Worn-Retailer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.40K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.7%

Resolved

7,463

Trades

47,045

lifetime

Volume

$143.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-21

last 10-26 14:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 101 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 50% -$3,615

Politics

3% 56% +$291

Other

0% 27% -$61

Sports

0% 0% -$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 1466 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	5	$570	660	211	+449	Yes	+$119	03-04 19:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 23:20 UTC	50	$551	470	457	+12	Up	-$1	04-17 23:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 23:35 UTC	62	$506	1,031	0	+1,031	Down	+$14	04-18 23:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 23:40 UTC	65	$499	1,259	434	+825	Up	+$28	04-18 23:44
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$473	385	385	+0	Yes	+$273	02-28 07:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 00:50 UTC	103	$471	962	0	+962	Down	-$39	04-17 00:54
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$449	328	328	+0	No	+$49	03-24 17:57
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	5	$443	464	464	+0	No	+$83	03-04 19:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 18:50 UTC	57	$429	846	0	+846	Down	-$2	04-17 18:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 00:05 UTC	48	$396	800	0	+800	Up	+$4	04-19 00:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 10:40 UTC	50	$394	753	0	+753	Down	-$34	04-18 10:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 23:00 UTC	37	$386	767	0	+767	Up	-$6	04-18 23:04
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	14	$381	16,751	0	+16,751	Yes	-$381	03-03 20:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 21:05 UTC	41	$377	452	0	+452	Up	+$75	09-14 21:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 21:45 UTC	40	$377	820	0	+820	Up	+$3	04-18 21:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 19:35 UTC	75	$374	721	0	+721	Up	-$23	04-17 19:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 23:25 UTC	33	$360	700	0	+700	Down	+$20	04-18 23:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 20:35 UTC	45	$360	705	0	+705	Up	+$0	04-17 20:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 23:10 UTC	39	$359	738	0	+738	Down	+$1	04-18 23:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 00:25 UTC	34	$358	720	0	+720	Up	+$2	04-19 00:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 15:45 UTC	71	$340	690	0	+690	Down	+$0	04-17 15:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 23:55 UTC	27	$337	548	0	+548	Down	+$11	04-18 23:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 23:55 UTC	44	$336	300	291	+10	Down	+$7	04-17 23:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 11:00 UTC	100	$333	693	0	+693	Up	+$3	04-19 11:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 22:15 UTC	90	$332	598	0	+598	Up	+$7	04-19 22:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 00:00 UTC	38	$329	618	0	+618	Up	-$11	04-19 00:04
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	8	$329	1,649	400	+1,249	Yes	+$7	02-28 22:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 23:20 UTC	32	$319	626	0	+626	Up	+$7	04-18 23:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 11:45 UTC	66	$316	660	0	+660	Up	+$44	04-18 11:49
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	5	$309	293	293	+0	Yes	+$9	03-08 14:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 14:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0xe54831…
10-26 14:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x49e891…
10-26 14:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	37¢	$0	0x82f756…
10-26 14:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x82099b…
10-26 14:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x31f5ac…
10-26 14:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xd2e3ab…
10-26 14:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xc14785…
10-26 14:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x9fc413…
10-26 14:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x8b6e15…
10-26 14:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x54a82a…
10-26 09:35:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xc6321f…
10-26 09:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0xf01327…
10-26 09:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	39¢	$0	0x197896…
10-26 09:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xc2bf7e…
10-26 09:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x7fbe8a…
10-26 09:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	0	33¢	$0	0x313146…
10-26 00:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xf22ec2…
10-26 00:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x030657…
10-26 00:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xe64b2e…
10-26 00:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x5d7367…
10-26 00:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xe1f416…
10-26 00:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x5f9228…
10-26 00:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x884925…
10-26 00:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xf0ab60…
10-26 00:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	63¢	$0	0x99b566…
10-26 00:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x73c35a…
10-26 00:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0x29065d…
10-25 23:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x29d952…
10-25 23:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x39ab05…
10-25 23:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa0cb52…
10-25 23:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x68b517…
10-25 23:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x6acf73…
10-25 23:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x0fc1ad…
10-25 23:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xa13fd5…
10-25 23:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x2ed1d3…
10-25 23:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x218cb3…
10-25 23:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	0	26¢	$0	0xfb2a36…
10-25 23:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x8c5482…
10-25 23:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	0	38¢	$0	0x9af3ce…
10-25 23:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x404166…
10-25 23:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xe4df1a…
10-25 19:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x1fd377…
10-25 19:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x6ff562…
10-25 19:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x69f711…
10-25 19:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x11846c…
10-25 18:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xbd1a3a…
10-25 18:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x6f4103…
10-25 18:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x8cf0a3…
10-25 18:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x09449f…
10-25 18:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x696959…
10-25 18:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x29245c…
10-25 18:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x60a9f7…
10-25 18:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x64e551…
10-25 18:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	56¢	$1	0x0736d4…
10-25 18:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xc74863…
10-25 18:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x43adbf…
10-25 18:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	56¢	$1	0x7b4912…
10-25 18:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x0dbc39…
10-25 18:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xf0910d…
10-25 18:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x9eff2f…
10-25 18:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x587784…
10-22 18:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xe29e6e…
10-22 01:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xfd62e5…
10-22 01:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	19¢	$3	0x659cc3…
10-22 01:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	33	41¢	$14	0x546fae…
10-22 01:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xb9e45e…
10-22 01:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0xa2073a…
10-22 01:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	40	23¢	$9	0x4c8c78…
10-22 00:47:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	32	17¢	$5	0xc5bf37…
10-22 00:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	11¢	$2	0x2769da…
10-22 00:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x6abb79…
10-22 00:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	32	60¢	$20	0xec4587…
10-22 00:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	32	25¢	$8	0x4eb923…
10-22 00:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	32	64¢	$20	0xe4fde7…
10-21 23:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	34	18¢	$6	0x3e3136…
10-21 23:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	32	64¢	$20	0x6004e2…
10-21 23:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	42	15¢	$6	0xc2236e…
10-21 23:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	32	38¢	$12	0xcb4958…
10-21 23:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xdbaf70…
10-21 23:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	37	21¢	$8	0x6a82c1…
10-21 23:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	19	14¢	$3	0x943d57…
10-21 23:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	32	24¢	$8	0x62e3b5…
10-21 23:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	33	40¢	$13	0x20652e…
10-21 22:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x2ad287…
10-21 22:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	42¢	$13	0xee10ea…
10-21 22:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	32	26¢	$8	0xdd83c1…
10-21 22:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	31	54¢	$16	0x910c31…
10-21 22:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	63	9¢	$6	0xf64dbe…
10-21 22:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	34	16¢	$5	0x43003d…
10-21 22:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	33	53¢	$18	0xcda831…
10-21 22:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x7b4a02…
10-21 22:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x0b4522…
10-21 22:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	48¢	$8	0x042cc2…
10-21 22:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x8f210b…
10-21 21:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	33	38¢	$13	0xd13b17…
10-21 21:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	35	33¢	$11	0xda1002…
10-21 21:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x78b437…
10-21 21:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	35	45¢	$16	0x09620b…
10-21 21:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	32	60¢	$20	0xfce081…
10-21 21:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0x755445…