Realized P&L
+$82.0K
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
94.3%
Resolved
52
Trades
890
lifetime
Volume
$956.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.08K
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 04-23 21:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 31 days
Categories
Politics
98%
75%
+$86,213
Other
2%
44%
-$4,239
Sports
0%
50%
+$118
Crypto
0%
0%
-$100
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-04-23).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 27 | $342.5K | 251,235 | 251,235 | +0 | Yes | +$1,045 | 04-05 12:10 |
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 147 | $129.7K | 150,528 | 150,528 | +0 | No | +$6,360 | 04-01 10:30 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | 127 | $94.1K | 74,028 | 74,028 | +0 | Yes | +$5,163 | 04-02 18:59 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31 | 16 | $93.6K | 87,472 | 77,472 | +10,000 | Yes | +$42,080 | 02-28 20:23 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | 13 | $45.7K | 59,717 | 68,808 | -9,091 | Yes | +$32,364 | 02-28 20:23 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 31 | 5 | $28.7K | 19,176 | 19,176 | +0 | No | +$352 | 03-08 20:44 |
| us forces enter iran by march 14 337 | 11 | $27.2K | 18,791 | 18,791 | +0 | No | +$1,804 | 03-15 03:21 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 15 | 4 | $27.1K | 15,104 | 15,104 | +0 | No | +$713 | 03-08 20:45 |
| will us or israel strike iran on march 8 2026 | 2 | $20.2K | 10,245 | 10,245 | +0 | Yes | +$225 | 03-07 15:33 |
| will us or israel strike iran on march 7 2026 | 20 | $20.1K | 10,157 | 10,157 | +0 | Yes | +$147 | 03-07 03:18 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31 | 2 | $12.1K | 6,815 | 6,815 | +0 | No | +$609 | 03-21 13:46 |
| us forces enter iran by march 7 | 9 | $10.6K | 13,502 | 13,502 | +0 | No | -$3,099 | 03-08 03:13 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | 56 | $8.8K | 35,907 | 35,907 | +0 | No | -$1,622 | 04-23 21:41 |
| will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility | 49 | $8.1K | 7,816 | 7,816 | +0 | Yes | +$5,933 | 04-01 13:25 |
| israel strikes iran by february 28 2026 | 53 | $7.9K | 31,124 | 11,952 | +19,172 | Yes | +$15,083 | 02-27 23:46 |
| us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913 | 19 | $7.7K | 37,691 | 0 | +37,691 | No | -$7,741 | 01-14 18:14 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | 58 | $7.6K | 10,079 | 10,079 | +0 | Yes | +$63 | 02-17 13:28 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 15 | 4 | $5.7K | 4,488 | 4,488 | +0 | Yes | +$241 | 03-25 23:04 |
| will the us next strike iran on february 27 2026 et | 20 | $5.4K | 59,181 | 51,541 | +7,640 | No | -$2,332 | 02-28 06:17 |
| US strike on Mexico by March 31? | 37 | $4.7K | 25,608 | 25,571 | +36 | No | -$1,067 | 02-13 23:12 |
| will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et | 48 | $4.2K | 20,216 | 32,763 | -12,547 | Yes | -$10,294 | 02-27 20:16 |
| will us or israel strike iran on march 5 2026 | 2 | $4.1K | 2,064 | 2,064 | +0 | Yes | +$59 | 03-05 04:16 |
| will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026 | 1 | $4.0K | 4,032 | 0 | +4,032 | Yes | +$32 | 03-03 01:12 |
| israel strikes iran by march 31 2026 | 10 | $3.7K | 3,822 | 3,822 | +0 | Yes | +$1,016 | 02-28 00:46 |
| us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612 | 2 | $3.6K | 13,107 | 8,107 | +5,000 | No | -$2,351 | 01-15 11:21 |
| us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368 | 5 | $3.6K | 19,239 | 19,261 | -22 | No | -$112 | 02-23 20:21 |
| will us or israel strike iran on march 4 2026 | 1 | $3.0K | 3,055 | 0 | +3,055 | Yes | +$55 | 03-03 01:11 |
| us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761 | 5 | $2.6K | 2,171 | 2,171 | +0 | Yes | +$296 | 02-16 14:38 |
| us strikes iran by february 27 2026 | 3 | $2.5K | 8,880 | 8,880 | +0 | No | +$183 | 02-23 20:21 |
| will the us next strike iran on february 26 2026 et | 65 | $2.4K | 47,117 | 47,117 | +0 | No | -$1,461 | 02-25 21:26 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||