Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$276

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

49.8%

Resolved

206

Trades

481

lifetime

Volume

$3.99K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$39

1 position

First seen

2026-02-16

last 10-29 09:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Crypto

54% 47% -$121

Other

30% 34% -$83

Sports

15% 33% -$72

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes		-238	-$43	16¢	$-39	+$4	06-30 19:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	4	$201	183	183	+0	Yes	+$54	03-28 00:53
bitcoin up or down on february 18	16	$176	230	230	+0	Down	-$2	02-18 12:43
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	3	$147	232	70	+162	Max Holloway	-$48	07-12 03:26
uel not mid1 2026 03 12 btts	2	$132	159	99	+60	No	-$31	03-12 16:49
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 12	3	$104	54	54	+0	No	+$2	03-12 13:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 19:45 UTC	7	$102	88	88	+0	Up	+$22	06-30 19:58
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	2	$94	83	83	+0	No	-$2	03-12 01:01
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$82	182	182	+0	No	+$2	03-11 19:26
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	2	$78	63	63	+0	No	-$2	03-12 18:20
nhl tor ana 2026 03 30	2	$77	70	52	+18	Maple Leafs	-$12	03-30 15:03
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 12	6	$73	73	72	+1	Yes	+$6	03-12 12:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-17 13:30 UTC	14	$70	151	116	+34	Down	-$6	02-17 13:42
Kash Patel out by June 30?	1	$70	0	72	-72	No	-$2	06-23 12:16
cs2 fut prv 2026 02 18	12	$66	61	61	+0	PARIVISION	+$4	02-18 13:57
nba tor nop 2026 03 11	2	$66	46	46	+0	Pelicans	+$26	03-12 03:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-17 13:15 UTC	17	$58	178	177	+1	Up	+$11	02-17 13:29
ere spa nec 2026 02 15 spa	2	$53	73	73	+0	No	-$7	02-16 14:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 14:35 UTC	4	$52	33	32	+0	Up	+$12	02-16 14:40
nba den gsw 2026 02 22	2	$48	47	23	+23	Warriors	-$16	02-22 19:20
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 07:45 UTC	3	$46	35	24	+11	Up	+$8	02-16 07:55
lol dnf drx 2026 02 19	6	$45	75	75	+0	DN Freecs	-$13	02-19 09:20
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$43	0	238	-238	open	—	06-30 19:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 14:45 UTC	3	$42	104	32	+72	Down	-$8	02-16 14:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 15:00 UTC	2	$41	38	37	+0	Down	+$22	02-16 15:14
naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	2	$38	62	62	+0	No	-$5	03-15 17:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$37	65	65	+0	No	+$3	04-08 00:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 07:30 UTC	2	$37	65	64	+1	Up	-$3	02-16 07:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 17:45 UTC	6	$36	24	19	+4	Down	+$3	02-16 18:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 07:15 UTC	3	$36	40	13	+27	Down	-$14	02-16 07:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 08:00 UTC	2	$35	21	21	+0	Up	+$5	03-11 08:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 09:28:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	225	7¢	$16	0x316429…
10-29 09:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	20	82¢	$17	0x1fc7e0…
10-29 09:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x5eaf9a…
07-12 03:26:37	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	162	29¢	$47	0x46a8c4…
07-12 03:25:04	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	SELL	70	71¢	$50	0x64493e…
07-12 03:22:31	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	70	72¢	$50	0x187f90…
06-30 21:56:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 21:45 UTC	Down	SELL	51	8¢	$4	0x80c6cd…
06-30 21:46:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x865e5b…
06-30 20:17:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0x388524…
06-30 20:02:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0xb733b9…
06-30 19:58:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 19:45 UTC	Up	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0xaac325…
06-30 19:56:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 19:45 UTC	Up	SELL	73	70¢	$51	0xf2aea4…
06-30 19:56:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 19:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xa68959…
06-30 19:56:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 19:45 UTC	Up	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0x58db46…
06-30 19:56:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 19:45 UTC	Up	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x109bca…
06-30 19:56:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 19:45 UTC	Up	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x0921c8…
06-30 19:50:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	88	45¢	$40	0x975184…
06-30 19:46:37	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	238	18¢	$43	0xcf0cb8…
06-23 12:16:05	Kash Patel out by June 30?	No	SELL	72	97¢	$70	0xa30bc8…
06-15 04:42:34	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0x94cea4…
06-12 23:18:49	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x453867…
04-29 02:17:04	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb4f41e…
04-29 02:17:02	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xed8c2d…
04-29 02:17:02	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x677702…
04-29 02:14:28	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	52	10¢	$5	0xd87626…
04-29 00:51:50	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	SELL	180	5¢	$10	0x9cecc8…
04-29 00:49:56	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xd5a9de…
04-29 00:49:54	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x3b92f7…
04-29 00:49:48	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x05fc64…
04-29 00:48:58	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xf4fe5c…
04-29 00:47:44	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xf0bd37…
04-29 00:45:06	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0x82c9bf…
04-29 00:45:04	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0x56a860…
04-29 00:44:54	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	93	5¢	$5	0xab0216…
