Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$148

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.0%

Resolved

4,757

Trades

5,314

lifetime

Volume

$45.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-23

last 10-26 12:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 95% +$175

Other

0% 33% -$25

Tech

0% 0% -$2

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 532 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 22:25 UTC	27	$396	352	352	+0	Up	+$50	08-06 22:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 19:05 UTC	77	$335	325	165	+160	Up	-$5	08-12 19:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 19:10 UTC	78	$325	335	165	+170	Down	+$2	08-12 19:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 19:20 UTC	85	$276	313	133	+180	Down	-$10	08-12 19:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 12:05 UTC	27	$174	162	162	+0	Down	+$13	08-04 12:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 21:05 UTC	38	$120	125	125	+0	Up	-$8	08-17 21:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 20:50 UTC	49	$109	220	0	+220	Up	-$4	08-17 20:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 20:05 UTC	46	$97	210	0	+210	Down	-$7	08-09 20:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 21:00 UTC	40	$83	167	0	+167	Up	+$32	08-17 21:03
will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	3	$78	129	129	+0	Yes	-$2	06-09 15:09
Will the Republicans win Greenville County in the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	4	$48	60	60	+0	open	—	10-21 11:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 19:50 UTC	14	$34	40	40	+0	Up	$0	08-12 19:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 19:45 UTC	23	$33	75	10	+65	Up	-$13	08-12 19:51
Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation stay above 3,510 ft?	2	$31	20	20	+0	open	—	10-21 11:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 11:25 UTC	14	$28	80	0	+80	Up	-$8	08-04 11:28
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 7?	5	$25	29	29	+0	Yes	+$19	07-07 23:53
Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $40 in 2026?	3	$20	20	20	+0	open	—	10-21 11:16
Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or below $45 in 2026?	2	$20	20	20	+0	open	—	10-21 11:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	2	$19	20	0	+20	Down	+$1	10-12 10:03
Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	2	$19	20	0	+20	Down	+$1	10-12 10:03
Solana Up or Down - October 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	2	$19	20	0	+20	Down	+$1	10-12 10:03
Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	2	$19	21	0	+21	Down	+$1	10-10 07:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	2	$19	20	0	+20	Down	+$1	10-10 10:29
Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	2	$19	20	0	+20	Up	+$1	10-10 08:33
Solana Up or Down - October 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	2	$19	20	0	+20	Up	+$1	10-10 08:33
Solana Up or Down - October 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	2	$19	20	0	+20	Up	+$1	10-10 10:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	2	$19	20	0	+20	Up	+$1	10-10 08:34
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 6?	3	$13	9	9	+0	Yes	+$3	07-06 21:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	1	$13	13	0	+13	Down	+$0	10-23 19:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	1	$13	13	0	+13	Up	+$0	10-24 11:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 12:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0xb67176…
10-26 12:33:02	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0xfa80bf…
10-26 12:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0xf7c379…
10-26 12:23:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	13	95¢	$13	0xab9c70…
10-26 12:19:05	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0xfd766f…
10-26 12:18:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0x871b27…
10-26 12:14:08	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x044d38…
10-26 12:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	94¢	$13	0xa1471c…
10-26 12:08:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0xfce728…
10-26 12:08:09	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4ffe73…
10-26 12:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0xd9f02a…
10-26 12:03:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x51677e…
10-26 12:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x3f3eff…
10-26 11:48:23	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0xf11205…
10-26 11:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0xa43a99…
10-26 11:48:17	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0x4cca05…
10-26 11:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0x1e9e9b…
10-26 11:38:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	13	94¢	$13	0x27feb3…
10-26 11:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	91¢	$13	0xa66231…
10-26 11:33:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x106e7e…
10-26 11:29:35	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	95¢	$13	0xfed818…
10-26 11:24:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x650377…
10-26 11:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	13	94¢	$13	0xd65dcb…
10-26 11:18:20	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0xed88cd…
10-26 11:13:41	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	95¢	$13	0x678b93…
10-26 11:13:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xefc6e5…
10-26 11:08:39	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0xf699ea…
10-26 11:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	13	95¢	$13	0x8db6ee…
10-26 11:03:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0x0d495c…
10-26 10:58:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	95¢	$13	0xbbbf26…
10-26 10:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0x527879…
10-26 10:53:35	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0x1e1eb1…
10-26 10:53:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x11631a…
10-26 10:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	13	95¢	$13	0x0a9385…
10-26 10:48:20	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0x282841…
10-26 10:48:17	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x920e99…
10-26 10:48:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0x543977…
10-26 10:43:03	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x6ebc26…
10-26 10:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0xcb10a9…
10-26 10:39:20	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0xdcd045…
10-26 10:39:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0xfed2ba…
10-26 10:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0x469708…
10-26 10:33:11	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x55cff1…
10-26 10:28:39	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	97¢	$12	0xdc5de3…
10-26 10:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	95¢	$13	0x907557…
10-26 10:23:56	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0xff31b1…
10-26 10:23:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x314f26…
10-26 10:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	88¢	$13	0xb09404…
10-26 10:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	93¢	$13	0xf443d9…
10-26 10:13:20	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0xbd49d1…
10-26 09:58:51	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0xcf6684…
10-26 09:58:42	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	95¢	$13	0x517c3d…
10-26 09:58:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x1402d7…
10-26 09:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0xfbca17…
10-26 09:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0xab7700…
10-26 09:49:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	13	95¢	$13	0xdeff64…
10-26 09:48:39	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x142418…
10-26 09:43:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x023969…
10-26 09:43:32	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x2925c4…
10-26 09:38:17	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0xea1e09…
10-26 09:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	13	94¢	$13	0x6c2eb3…
10-26 09:38:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x66d691…
10-26 09:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x1626a3…
10-26 09:33:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x2239a9…
10-26 09:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0xa8cd24…
10-26 09:28:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	95¢	$13	0xc8d148…
10-26 09:13:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-26 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x6fc365…
10-26 09:09:50	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-26 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb1397f…
10-26 09:09:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0xbb9b88…
10-26 09:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	13	95¢	$13	0x13b96b…
10-26 09:03:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-26 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	13	95¢	$13	0xc1a174…
10-26 09:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x641bbe…
10-26 08:58:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0x81a38b…
10-26 08:58:02	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0xbb0435…
10-26 08:53:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0xf2d936…
10-26 08:48:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0xc54984…
10-26 08:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0xd9e50e…
10-26 08:33:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	13	95¢	$13	0x7d85bb…
10-26 08:33:02	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x4f5dbb…
10-26 07:24:39	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x70e2cc…
10-26 07:23:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x555675…
10-26 07:19:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	29	44¢	$13	0x7f8835…
10-26 07:19:11	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0x507476…
10-26 07:19:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0xf83ebc…
10-26 07:14:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0x339739…
10-26 07:14:12	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x9d9832…
10-26 07:13:32	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	95¢	$13	0xad8985…
10-26 07:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0xf07708…
10-26 07:13:02	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xe2eda6…
10-26 07:09:17	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0x91e0ee…
10-26 07:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x1bfde3…
10-26 06:58:29	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0x187d4a…
10-26 06:58:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	94¢	$13	0x07ec2d…
10-26 06:48:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x6b5910…
10-26 06:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	13	95¢	$13	0x7574a3…
10-26 06:39:18	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0xc71579…
10-26 06:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	13	95¢	$13	0x430e95…
10-26 06:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb331b3…
10-26 06:23:27	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x2d3cb8…
10-26 06:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0x55009d…