Bubbly-Serial — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.15K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.7%

Resolved

5,192

Trades

14,286

lifetime

Volume

$67.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-27

last 06-14 11:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 59% +$1,154

Other

0% 33% -$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-20 13:30 UTC	36	$240	402	0	+402	Up	-$69	04-20 13:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-16 11:30 UTC	31	$227	467	0	+467	Up	+$41	04-16 11:44
Will Panama win on 2026-06-03?	7	$171	195	25	+170	Yes	+$37	06-02 06:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-16 15:30 UTC	28	$158	311	0	+311	Up	-$87	04-16 15:44
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 13:30 UTC	39	$157	244	0	+244	Up	-$27	04-17 13:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 18:00 UTC	20	$156	222	0	+222	Down	+$8	04-18 18:13
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 00:00 UTC	20	$152	227	0	+227	Up	-$39	04-21 00:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 03:15 UTC	11	$132	270	0	+270	Down	+$8	04-13 03:30
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 13:45 UTC	35	$131	194	0	+194	Up	-$23	04-17 13:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 13:30 UTC	18	$126	204	0	+204	Up	-$1	04-22 13:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-19 12:00 UTC	17	$119	192	0	+192	Up	-$27	04-19 12:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 20:30 UTC	7	$118	165	0	+165	Down	+$13	04-10 20:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 20:15 UTC	8	$116	180	0	+180	Up	-$85	04-10 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	8	$115	211	0	+211	Down	+$26	04-27 21:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-20 13:00 UTC	18	$114	202	0	+202	Down	+$9	04-20 13:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-12 22:00 UTC	5	$112	127	0	+127	Down	+$16	04-12 22:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	8	$111	178	0	+178	Down	-$42	04-29 21:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-11 01:15 UTC	8	$105	129	0	+129	Up	-$105	04-11 01:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-11 02:45 UTC	5	$104	133	0	+133	Down	+$29	04-11 02:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-24 13:30 UTC	10	$102	170	0	+170	Up	-$15	04-24 13:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 21:30 UTC	5	$101	130	0	+130	Down	+$29	04-10 21:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 14:15 UTC	10	$100	164	0	+164	Up	-$19	04-13 14:29
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-12 00:00 UTC	20	$100	153	0	+153	Down	+$31	04-12 00:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 01:15 UTC	6	$99	144	0	+144	Down	-$9	04-13 01:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 12:15 UTC	16	$95	156	0	+156	Up	-$28	04-17 12:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 03:30 UTC	6	$95	189	0	+189	Down	+$49	04-13 03:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-12 22:15 UTC	5	$94	138	0	+138	Down	+$45	04-12 22:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 13:30 UTC	10	$94	168	0	+168	Down	-$10	04-23 13:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 21:00 UTC	13	$94	142	0	+142	Down	-$25	04-18 21:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 01:00 UTC	5	$93	130	0	+130	Down	-$16	04-13 01:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 11:59:18	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	SELL	25	11¢	$3	0x6b71a3…
06-14 11:58:16	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x6607e7…
06-14 11:52:24	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xb62409…
06-14 11:49:07	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xea9d46…
06-14 10:55:13	Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xff4457…
06-14 10:53:49	Will United States win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x8aebfc…
06-04 12:46:22	Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 36 and 39 inclusive?	Yes	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xdf0b41…
06-02 06:34:37	Will Panama win on 2026-06-03?	Yes	SELL	25	77¢	$19	0xfda2fc…
06-02 06:34:37	Will Panama win on 2026-06-03?	Yes	BUY	25	78¢	$20	0xec683e…
06-02 06:34:37	Will Panama vs. Dominican Republic end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	25	13¢	$3	0x132924…
06-02 06:34:37	Will Panama vs. Dominican Republic end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	25	14¢	$4	0x0ba4fb…
06-02 06:29:26	Will Panama vs. Dominican Republic end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x877fa8…
06-02 06:29:26	Will Dominican Republic win on 2026-06-03?	Yes	BUY	54	6¢	$3	0x645970…
06-02 06:29:26	Will Panama win on 2026-06-03?	Yes	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x0ecefa…
06-02 05:52:06	Will Panama win on 2026-06-03?	Yes	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x63c070…
06-02 05:52:06	Will Dominican Republic win on 2026-06-03?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x4dad9f…
06-02 05:52:06	Will Panama vs. Dominican Republic end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x0ad516…
06-02 05:51:50	Will Panama win on 2026-06-03?	Yes	BUY	30	78¢	$23	0xf21dac…
06-02 05:51:50	Will Panama vs. Dominican Republic end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	30	14¢	$4	0x5beb71…
06-02 05:51:50	Will Dominican Republic win on 2026-06-03?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x269e3a…
06-02 05:51:36	Will Panama vs. Dominican Republic end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xe6770f…
06-02 05:51:36	Will Dominican Republic win on 2026-06-03?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xb87e27…
06-02 05:51:36	Will Panama win on 2026-06-03?	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x3b818a…
06-02 05:51:24	Will Panama vs. Dominican Republic end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xeb15bc…
06-02 05:51:24	Will Panama win on 2026-06-03?	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xb567eb…
06-02 05:51:24	Will Dominican Republic win on 2026-06-03?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x3d5223…
06-01 10:29:33	Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xbfc5e9…
06-01 10:29:33	Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xba6c6e…