04-28 06:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	8	32¢	$2	0x61956f…
04-28 06:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x5d42c0…
04-28 06:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x9dc243…
04-28 06:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x4e8727…
04-28 06:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	7	77¢	$5	0xcc02da…
04-28 06:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x9bf2c4…
04-28 06:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0x29e80b…
04-28 06:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xc645a4…
04-09 00:13:43	bitcoin up or down on april 9 2026	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x29af60…
04-08 00:05:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	27	58¢	$16	0x9dd442…
04-03 17:13:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x86370c…
04-02 19:31:09	nba min det 2026 04 02	Pistons	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0xbe7a58…
04-02 06:50:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	38	12¢	$5	0x02554f…
04-01 05:47:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x60f5b1…
03-31 16:10:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xcd8147…
03-30 15:04:33	cricipl raj che 2026 03 30	Rajasthan Royals	BUY	35	94¢	$33	0xc6f0db…
03-30 15:03:59	nhl tor ana 2026 03 30	Ducks	SELL	52	63¢	$33	0x6eb4a7…
03-30 15:03:23	nhl tor ana 2026 03 30	Ducks	BUY	70	64¢	$45	0x825c9e…
03-28 00:53:33	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	96	98¢	$95	0x928f70…
03-23 20:42:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	38	37¢	$14	0xfbfd4d…
03-23 02:08:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 02:05 UTC	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x14e9ea…
03-23 02:07:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 02:05 UTC	Down	SELL	23	20¢	$5	0xe3cbc1…
03-23 02:07:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 02:05 UTC	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x907f23…
03-21 07:45:19	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xe982dd…
03-21 07:35:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xa80c4a…
03-21 07:27:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0x4a0913…
03-21 07:25:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 07:25 UTC	Up	SELL	6	56¢	$3	0x6a14b5…
03-21 07:25:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 07:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xffc648…
03-21 07:24:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 07:20 UTC	Up	SELL	6	56¢	$3	0x627609…
03-21 07:20:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xfaa7b3…
03-20 00:10:37	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 00:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x9d2191…
03-20 00:06:03	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x2c2038…
03-20 00:05:53	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	87	38¢	$33	0xaa5af2…
03-19 21:39:59	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	173	40¢	$69	0x91e795…
03-16 17:00:47	highest temperature in dallas on march 16 2026 48 49f	Yes	BUY	24	47¢	$11	0x0fb477…
03-16 17:00:23	highest temperature in seattle on march 16 2026 56forhigher	Yes	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0xde9755…
03-15 20:33:49	highest temperature in seattle on march 15 2026 46 47f	Yes	SELL	24	18¢	$4	0xd6df8d…
03-15 18:43:15	highest temperature in chicago on march 15 2026 58 59f	Yes	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0xa69912…
03-15 18:43:01	highest temperature in seattle on march 15 2026 46 47f	Yes	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0x66815b…
03-15 18:42:49	highest temperature in dallas on march 15 2026 84 85f	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x8be628…
03-15 17:26:19	ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 btts	Yes	SELL	23	63¢	$14	0xf5389a…
03-15 17:26:19	naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	62	27¢	$17	0x1c5b41…
03-14 07:25:33	naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	62	35¢	$21	0x07fd27…
03-13 19:33:37	nba phx tor 2026 03 13	Suns	BUY	42	36¢	$15	0x3b6639…
03-12 18:20:53	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	SELL	63	59¢	$38	0x8d4dda…
03-12 18:16:31	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	63	63¢	$40	0x9eb599…
03-12 16:49:29	uel not mid1 2026 03 12 btts	Yes	SELL	99	51¢	$50	0xcdb076…
03-12 16:36:49	uel not mid1 2026 03 12 btts	Yes	BUY	159	51¢	$81	0x1386ec…
03-12 13:00:01	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 12	No	SELL	54	99¢	$53	0x688cd7…
03-12 12:59:59	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 12	Yes	SELL	22	64¢	$14	0x2ab63c…
03-12 11:21:45	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 12	Yes	SELL	9	68¢	$6	0x566463…
03-12 11:21:43	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 12	Yes	SELL	13	68¢	$9	0xb02d52…
03-12 11:02:33	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 12	Yes	BUY	15	63¢	$9	0xee2000…
03-12 10:45:27	bitcoin up or down on march 12	Up	SELL	17	56¢	$9	0x49f20e…
03-12 10:41:41	bitcoin up or down on march 12	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x934c57…
03-12 09:27:35	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 12	Yes	SELL	29	36¢	$10	0xb05d7c…
03-12 08:32:03	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 12	No	BUY	28	96¢	$26	0xcae5cd…
03-12 08:29:47	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 12	No	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xb1cc77…
03-12 08:29:21	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 12	Yes	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x43c334…
03-12 07:44:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x3e7a9b…
03-12 07:43:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x6b4f8b…
03-12 07:43:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 07:40 UTC	Up	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x825455…
03-12 07:43:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x242286…
03-12 07:39:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0xa4bf52…
03-12 03:53:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0xb26ee1…
03-12 03:36:05	nba tor nop 2026 03 11	Pelicans	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x643e0e…