Difficult-Truth — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$258

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.1%

Resolved

887

Trades

2,274

lifetime

Volume

$3.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 09-20 18:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 28% -$239

Other

1% 20% -$19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-19 20:00 UTC	9	$239	266	266	+0	Down	+$85	09-19 23:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	7	$119	316	316	+0	Up	-$47	09-20 18:26
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 00:00 UTC	26	$103	102	60	+42	Up	+$5	01-11 00:13
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 00:15 UTC	28	$55	120	0	+120	Up	-$5	01-11 00:25
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 19:45 UTC	16	$49	50	30	+20	Up	+$8	01-11 19:58
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 03:45 UTC	26	$44	95	5	+90	Up	+$4	01-11 03:58
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 03:00 UTC	14	$40	35	25	+10	Up	+$15	01-11 03:14
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 01:45 UTC	24	$38	80	0	+80	Up	+$7	01-11 01:57
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 23:45 UTC	20	$36	80	0	+80	Down	-$11	01-10 23:56
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 05:00 UTC	19	$36	82	0	+82	Down	+$5	01-11 05:12
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 02:45 UTC	11	$35	45	15	+30	Down	+$3	01-11 02:54
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 14:15 UTC	29	$33	75	0	+75	Up	-$3	01-11 14:24
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 02:15 UTC	22	$33	75	0	+75	Down	+$7	01-11 02:26
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 06:00 UTC	19	$32	65	0	+65	Down	+$8	01-11 06:13
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 21:30 UTC	8	$31	35	15	+20	Up	-$2	01-11 21:41
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 19:45 UTC	14	$31	54	5	+49	Down	-$2	01-11 19:59
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 14:30 UTC	19	$27	60	0	+60	Down	+$3	01-11 14:43
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 07:00 UTC	18	$27	60	0	+60	Down	-$7	01-11 07:13
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 20:45 UTC	10	$27	50	0	+50	Up	-$2	01-11 20:55
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 02:00 UTC	13	$26	50	0	+50	Up	-$6	01-11 02:14
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 02:30 UTC	19	$26	55	0	+55	Up	-$1	01-11 02:39
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 19:45 UTC	10	$24	40	10	+30	Down	+$4	01-11 19:54
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 03:15 UTC	12	$23	45	0	+45	Down	-$8	01-11 03:28
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 18:15 UTC	13	$23	55	0	+55	Up	+$2	01-11 18:26
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 23:15 UTC	14	$23	50	0	+50	Up	+$2	01-10 23:21
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 21:30 UTC	9	$22	25	10	+15	Down	-$3	01-11 21:42
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 02:00 UTC	10	$22	40	0	+40	Up	-$7	01-11 02:12
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 22:45 UTC	10	$20	45	0	+45	Down	$0	01-11 22:53
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 20:15 UTC	10	$20	45	0	+45	Down	$0	01-11 20:23
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 04:00 UTC	11	$20	35	5	+30	Down	+$3	01-11 04:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-20 18:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	118	9¢	$10	0xaf94d9…
09-20 18:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	23	30¢	$7	0xb30f0a…
09-20 17:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	94	26¢	$25	0x6bdc24…
09-20 17:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	199	13¢	$26	0x365bd2…
09-20 16:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	125	20¢	$25	0x781fad…
09-20 16:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0xd7d76f…
09-20 16:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x6c9d17…
09-20 16:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x8ea4c7…
09-20 16:18:04	Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x5323d4…
09-20 14:24:48	Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0x1dbe55…
09-20 14:18:22	Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x2d25de…
09-20 00:20:13	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-20 00:00 UTC	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x9080a5…
09-20 00:19:52	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-20 00:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x22efb1…
09-20 00:19:04	Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 8PM ET	Up	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xf3d08f…
09-20 00:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8PM ET	Up	SELL	3	57¢	$1	0xe4438a…
09-20 00:09:45	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-20 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x80461f…
09-20 00:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x1f42a8…
09-20 00:09:12	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-20 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x90a341…
09-20 00:08:24	Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x1f9b10…
09-19 23:45:22	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-19 20:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0x3c4d2f…
09-19 23:36:06	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-19 20:00 UTC	Up	SELL	91	62¢	$56	0xdf64b3…
09-19 23:35:12	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-19 20:00 UTC	Up	SELL	91	57¢	$51	0x603732…
09-19 23:25:01	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-19 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	126	20¢	$25	0x0bc1c1…
09-19 23:20:00	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-19 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	55	45¢	$25	0x6fbb8e…
09-19 23:16:28	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-19 20:00 UTC	Up	SELL	81	65¢	$53	0x9175da…
09-19 22:54:01	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-19 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	77	32¢	$25	0xf621f1…
09-19 22:53:28	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-19 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x2c9d68…
