Mad-Scratch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.7%

Resolved

281

Trades

282

lifetime

Volume

$3.25K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-31 17:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 231 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$4

Politics

3% 80% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C or higher on May 14?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-14 14:26
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$23	23	+23	No	-$23	05-15 05:30
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-13 06:16
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 12?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-12 07:30
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 11?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-11 11:37
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 10?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-10 09:39
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 9?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-09 09:27
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on May 8?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-08 04:06
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 7?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-07 17:04
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 7?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-07 06:30
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on May 6?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-06 09:34
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on May 5?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-05 11:45
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-05 02:51
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 3?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-03 15:11
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-04 15:54
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 2?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-02 13:13
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$1	04-12 02:32
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-08 10:27
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-07 07:05
highest temperature in seoul on april 5 2026 12c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-05 09:14
highest temperature in lucknow on april 3 2026 37c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 14:10
highest temperature in wellington on april 3 2026 20c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 07:37
highest temperature in seoul on april 2 2026 14c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 10:31
highest temperature in los angeles on april 1 2026 68 69f	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-02 03:31
highest temperature in istanbul on april 1 2026 15c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-01 15:14
highest temperature in wellington on april 1 2026 17c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 08:49
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-31 10:22
highest temperature in san francisco on march 30 2026 70 71f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	03-31 01:52
highest temperature in chongqing on march 30 2026 23c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-30 09:42
highest temperature in los angeles on march 29 2026 84forhigher	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-30 01:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 17:31:18	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5012e7…
10-31 09:51:01	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x63ae7c…
10-30 10:12:43	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc2d8f7…
10-29 17:39:35	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb8107e…
10-29 08:57:14	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1e3531…
10-28 07:37:10	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x78caa9…
10-27 08:21:59	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x553c5d…
10-26 09:15:41	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4c5b80…
10-24 11:21:26	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x112e4a…
10-22 10:11:27	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x36f1fd…
10-20 07:30:05	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd39c8b…
10-19 09:08:42	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6692b3…
10-18 09:05:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xad9f78…
10-17 14:47:33	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbd117b…
10-16 08:58:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc70da5…
10-15 09:16:44	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe0885d…
10-14 09:16:25	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe5ccc6…
10-13 09:08:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfa7cde…
10-12 08:21:03	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe803f0…
10-11 08:16:30	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x462839…
10-08 08:24:07	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcff946…
10-07 14:18:02	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x310a48…
10-06 07:45:25	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x754f16…
10-04 15:09:22	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 30°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe68eb5…
10-03 07:53:32	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x78b5e3…
10-02 11:33:39	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8340a6…
10-01 08:17:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9b290b…
09-30 12:06:56	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb3c319…
09-29 14:08:32	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7cabaa…
09-28 09:26:11	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C or below on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3f9024…
09-27 08:43:17	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0e15f8…
09-25 12:23:30	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x491031…
09-24 08:24:53	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x622dc5…
09-23 06:49:56	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe17429…
09-22 07:48:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x512b1b…
09-21 09:15:47	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x13f3cf…
09-20 05:39:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x736d62…
09-19 08:18:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbd49ec…
09-18 06:20:00	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C or below on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x72c45a…
09-17 04:00:37	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbf51cc…
09-16 08:11:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xef2206…
09-15 09:05:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe34dfd…
09-14 08:20:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x12ebd1…
09-12 16:19:25	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdda5db…
09-11 07:14:43	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x312870…
09-10 06:18:58	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8864e4…
09-09 02:36:07	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1305a9…
09-08 02:34:28	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x79f11e…
09-07 08:17:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0ba5c8…
09-06 17:32:06	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x991b96…
09-06 09:13:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xae84be…
09-05 09:55:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5ac8be…
09-04 17:35:10	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3d8b00…
09-03 09:46:25	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x446f9c…
09-02 07:36:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4ce8f5…
08-30 08:28:51	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x13d344…
08-29 07:57:25	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x29f003…
08-28 07:49:06	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb710f6…
08-27 08:49:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6117ea…
08-26 08:21:42	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6357b0…
08-25 09:07:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x51bd98…
08-24 09:50:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9a95ac…
08-23 14:45:00	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6681eb…
08-22 08:43:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb8f1b0…
08-21 07:09:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x261615…
08-20 08:38:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5f368c…
08-19 11:01:09	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc842b0…
08-18 08:11:43	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9eccc2…
08-17 07:20:03	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x06679a…
08-16 11:15:07	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x42a7c2…
08-15 09:44:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x92b5b4…
08-14 06:45:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbdecbc…
08-13 07:47:25	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x00d088…
08-12 07:46:04	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x577293…
08-11 06:50:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd64b95…
08-10 06:52:34	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x59bae6…
08-09 01:21:06	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x61b710…
08-08 07:25:55	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x28a7a1…
08-07 01:08:33	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x314c14…
08-06 06:34:48	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xec8712…
08-05 07:50:44	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaa8362…
08-04 08:10:53	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x45895b…
08-03 07:15:50	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe0304c…
08-02 01:35:02	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xad6af1…
08-01 06:58:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x546bfa…
07-31 08:23:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x041fd3…
07-30 06:46:56	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa212c4…
07-29 06:10:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8b63f4…
07-28 06:19:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x57b65d…
07-27 08:09:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8890aa…
07-26 06:30:10	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfd61ff…
07-25 07:48:03	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x957463…
07-24 09:43:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd3dc36…
07-23 07:28:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc19fe0…
07-22 01:50:36	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc40561…
07-20 23:53:09	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9d8343…
07-20 07:48:45	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x47242e…
07-18 23:12:30	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x40b358…
07-18 00:23:57	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc7fd59…
07-17 06:34:03	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xebb466…