Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

47.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$54

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-08-08

last 10-09 02:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Other

76% 50% -$5

Politics

22% 36% -$3

Tech

2% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No		+2	$1	94¢	$2	+$1	08-09 13:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	2	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$1	09-03 03:56
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-19 03:59
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $236 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-08 00:14
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on September 18?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-18 12:21
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	09-26 06:55
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $350 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	-$1	09-13 21:27
trump renames ai by september 30	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	-$1	09-25 22:01
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	10-09 02:41
will trump say barack hussein obama during his rally with darline graham	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	08-21 09:36
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	08-12 19:01
grok 4pt6 released by august 13 2026	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	08-11 01:18
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	09-21 06:53
Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during remarks in New York?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	08-13 20:47
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 5 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	10-07 22:22
pakistan military action against afghanistan by september 30 2026 20260925	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	09-27 02:14
will xagusd reach 69 by august 17 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	08-17 11:31
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $102.50 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	08-23 22:12
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	08-08 19:54
next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	08-29 19:26
will trump say police officer during remarks in new york 20260811183234685	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	08-13 11:44
will trump say china or chinese during remarks at nasa	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	08-27 19:25
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $207.50 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-23 00:30
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of October 5 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	10-08 06:26
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,550 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	09-08 15:35
spy up or down on august 14 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Down	+$1	08-14 05:13
next mythos class model released by september 7 2026	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	08-30 16:00
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	08-10 15:02
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	08-22 15:53
will aapl dip to 300 by august 17 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	08-17 01:23
Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-01 12:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-09 02:41:35	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xefec7e…
10-08 06:26:05	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x34608b…
10-07 22:22:12	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x88d8c7…
10-05 00:35:49	will coin dip to 180 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xa4af78…
09-27 02:14:36	pakistan military action against afghanistan by september 30 2026 20260925	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x4ee227…
09-26 06:55:51	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x3e218e…
09-25 22:01:09	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x385239…
09-23 00:30:56	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $207.50 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x7a3c11…
09-21 14:54:54	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x92a478…
09-21 06:53:41	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xff1966…
09-20 22:09:56	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x9a35de…
09-19 03:59:58	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x11a6e5…
09-18 12:21:21	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x412fff…
09-13 21:27:00	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $350 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xad4def…
09-08 15:35:21	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,550 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x12b3f5…
09-08 00:14:06	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $236 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x96438d…
09-07 13:18:46	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $502.50 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xf6089c…
09-03 03:56:54	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x82d456…
09-03 01:56:24	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x6e6a25…
09-01 23:41:13	will xagusd reach 67 by august 31 2026 from september 1	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x806065…
09-01 12:08:15	Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xf47191…
08-30 16:00:24	next mythos class model released by september 7 2026	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x7db6ee…
08-29 19:26:06	next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf28cf0…
08-29 10:36:46	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xe3bbcf…
08-28 11:26:25	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x6681bb…
08-28 03:26:07	will trump say elon or musk during remarks at nasa	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x189470…
08-27 19:25:10	will trump say china or chinese during remarks at nasa	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x5cecaa…
08-24 06:13:15	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $502.50 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x0783ed…
08-23 22:12:16	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $102.50 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd54429…
08-23 09:26:55	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x3c4e28…
08-22 15:53:55	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x561b61…
08-21 18:37:00	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x4eb648…
08-21 09:36:36	will trump say barack hussein obama during his rally with darline graham	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x16160b…
08-17 11:31:22	will xagusd reach 69 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x11fd5e…
08-17 01:23:49	will aapl dip to 300 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x4767af…
08-14 15:55:04	will trump say stock market during remarks in new york 20260811183234690	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc47465…
08-14 05:13:34	spy up or down on august 14 2026	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xdd28d2…
08-13 20:47:58	Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during remarks in New York?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x9a6501…
08-13 11:44:25	will trump say police officer during remarks in new york 20260811183234685	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x4f40f2…
08-13 03:43:13	spy closes above 775 on august 13 2026	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x9ff15f…
08-12 19:01:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x252de2…
08-12 10:41:21	spx opens up or down on august 12 2026	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x756e59…
08-12 02:40:19	will aapl dip to 300 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x3e7c12…
08-11 18:39:33	will xagusd reach 67 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x20afa7…
08-11 10:20:55	spx up or down on august 11 2026	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x6e9cc1…
08-11 10:00:33	will nvda dip to 216 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x8bbde2…
08-11 01:18:19	grok 4pt6 released by august 13 2026	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x406cfb…
08-10 15:02:04	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xf372e2…
08-10 06:49:04	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x6aede3…
08-09 22:48:36	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xe467c9…
08-09 13:51:33	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe64930…
08-09 04:06:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xd95b53…
08-08 19:54:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x81317f…
08-08 11:52:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x53a80c…