16 17:47:47	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x1dc682…
10-16 17:46:38	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?	Yes	SELL	416	98¢	$409	0x9a5acc…
10-16 17:46:27	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x983588…
10-16 17:04:33	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xad462b…
10-15 17:38:44	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?	Yes	BUY	600	29¢	$174	0xc1234f…
10-15 17:01:41	Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0x282d5a…
10-15 11:40:06	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?	Yes	BUY	560	8¢	$45	0xa353f3…
10-15 11:15:46	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?	Yes	BUY	90	8¢	$7	0xfc9e22…
10-15 11:15:25	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,850	27¢	$500	0x53d081…
10-15 11:14:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,111	74¢	$820	0x592e91…
10-14 13:34:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,222	53¢	$1,177	0xf5febb…
09-22 13:04:39	Will Trump say "Stock Market" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	No	BUY	200	24¢	$48	0xf9d52d…
09-22 13:03:57	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	60	26¢	$16	0xe7a9f1…
09-22 13:03:57	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x9a8184…
09-22 13:03:57	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	121	26¢	$31	0x4a6655…
09-16 18:16:21	Will Warsh say "Task Force" 10+ times during September Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	34	37¢	$13	0x02da71…
09-16 17:59:25	will warsh say gas during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	299	36¢	$107	0x9a7530…
09-16 17:55:57	Will Warsh say "Task Force" 10+ times during September Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x047bba…
09-16 17:52:03	will warsh say gas during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	84	36¢	$30	0x40ea7b…
09-16 17:51:39	will warsh say gas during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x1900d9…
09-16 17:51:34	will warsh say gas during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xaf2249…
09-16 17:46:57	will warsh say gas during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	24	36¢	$9	0x13bf4c…
09-16 17:46:55	will warsh say gas during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	24	36¢	$9	0x477f29…
09-16 17:46:54	will warsh say gas during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	24	36¢	$9	0xe14b5c…
09-16 17:46:52	will warsh say gas during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0x5ff45c…
09-16 17:16:19	Will Warsh say "Task Force" 10+ times during September Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xba7f10…
09-16 17:16:01	Will Warsh say "Task Force" 10+ times during September Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x35b5c4…
09-16 16:42:02	Will Warsh say "Task Force" 10+ times during September Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	145	37¢	$54	0xe1ba96…
09-16 16:41:32	will warsh say gas during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	42	36¢	$15	0x196618…
09-11 15:55:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	600	18¢	$108	0x7e3019…
09-06 13:09:30	Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	SELL	3,022	2¢	$55	0xce01b6…
09-02 12:24:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,040	41¢	$426	0x13629b…
08-29 21:55:43	boxing itauma hrgovi 2026 08 29	Filip Hrgovic	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0xc8db13…
08-17 11:29:36	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	203	17¢	$34	0x513799…
08-17 11:23:43	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	120	17¢	$20	0x41e996…
08-17 11:23:37	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	160	17¢	$27	0x6aaf8b…
08-17 11:22:13	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x1163ca…
08-17 11:22:03	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0xb234d8…
08-17 11:21:54	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xa57f51…
08-17 11:21:54	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x08f686…
08-17 11:21:52	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	11	17¢	$2	0xfa5d87…
08-17 11:21:52	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	33	17¢	$6	0x5379c6…
08-17 11:21:45	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	205	17¢	$34	0xa225a1…
08-17 11:21:34	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x4e7cac…
08-17 11:21:31	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	363	17¢	$60	0x73970c…
07-29 18:57:33	will warsh say dissent during july press conference 20260720204109057 245	Yes	BUY	37	14¢	$5	0xd43a2a…
07-29 18:32:23	will warsh say dissent during july press conference 20260720204109057 245	Yes	BUY	1	39¢	$0	0xfdf76e…
07-29 18:32:21	will warsh say dissent during july press conference 20260720204109057 245	Yes	BUY	35	39¢	$14	0x4a62f0…
07-29 18:32:15	will warsh say dissent during july press conference 20260720204109057 245	Yes	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x1ca4af…
07-29 18:31:51	will warsh say dissent during july press conference 20260720204109057 245	Yes	BUY	46	40¢	$18	0x7dfc52…
07-29 18:31:47	will warsh say dissent during july press conference 20260720204109057 245	Yes	BUY	36	40¢	$15	0xa94b8e…
07-29 18:25:11	will warsh say dissent during july press conference 20260720204109057 245	Yes	BUY	62	41¢	$25	0x5e5230…
07-29 17:07:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	420	25¢	$106	0x281489…
07-28 22:13:31	Will CA Tigre win on 2026-07-28?	Yes	BUY	215	20¢	$43	0x91c805…
07-28 22:12:37	Will CA Tigre win on 2026-07-28?	Yes	BUY	160	20¢	$32	0x321d21…
07-28 21:27:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	420	24¢	$99	0xa31d4b…
07-28 19:29:50	ucl din thu 2026 07 28 team to advance	GNK Dinamo Zagreb	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0x320c63…