Competent-Sightseeing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$73

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$30.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$373

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 09-03 23:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

69% 92% -$82

Crypto

21% 83% +$7

Politics

5% 100% +$2

Tech

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	8	$3.7K	1,918	1,918	+0	Yes	+$52	06-17 18:00
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	6	$2.9K	1,463	1,463	+0	No	+$8	03-04 09:32
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	2	$2.2K	1,098	1,098	+0	No	+$3	06-26 08:08
will bitcoin reach 110k in january 2026	2	$2.0K	985	985	+0	No	+$3	01-29 04:59
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$1.7K	832	832	+0	No	+$4	04-26 15:08
trump out as president by march 31	7	$1.7K	827	827	+0	No	+$2	03-28 06:38
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	2	$1.5K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	08-16 14:05
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	2	$1.2K	598	598	+0	No	+$2	01-25 08:21
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$1.0K	508	508	+0	No	+$1	03-07 00:59
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	2	$979	491	491	+0	No	+$1	03-22 09:55
will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	2	$965	484	484	+0	No	+$1	02-25 09:49
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$958	840	840	+0	No	-$185	08-31 00:28
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	1	$826	827	0	+827	No	+$1	03-29 14:18
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$761	390	390	+0	No	+$5	01-24 18:38
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	2	$757	381	381	+0	Yes	+$4	08-31 16:00
bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	2	$667	334	334	+0	No	+$1	03-22 10:01
microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025	1	$596	0	597	-597	No	-$1	01-01 00:19
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	2	$546	275	275	+0	No	+$3	06-15 16:44
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$539	288	288	+0	Yes	+$3	06-05 12:53
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	3	$538	270	270	+0	No	+$1	06-10 00:46
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$533	270	270	+0	No	+$4	05-30 02:45
will gold gc hit low 3000 by end of february 957 911 432 757 792 499 213 135	1	$505	506	0	+506	No	+$1	02-25 15:42
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$429	218	218	+0	No	+$4	09-03 23:19
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$425	213	213	+0	No	+$1	07-29 18:00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$424	213	213	+0	No	+$0	07-24 00:29
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$406	204	204	+0	Yes	+$2	04-26 15:03
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$402	203	203	+0	No	+$2	04-11 16:09
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$378	0	380	-380	No	-$1	01-13 13:09
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$361	184	184	+0	Yes	+$2	03-05 04:09
will silver si hit low 25 by end of february 859 949 933 273 811 757 923 129	7	$356	180	180	+0	No	+$3	02-17 09:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-03 23:19:33	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	218	99¢	$217	0xa86838…
08-31 16:00:52	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	381	100¢	$380	0x173fab…
08-31 00:30:06	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	381	99¢	$377	0xf9e0e7…
08-31 00:28:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	840	46¢	$387	0x4fb081…
08-26 11:47:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	840	68¢	$571	0x1ec3b9…
08-16 14:05:01	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	58¢	$580	0xf50e63…
07-30 02:22:57	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	218	98¢	$213	0x5e5558…
07-29 18:00:18	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	213	100¢	$213	0xb1392c…
07-24 00:29:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	213	99¢	$212	0x23aa97…
07-24 00:29:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	213	100¢	$212	0xbcc266…
07-06 00:49:20	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	213	100¢	$212	0x4769a2…
07-06 00:48:52	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	88¢	$880	0x7fee5d…
06-26 08:08:11	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	1,098	100¢	$1,096	0xc712a6…
06-20 00:56:52	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	BUY	1,098	100¢	$1,093	0x4595a3…
06-17 18:00:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	820	100¢	$819	0x157200…
06-15 16:44:03	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	275	100¢	$274	0xe69be4…
06-10 00:47:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	820	99¢	$813	0x75d44a…
06-10 00:46:39	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	135	100¢	$135	0x342f8a…
06-07 06:53:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	135	100¢	$135	0x864482…
06-06 16:04:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	549	99¢	$544	0x03c8e0…
06-06 04:08:43	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	BUY	275	99¢	$271	0x535085…
06-05 12:53:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	288	94¢	$271	0xb3dcdb…
06-03 06:30:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	270	99¢	$268	0xe46eb4…
05-30 02:45:23	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	270	99¢	$269	0x03dcde…
05-16 03:19:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	288	93¢	$268	0x5e778f…
05-15 13:55:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	274	98¢	$269	0x5e3f29…