09-19 21:23:57	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-19 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x0f654f…
09-19 20:48:32	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x31800e…
09-19 20:43:53	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-19 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x010e80…
09-19 20:43:30	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-19 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x6a5454…
09-19 20:38:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x5dc3d4…
09-19 20:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb69890…
09-19 20:26:51	Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x1188d7…
09-19 20:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xcf00b2…
09-19 20:11:38	Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x7451ee…
09-19 20:00:50	Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x1b9f97…
09-19 19:11:03	Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x2b53c8…
09-19 19:10:00	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-19 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xbafa71…
09-19 19:04:03	Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xb98762…
09-19 16:58:35	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 16:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xcb047c…
09-19 16:58:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 16:45 UTC	Up	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x01d5f4…
09-19 16:54:32	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-19 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x84377d…
09-19 16:53:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xd95992…
09-19 16:51:54	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xaaca86…
09-19 16:42:45	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x2fd60c…
09-19 16:42:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 16:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0xe076db…
09-19 16:35:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x974fff…
09-19 16:32:06	Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x26a394…
09-19 16:12:00	Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb86b85…
09-19 16:08:17	Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x04102a…
09-19 16:08:03	Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xbc88e1…
09-19 15:59:53	Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x9ee5a0…
09-19 15:49:54	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe5bb60…
09-19 15:38:56	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x70c3a9…
08-15 16:38:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	7	7¢	$0	0x7e67d9…
08-15 16:38:31	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x56578a…
08-15 16:37:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-15 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0x047d03…
08-15 16:37:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-15 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xb18bd9…
08-15 16:06:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 16:05 UTC	Up	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0xf336be…
08-15 16:06:21	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 16:05 UTC	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x70bb75…
08-15 16:03:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0xa05cea…
08-15 16:02:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x3102b5…
06-02 00:23:57	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x52b267…
06-02 00:23:18	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x525232…
06-02 00:09:30	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x6f70df…
06-01 23:34:50	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0xf2438f…
06-01 23:34:44	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xe5a95e…
06-01 23:26:41	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x5e8414…
06-01 23:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0xfcf760…
06-01 23:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xd54daf…
06-01 23:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xbae280…
06-01 22:47:26	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xd9504a…
06-01 22:37:06	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x2bdf3d…
06-01 22:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xda54f5…
06-01 22:24:27	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xa9d86a…
06-01 22:19:07	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x41b29d…
06-01 22:19:07	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x28396b…
06-01 22:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xaa0939…
06-01 22:18:23	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x0fb642…
06-01 22:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xda8181…
06-01 22:13:06	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x05e340…
06-01 22:12:21	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x480ee4…
06-01 22:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x22f29b…
06-01 22:09:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xe0e14b…
06-01 22:09:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0xb4282b…
06-01 22:09:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x9089b4…
06-01 22:07:53	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x8c97e5…
06-01 22:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xb2a96c…
06-01 22:07:28	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0xd84e88…
06-01 22:07:27	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x8cbb43…
06-01 22:07:27	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x0c8633…
06-01 22:05:08	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x516fab…
06-01 22:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xa5905b…
06-01 22:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x48c9fe…
06-01 22:01:10	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x2d6293…
06-01 22:00:35	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x761b49…
06-01 22:00:34	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x229e4c…
06-01 21:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x89de05…
06-01 21:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x29a2a8…