Grubby-Accident — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$27

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.0%

Resolved

296

Trades

297

lifetime

Volume

$3.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 11-05 00:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 227 days

Categories

Other

95% 100% -$3

Politics

5% 89% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on May 14?	1	$26	26	+26	Yes	+$0	05-14 15:03
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$26	27	+27	No	-$26	05-15 05:00
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on May 2?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-02 14:16
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-30 08:50
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$25	26	+26	Yes	+$1	05-03 03:34
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-29 13:41
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 37°C on April 28?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-28 10:47
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 27?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 01:41
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 27?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-27 14:13
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 26?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-27 01:36
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on April 26?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-26 09:16
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on April 25?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-25 12:40
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-24 09:05
highest temperature in tokyo on april 23 2026 19c	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-23 07:20
highest temperature in jakarta on april 22 2026 35c	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-22 10:17
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$24	25	+25	No	+$1	04-21 15:51
highest temperature in wellington on april 21 2026 15corhigher	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-21 06:26
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 20 2026 20c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-21 01:22
highest temperature in karachi on april 20 2026 34c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-20 16:46
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 15c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-20 06:10
highest temperature in lucknow on april 19 2026 42c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-19 16:08
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-19 05:41
highest temperature in istanbul on april 18 2026 14c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-18 15:23
highest temperature in wellington on april 18 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-18 08:06
highest temperature in manila on april 17 2026 35c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-17 10:20
highest temperature in seattle on april 16 2026 54 55f	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-17 03:47
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 16 2026 31c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-16 12:06
highest temperature in los angeles on april 15 2026 68 69f	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-16 05:53
highest temperature in istanbul on april 15 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-15 14:47
highest temperature in wellington on april 15 2026 19c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-15 06:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 00:30:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 7°C or below on November 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x917d75…
11-03 17:55:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on November 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe06700…
11-03 07:41:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on November 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6c5ecd…
11-02 10:12:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x62aee2…
11-01 07:16:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on November 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd9f980…
10-31 07:38:03	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on October 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2bc4a3…
10-30 09:03:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x51e8f6…
10-29 07:13:07	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5510bd…
10-28 04:57:04	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x538125…
10-27 07:56:12	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa96021…
10-26 05:30:32	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x36c3e9…
10-24 06:50:02	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xafceae…
10-22 09:51:38	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7f2196…
10-20 04:36:20	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8f9ee1…
10-19 06:26:32	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8d6af3…
10-18 07:27:41	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdf0475…
10-17 07:20:35	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x879ce5…
10-16 05:11:09	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9de8da…
10-15 06:36:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfe0cb6…
10-14 07:10:29	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7d430f…
10-13 14:00:46	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7337e6…
10-13 04:19:00	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xae3085…
10-12 04:24:17	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x23ac5e…
10-11 03:12:06	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd14e52…
10-08 05:14:52	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x04157a…
10-07 08:51:30	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbf5dde…
10-06 07:11:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8ef45e…
10-04 07:55:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa1de65…
10-03 03:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa8ec31…
10-02 07:20:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfbfb6c…
10-01 07:49:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 1?	No	SELL	86	0¢	$0	0x65b0dc…
10-01 07:15:38	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 1?	No	BUY	86	9¢	$8	0x0d742a…
09-30 07:37:50	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0c58da…
09-29 07:12:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8295d7…
09-28 08:13:47	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x379788…
09-27 02:28:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcaf972…
09-25 07:26:14	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdf735b…
09-24 06:40:56	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x379b1e…
09-23 05:14:17	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x60b416…
09-22 06:12:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x207570…
09-21 08:19:41	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8a8d44…
09-20 03:06:19	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 63°F or below on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x83242d…
09-19 06:47:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3fc4a3…
09-18 01:09:42	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8fc3f9…
09-17 03:30:36	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xec60ce…
09-16 08:43:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc39b97…
09-15 23:33:48	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x96a9cc…
09-15 02:26:39	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x85456a…
09-14 00:52:55	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x091643…
09-13 12:49:27	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4363a1…
09-12 07:27:28	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcd0275…
09-11 01:14:43	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C or below on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x902e13…
09-10 01:31:19	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xae1f83…
09-09 01:00:00	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf9ac17…
09-08 01:06:39	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7ec8b8…
09-07 01:49:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe8e06a…
09-06 01:13:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9000d3…
09-05 09:19:25	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7c0210…
09-04 08:17:34	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on September 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcd8bd6…
09-03 01:26:51	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5d9881…
09-01 01:23:15	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on August 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfdcc14…
08-30 00:13:30	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9382b3…
08-29 05:49:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x699c1f…
08-28 01:29:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xda1fa1…
08-27 01:17:13	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x363435…
08-26 02:01:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa4e404…
08-25 06:41:28	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2a22f8…
08-24 07:17:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4ca935…
08-23 07:11:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6c7c98…
08-22 06:28:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc97a26…
08-21 01:27:13	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb86556…
08-20 05:33:07	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x57d2a3…
08-19 07:20:51	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8e121e…
08-18 00:18:42	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x882409…
08-17 06:06:09	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc77854…
08-16 01:44:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2f76ee…
08-15 02:33:04	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1bd97d…
08-14 01:21:33	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xda7e59…
08-13 00:26:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe333b5…
08-12 06:46:55	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xef5e33…
08-11 00:20:12	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x94879e…
08-10 00:22:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd0c98c…
08-09 07:44:51	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9e217b…
08-09 00:27:10	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbee29f…
08-08 00:19:00	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8475a0…
08-07 00:25:53	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x054f33…
08-06 00:23:14	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb2b6ec…
08-05 00:33:26	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x104d8f…
08-04 03:25:50	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x08f4a1…
08-03 00:17:59	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf5f56f…
08-02 00:20:35	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x29ff8b…
08-01 00:16:00	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe25c28…
07-31 07:09:26	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdea97c…
07-30 00:16:23	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x962da8…
07-29 00:16:34	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on July 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe895b0…
07-28 00:20:46	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x02f979…
07-27 01:22:51	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0545d9…
07-26 01:06:21	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x66df9e…
07-25 00:30:25	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xebcaa1…
07-24 01:18:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4cb06f…