05-12 00:58:14	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	270	98¢	$264	0xeac230…
05-08 14:48:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	137	97¢	$133	0xff17ab…
05-08 12:30:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	137	96¢	$132	0xbf0041…
04-28 23:59:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x6c9a0f…
04-28 14:00:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,088	94¢	$1,023	0x2a11f4…
04-26 15:08:22	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	832	100¢	$831	0x5f3b5a…
04-26 15:03:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	204	100¢	$204	0x8717fc…
04-15 02:25:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	204	99¢	$202	0x9a1c9a…
04-11 16:09:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	203	99¢	$202	0xd9f379…
04-07 12:29:53	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	832	99¢	$827	0xdd4bc4…
03-29 14:18:54	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	827	100¢	$826	0x1155bc…
03-28 06:38:43	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xf424fb…
03-28 06:16:29	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	122	100¢	$122	0xf6e1f1…
03-28 05:59:55	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	161	100¢	$161	0xa16633…
03-28 05:51:27	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	117	100¢	$117	0x37cb88…
03-28 05:47:55	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xa94544…
03-28 05:40:51	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	349	100¢	$348	0xf3ad68…
03-24 23:36:39	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	827	100¢	$824	0x7b21cb…
03-22 10:01:31	bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	No	SELL	334	100¢	$334	0x3b504d…
03-22 09:55:51	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	491	100¢	$490	0x7942be…
03-17 04:10:23	bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	No	BUY	334	100¢	$333	0xe8508b…
03-07 03:06:49	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	203	98¢	$200	0x5dfa7f…
03-07 03:06:27	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	491	100¢	$489	0x822381…
03-07 00:59:57	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	508	100¢	$507	0x94d8f7…
03-05 04:09:25	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	184	99¢	$182	0x17d65a…
03-04 14:28:33	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	184	98¢	$180	0xdb7fc9…
03-04 09:32:57	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	180	100¢	$180	0x3beab0…
03-03 14:58:31	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	508	100¢	$506	0x2c265d…
02-25 15:42:38	will gold gc hit low 3000 by end of february 957 911 432 757 792 499 213 135	No	BUY	506	100¢	$505	0x32b558…
02-25 09:49:02	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	No	SELL	484	100¢	$483	0x060713…
02-24 12:33:16	will silver si hit low 40 by end of february 776 791 516 257 572 135 547 179	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x714ee6…
02-20 03:22:08	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	180	99¢	$179	0xb249cc…
02-17 09:40:53	will silver si hit low 25 by end of february 859 949 933 273 811 757 923 129	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7532f1…
02-17 00:28:21	will silver si hit low 25 by end of february 859 949 933 273 811 757 923 129	No	SELL	99	100¢	$99	0xca77db…
02-16 12:04:33	will silver si hit low 25 by end of february 859 949 933 273 811 757 923 129	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x549d72…
02-15 23:01:09	will silver si hit low 25 by end of february 859 949 933 273 811 757 923 129	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x100781…
02-15 17:48:47	will silver si hit low 25 by end of february 859 949 933 273 811 757 923 129	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x54f677…
02-15 15:50:21	will silver si hit low 25 by end of february 859 949 933 273 811 757 923 129	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x246751…
02-13 14:06:13	will silver si hit low 40 by end of february 776 791 516 257 572 135 547 179	No	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0xe97b3e…
02-13 03:03:57	will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x13df81…
02-12 14:54:07	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	No	BUY	484	100¢	$482	0x6a56c3…
02-11 14:57:07	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	486	99¢	$482	0x348b89…
02-06 09:14:45	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	486	99¢	$479	0x858b10…
02-03 16:33:18	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	797	99¢	$790	0x0cb770…
01-31 07:35:00	will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	No	BUY	22	98¢	$21	0xe6f658…
01-31 07:34:28	will silver si hit low 25 by end of february 859 949 933 273 811 757 923 129	No	BUY	180	98¢	$177	0x7c145c…
01-31 07:33:40	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	797	99¢	$786	0x332432…
01-29 04:59:10	will bitcoin reach 110k in january 2026	No	SELL	985	100¢	$984	0x6b3a3b…
01-26 01:33:02	will bitcoin reach 110k in january 2026	No	BUY	985	100¢	$981	0x2b8e69…
01-25 08:21:50	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	SELL	598	100¢	$598	0x7f92d2…
01-24 18:38:00	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	390	98¢	$383	0x84f299…
01-13 13:11:35	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	390	97¢	$378	0xb7d342…
01-13 13:09:39	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	380	100¢	$378	0xe0e96e…
01-04 13:32:21	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	BUY	598	100¢	$596	0xfe9c99…
01-01 00:19:47	microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025	No	SELL	597	100¢	$596	0x036f25…