Unfortunate-Process — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$780

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.5%

Resolved

12,170

Trades

25,548

lifetime

Volume

$45.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 10-08 09:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 170 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 51% -$780

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 757 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	32	$157	131	131	+0	Down	-$17	10-05 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	37	$135	131	65	+66	Down	-$69	10-06 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	18	$129	84	84	+0	Up	+$27	10-02 19:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	24	$126	96	96	+0	Up	-$6	10-05 21:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 21:50 UTC	21	$126	80	80	+0	Down	+$26	10-03 21:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 21:55 UTC	26	$122	94	94	+0	Down	-$16	10-04 21:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	17	$113	66	66	+0	Down	+$17	10-05 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	17	$108	62	62	+0	Down	+$12	10-04 20:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	17	$107	68	68	+0	Up	+$23	09-02 15:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 21:40 UTC	24	$107	93	75	+18	Down	-$19	10-03 21:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	19	$102	72	72	+0	Up	+$0	10-05 19:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	21	$102	85	85	+0	Up	-$12	10-05 19:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	19	$100	66	66	+0	Down	-$2	10-04 03:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	14	$96	61	61	+0	Up	+$18	10-05 19:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 22:40 UTC	19	$95	60	60	+0	Up	+$5	10-04 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	18	$94	76	76	+0	Down	-$2	10-05 20:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	16	$93	64	56	+8	Down	+$21	10-03 20:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	15	$92	57	57	+0	Up	+$14	10-04 20:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	16	$92	55	54	+0	Up	+$12	10-03 22:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	13	$90	56	56	+0	Up	+$18	10-05 20:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	19	$88	62	62	+0	Down	+$0	10-05 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	17	$88	68	68	+0	Down	+$4	10-05 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	14	$86	50	50	+0	Down	+$8	10-03 23:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 23:05 UTC	12	$84	53	53	+0	Up	+$18	10-04 23:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	14	$82	54	54	+0	Up	+$20	09-02 16:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	20	$82	57	57	+0	Up	-$10	10-04 20:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	11	$79	51	51	+0	Up	+$19	10-02 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	17	$78	55	55	+0	Up	-$2	10-05 01:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 01:10 UTC	12	$77	46	46	+0	Up	+$11	10-05 01:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	13	$77	80	80	+0	Up	+$11	10-02 21:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-08 09:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0x6477e2…
10-08 09:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x59a828…
10-08 09:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x9388fd…
10-08 09:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xe280cc…
10-08 09:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xbb3322…
10-08 09:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x69b843…
10-08 09:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x53c93e…
10-08 09:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x4b13c0…
10-08 09:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x1fe39f…
10-08 09:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xdfa32f…
10-08 09:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x4879ab…
10-08 09:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x5c0b5a…
10-08 09:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xe924fe…
10-08 09:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xa4dd78…
10-08 09:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	16	9¢	$1	0xe5c85a…
10-08 09:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x5f8334…
10-08 09:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xba7e14…
10-08 09:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x1e8ed6…
10-08 09:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	12	96¢	$11	0x0fcedf…
10-08 09:06:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x54620d…
10-08 09:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x43a879…
10-08 09:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xd9b0b5…
10-08 09:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x07e650…
10-08 09:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	24	97¢	$24	0x9ae2bb…
10-08 09:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x5f8b2e…
10-08 09:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xa91907…
10-08 09:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x8a98e9…
10-08 09:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xb6b684…
10-08 09:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x541341…
10-08 09:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x3c7088…
10-08 08:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	25	94¢	$24	0x57a18e…
10-08 08:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x22923a…
10-08 08:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x967aee…
10-08 08:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xd56a11…
10-08 08:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xcc18ee…
10-08 08:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x2e560d…
10-08 08:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x08f202…
10-08 08:56:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	24¢	$2	0x38e325…
10-08 08:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x2079dd…
10-08 08:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xdbf379…
10-08 08:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xf96b42…
10-08 08:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xb20348…
10-08 08:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	33	96¢	$32	0x7d6d66…
10-08 08:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x41c8d9…
10-08 08:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x855853…
10-08 08:45:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x4c8df2…
10-08 08:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xbd7d1c…
10-08 08:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x070744…
10-08 08:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x2ac17b…
10-08 08:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0xf8c942…
10-08 08:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xae531c…
10-08 08:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xab090f…
10-08 08:41:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	11	22¢	$3	0x2f5e7e…
10-08 08:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xe270cd…
10-08 08:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x3ac02f…
10-08 08:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0xa91798…
10-08 08:38:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x0f0f1a…
10-08 08:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xefd48b…
10-08 08:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x289a6a…
10-08 08:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	7	9¢	$1	0xf66bf5…
10-08 08:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xef02cd…
10-08 08:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	36	95¢	$34	0x11af15…
10-08 08:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0xce334f…
10-08 08:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x32eef5…
10-08 08:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x0f0149…
10-08 08:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x8f1e93…
10-08 08:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x11f2c9…
10-08 08:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xd13949…
10-08 08:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x166562…
10-08 08:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x35855c…
10-08 08:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xeff211…
10-08 08:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x750c30…
10-08 08:17:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x48df2f…
10-08 08:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	89¢	$1	0x885bc5…
10-08 08:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x7631f4…
10-08 08:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8be5f9…
10-08 08:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xa1e762…
10-08 08:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x914afe…
10-08 08:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x720573…
10-08 07:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	34	8¢	$3	0xe2235b…
10-08 07:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xd9e3b1…
10-08 07:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xcb0517…
10-08 07:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xcda6bd…
10-08 07:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x054900…
10-08 07:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x32e55c…
10-08 07:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x4169a5…
10-08 07:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xef1b11…
10-08 07:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x4ceb48…
10-08 07:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x734d40…
10-08 07:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0xd0f639…
10-08 07:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xc0676c…
10-08 07:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x4b8b6c…
10-08 07:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xbd6e75…
10-08 07:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	18	97¢	$18	0x4db06c…
10-08 07:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x647d36…
10-08 07:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x072973…
10-08 07:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xb36d57…
10-08 07:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xe1d9f9…
10-08 07:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x99d3dd…
10-08 07:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	12	14¢	$2	0xa1efda…