Gullible-Pile — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.0%

Resolved

Trades

331

lifetime

Volume

$1.16K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 05-06 11:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 68% +$3

Other

18% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 108 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776775500	2	$89	69	66	+3	open	—	04-21 12:50
highest temperature in hong kong on april 19 2026 29c	4	$65	57	56	+1	open	—	04-19 05:02
btc updown 5m 1776775200	3	$54	227	27	+200	open	—	04-21 12:43
btc updown 5m 1776776700	1	$54	199	0	+199	open	—	04-21 13:07
highest temperature in hong kong on april 19 2026 30c	3	$51	63	42	+20	open	—	04-19 06:54
highest temperature in hong kong on april 21 2026 28c	3	$45	26	26	+0	open	—	04-21 10:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	4	$42	25	25	+0	open	—	05-02 08:00
highest temperature in hong kong on april 19 2026 31corhigher	2	$31	210	200	+10	open	—	04-19 04:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	3	$25	20	16	+4	open	—	05-02 08:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$25	16	16	+0	open	—	05-04 08:50
btc updown 5m 1776776100	2	$24	64	61	+3	open	—	04-21 12:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	2	$23	13	13	+0	open	—	05-02 08:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	4	$23	13	13	+0	open	—	05-02 11:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	2	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	05-02 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	4	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	05-04 05:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	05-02 08:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-02 11:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-04 05:49
highest temperature in hong kong on april 16 2026 29c	1	$20	58	0	+58	open	—	04-15 01:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	2	$19	12	12	+0	open	—	05-04 06:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$18	9	9	+0	open	—	05-02 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	05-04 05:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	3	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	05-04 01:01
btc updown 5m 1776776400	2	$15	11	10	+0	open	—	04-21 13:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	1	$13	19	0	+19	open	—	05-04 09:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	4	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	05-02 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	3	$12	12	2	+10	open	—	05-04 05:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	05-04 07:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	4	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	05-02 07:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	4	$6	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 09:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 11:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xef4158…
05-06 11:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xb615aa…
05-06 10:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x9397cb…
05-06 10:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	89¢	$1	0xe05c4d…
05-06 10:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x9b0739…
05-06 10:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x5f804f…
05-06 10:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xcbc623…
05-06 10:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0xc1476f…
05-06 10:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xaa615a…
05-06 10:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	50¢	$1	0xe06d1b…
05-06 10:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x2cd379…
05-06 06:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x82355d…
05-06 06:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x9ef60c…
05-06 06:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0x75f81f…
05-06 06:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x94053d…
05-06 06:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0x5548b0…
05-06 06:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xabb739…
05-06 05:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x3c7fe7…
05-06 05:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x7daa9c…
05-06 05:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$2	0xcea8b3…
05-06 05:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x54051e…
05-06 01:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	61¢	$2	0xfc447f…
05-06 01:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf0f868…
05-06 01:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	13¢	$0	0xf0474a…
05-06 01:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x53b9d4…
05-06 01:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x08fe88…
05-06 01:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x755b7d…
05-06 01:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0x693537…
05-06 01:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x5f879e…
05-06 01:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x03f87b…
05-06 01:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xdbdcfa…
05-06 01:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0xce11d0…
05-06 01:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x04f93c…
05-06 00:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0x3b735b…
05-06 00:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xd50879…
05-06 00:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0xc4ffe5…
05-06 00:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x8f3dde…
05-06 00:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$2	0x06f0ee…
05-06 00:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x65ccff…
05-06 00:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x9f6175…
05-06 00:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xc70f3d…
05-06 00:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	56¢	$1	0x333489…
05-06 00:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xa808f3…
05-06 00:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$2	0xf3327e…
05-06 00:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4c23f0…
05-06 00:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$2	0x692ce2…
05-06 00:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2a5f5e…
05-05 11:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x6d413e…
05-05 11:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x844a83…
05-05 11:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xc82f0d…
05-05 11:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x9f2903…
05-05 11:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0x41288a…
05-05 11:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x81db95…
05-05 11:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0x5d8cb0…
05-05 11:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xe1638d…
05-05 11:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x3cc1bd…
05-05 11:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5104e0…
05-05 11:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x779eab…
05-05 10:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd8fa63…
05-05 10:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	69¢	$2	0x095a1d…
05-05 10:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x736766…
05-05 10:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xd5ca2e…
05-05 10:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x0494f1…
05-05 10:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x2e9769…
05-05 10:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x14ade3…
05-05 10:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xd37d23…
05-05 10:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x919bfa…
05-05 10:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x095e8b…
05-05 10:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x0b1712…
05-05 10:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xc98cc0…
05-05 10:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x636ee4…
05-05 10:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x21b435…
05-05 09:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1d4461…
05-05 09:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x62ed37…
05-05 09:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd90952…
05-05 09:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	14¢	$0	0x98e0c9…
05-05 09:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0xa88762…
05-05 09:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0xc906e2…
05-05 09:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xdea2da…
05-05 09:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0xa09578…
05-05 09:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0x21292d…
05-05 09:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0x50f2ca…
05-05 09:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x74a085…
05-05 09:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0xf9db7a…
05-05 09:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0x02d2d8…
05-05 09:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0xf6d2f5…
05-05 09:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	57¢	$1	0x3a9a9d…
05-05 09:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0x96a0ab…
05-05 09:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	41¢	$1	0xeda883…
05-05 09:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x0e0b64…
05-05 09:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x9207a3…
05-05 09:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0xcad7ad…
05-05 09:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xea1ab3…
05-05 08:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0xf5f582…
05-05 08:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x9b96e2…
05-05 08:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0x8f1e13…
05-05 08:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x64e08a…
05-05 08:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0x941da8…
05-05 08:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0xbca9f1…
05-05 04:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x4bbdbd…