06-01 10:29:33	Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x0b2e74…
05-30 08:37:17	Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 36 and 39 inclusive?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x97fbd2…
05-30 08:24:30	Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0xa7c058…
05-30 08:23:59	Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $75B and $100B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x510b69…
05-30 08:12:15	Will Silver (SI) settle at $60-$70 in June?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x0c5440…
05-30 08:11:14	Will Silver (SI) settle at $80-$90 in June?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x39d18e…
05-30 08:11:00	Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x213b61…
05-30 08:08:24	Will Silver (SI) settle at $80-$90 in June?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb38b8b…
05-30 08:08:24	Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x7b2ebd…
05-30 08:08:24	Will Silver (SI) settle at $60-$70 in June?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x3c77cd…
05-30 07:47:24	Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 36 and 39 inclusive?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x9d4d25…
05-30 07:47:22	Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 36 and 39 inclusive?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x627468…
05-30 07:39:30	Will Silver (SI) settle at $60-$70 in June?	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x700d38…
05-30 07:39:30	Will Silver (SI) settle at $90-$100 in June?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x5161c3…
05-30 07:39:30	Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?	Yes	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0x4c44a9…
05-30 07:39:30	Will Silver (SI) settle at $80-$90 in June?	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x24183c…
05-30 07:39:28	Will Silver (SI) settle at $60-$70 in June?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xcea4d3…
05-30 07:39:28	Will Silver (SI) settle at $90-$100 in June?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xaaa7ec…
05-30 07:39:28	Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x95121c…
05-30 07:39:28	Will Silver (SI) settle at $80-$90 in June?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x33e2b4…
05-30 07:31:53	Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xcebf1e…
05-30 07:31:53	Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $75B and $100B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xc195bc…
05-30 07:29:44	Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $75B and $100B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xec79c6…
05-30 07:29:44	Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0x32c81b…
05-30 07:29:42	Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $75B and $100B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xb923b7…
05-30 07:29:42	Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x545250…
05-30 06:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x6d2b6f…
05-30 06:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x4c2529…
05-30 06:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x532a5e…
05-30 05:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x15b577…
05-30 05:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xa1a73f…
05-30 05:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x3e7f02…
05-30 03:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x2f394a…
05-30 03:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x439e34…
05-30 00:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x247fe1…
05-30 00:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xd75a78…
05-30 00:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x00f701…
05-30 00:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x4e9e1b…
05-29 22:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x96592e…
05-29 22:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x09a9a8…
05-29 18:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xd03269…
05-29 17:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x84b12f…
05-29 17:24:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xac3b91…
05-29 17:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x6280d5…
05-29 16:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x07bf45…
05-29 16:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x6a4ac6…
05-29 16:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x8f2f3f…
05-29 15:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x4d6900…
05-29 15:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x070ffc…
05-29 15:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xa02860…
05-29 13:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x21db65…
05-29 13:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xe09f69…
05-29 10:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xeec621…
05-29 10:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x648238…
05-29 10:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xa83232…
05-29 10:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xde2e08…
05-29 10:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x06e473…
05-29 10:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x779064…
05-29 10:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x9789ae…
05-29 10:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x12006b…
05-29 10:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa54583…
05-29 10:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x9d575d…
05-29 09:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x2630b0…
05-29 09:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x2d99f5…
05-29 09:38:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x260eb4…
05-29 08:44:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xab4c58…
05-29 08:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x54751b…
05-29 07:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x51e1c6…
05-29 07:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x296bbf…
05-29 07:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xee3396…
05-29 07:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xb3fdd8…
05-29 06:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xe29af6…