Responsible-Prompt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.23K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.5%

Resolved

Trades

276

lifetime

Volume

$1.43M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$5.17K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 07-01 22:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Politics

46% 100% +$1,403

Other

43% 89% +$1,593

Crypto

11% 100% +$1,234

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	15	$291.9K	146,327	146,327	-0	Yes	+$439	04-08 01:33
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	153	$200.3K	100,874	100,873	+1	No	+$450	05-01 01:36
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	30	$198.3K	198,600	0	+198,600	No	+$272	05-30 19:04
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	4	$153.5K	154,711	0	+154,711	No	+$1,234	06-03 00:19
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	16	$144.4K	145,000	0	+145,000	Yes	+$580	04-08 01:39
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	3	$125.3K	125,500	0	+125,500	No	+$184	04-30 13:46
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	1	$100.0K	100,220	0	+100,220	Yes	+$200	06-17 02:06
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	21	$74.9K	75,000	75,564	-564	No	+$226	05-30 18:55
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	1	$50.0K	0	50,000	-50,000	Yes	-$50	05-30 19:02
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	11	$50.0K	50,000	0	+50,000	No	+$50	06-29 23:14
netanyahu out by march 31 854	16	$29.6K	30,000	0	+30,000	No	+$350	03-24 07:45
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$9.8K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$195	04-29 22:53
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	1	$50	0	50,186	-50,186	No	+$50	07-01 22:37
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?	2	$50	0	50,000	-50,000	No	+$50	06-29 23:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 22:37:52	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	SELL	50,186	0¢	$50	0x302db2…
06-29 23:21:22	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	SELL	40,000	0¢	$40	0xcc41dd…
06-29 23:14:07	Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	No	BUY	8,876	100¢	$8,867	0xdb2398…
06-29 23:14:07	Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	No	BUY	5,500	100¢	$5,494	0x5c0ad7…
06-29 23:14:07	Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	No	BUY	7,256	100¢	$7,249	0x33dbaf…
06-29 23:14:02	Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xea6564…
06-29 23:13:58	Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xb9a9b8…
06-29 23:13:55	Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xc29f43…
06-29 23:13:53	Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	No	BUY	15,368	100¢	$15,352	0xfb0938…
06-29 23:11:25	Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	No	BUY	620	100¢	$619	0x6c7f35…
06-29 23:11:20	Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	No	BUY	3,000	100¢	$2,997	0x6564a1…
06-29 23:11:19	Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	No	BUY	5,380	100¢	$5,375	0xfee769…
06-29 23:11:19	Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x4dd7a6…
06-17 02:06:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	100,220	100¢	$100,020	0x4ddd40…
06-03 00:19:04	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,211	100¢	$1,205	0x2be21f…
06-02 16:27:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,500	99¢	$3,472	0xde0209…
06-02 16:27:23	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	63,485	99¢	$62,977	0x3b6aff…
06-02 16:27:23	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	86,515	99¢	$85,823	0x0b4b31…
05-30 19:04:30	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	No	BUY	13,448	100¢	$13,434	0x92a686…
05-30 19:04:27	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	No	BUY	6,552	100¢	$6,546	0x7cac69…
05-30 19:04:25	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	No	BUY	21,512	100¢	$21,491	0xbc1eb0…
05-30 19:02:35	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	50,000	100¢	$49,950	0xd9c1a0…
05-30 18:55:44	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	SELL	26,564	0¢	$27	0x1b7523…
05-30 18:55:42	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0xed5216…
05-30 18:55:40	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	SELL	5,000	0¢	$5	0x0411ac…
05-30 18:55:38	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xdeeaee…
05-30 18:55:35	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0f548d…
05-30 18:55:28	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	SELL	10,000	0¢	$10	0x175851…
05-30 18:55:24	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x4ecbd1…
05-30 18:55:16	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd26b76…
05-30 18:55:16	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0xb42e8a…
05-30 18:55:07	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	SELL	5,000	0¢	$5	0x29c639…
05-30 18:55:05	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa89d7b…
05-30 18:55:02	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	SELL	20,000	0¢	$20	0xe7711e…
05-30 18:50:29	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	No	BUY	937	100¢	$936	0x9da68a…
05-30 18:50:25	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	No	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0xce2010…
05-30 18:50:25	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	No	BUY	19,000	100¢	$18,981	0x766a8b…
05-30 18:50:22	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xc39f75…
05-30 18:50:20	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	No	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0xe872b3…
05-30 18:50:20	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x3f6e10…
05-30 18:50:08	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x72e632…
05-30 18:50:06	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xf69719…
05-30 18:50:06	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	No	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0xba0244…
05-30 18:49:59	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	No	BUY	20,000	100¢	$19,980	0x43a16f…
05-30 18:49:57	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	No	BUY	19,230	100¢	$19,211	0x04faed…
05-30 18:49:54	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	No	BUY	2,833	100¢	$2,831	0x68ceef…
05-30 18:48:24	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	No	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,990	0xff43da…
05-30 18:48:24	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	No	BUY	12,861	100¢	$12,835	0x6fe0e9…
05-30 18:48:24	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$998	0x477509…
05-30 18:48:23	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x6ab03e…
05-30 18:48:12	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xf6dbea…
05-30 18:48:12	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x8df624…
05-30 18:48:10	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	No	BUY	20,000	100¢	$19,960	0x9884da…
05-30 18:48:09	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x0ee932…
05-30 18:48:02	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	No	BUY	3,855	100¢	$3,847	0xe4c69d…
05-30 18:48:02	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	No	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,990	0xd019c4…
05-30 18:48:00	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	No	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,980	0x726f08…
05-30 18:48:00	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x55a857…
05-30 18:47:55	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	No	BUY	3,500	100¢	$3,493	0xe9f9b6…
05-30 18:47:53	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	No	BUY	9,884	100¢	$9,865	0xb77315…
05-30 18:47:49	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	No	BUY	1,964	100¢	$1,961	0x88f42f…
05-30 18:47:06	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x614d57…
05-30 18:47:06	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x400b4d…
05-30 18:47:02	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	No	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,980	0x410f83…
05-30 18:47:00	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	No	BUY	2,500	100¢	$2,495	0x8028ec…
05-30 18:46:59	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	No	BUY	2,500	100¢	$2,495	0xf88155…
05-30 18:46:52	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x784fa9…
05-30 18:46:48	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	No	BUY	2,500	100¢	$2,495	0xe4c26e…
05-30 18:46:46	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	No	BUY	54,525	100¢	$54,416	0x80a772…
05-01 01:36:54	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	26,641	100¢	$26,534	0x06cdcc…
04-30 13:50:06	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	386	100¢	$384	0xaa5f61…
04-30 13:46:46	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	73,500	100¢	$73,426	0x0679f3…
04-30 11:22:22	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0xb8b241…
04-30 08:15:10	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	162	99¢	$162	0x8e1c3c…
04-30 06:03:30	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x8d5c29…
04-30 06:02:08	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0xae90eb…
04-30 06:01:40	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x5fe163…
04-30 06:01:18	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x9f7ef9…
04-30 06:00:50	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x0147a7…
04-30 06:00:12	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x7fd4de…
04-30 05:59:46	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0xb97a68…
04-30 05:59:20	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x7dc2ba…
04-30 05:56:16	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	205	99¢	$204	0x67c9eb…
04-30 05:55:54	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	206	99¢	$205	0xadf87d…
04-30 05:55:18	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	207	99¢	$206	0xc34e08…
04-30 05:54:58	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	207	99¢	$206	0xf02aef…
04-30 05:54:36	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	207	99¢	$206	0xfe7825…
04-30 05:54:04	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	208	99¢	$207	0x638180…
04-30 05:53:40	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	208	99¢	$207	0xfd4dcb…
04-30 05:50:38	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	97	99¢	$97	0x8a3c22…
04-30 05:49:48	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	97	99¢	$97	0x768a87…
04-30 05:49:28	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	97	99¢	$97	0x865794…
04-30 05:49:02	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	97	99¢	$97	0x4ed7f4…
04-30 05:48:44	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	97	99¢	$97	0xfc01a2…
04-30 05:48:06	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	98	99¢	$98	0x2241c0…
04-30 05:47:46	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	98	99¢	$98	0xdb04ae…
04-30 05:47:26	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	98	99¢	$98	0xca2016…
04-30 05:47:04	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	98	99¢	$98	0xec1b08…
04-30 05:46:46	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	2,143	100¢	$2,132	0x2d9cc8…
04-30 05:43:42	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0xce961a…