Buttery-Rugby — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$54

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.7%

Resolved

Trades

277

lifetime

Volume

$5.47K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 07-31 15:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

49% — —

Other

48% 50% +$14

Sports

3% 100% +$39

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	6	$915	584	584	+0	open	—	04-07 23:13
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	4	$602	943	943	+0	open	—	05-01 14:12
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?	5	$570	520	520	+0	open	—	04-17 02:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	21	$460	313	601	-288	open	—	06-30 17:48
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	2	$396	297	292	+6	open	—	04-15 20:49
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	7	$316	448	112	+336	open	—	06-13 20:02
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	1	$143	0	144	-144	open	—	05-28 20:53
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-25?	4	$114	80	80	+0	open	—	04-25 14:41
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?	2	$105	71	71	+0	open	—	04-25 15:20
highest temperature in london on april 9 2026 22c	5	$103	76	76	+0	open	—	04-09 12:53
lal sev mad 2026 04 11 sev	3	$90	158	0	+158	open	—	04-11 17:49
uef kvx tur 2026 03 31 tur	2	$89	60	59	+1	open	—	03-31 21:04
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	3	$77	120	120	+0	open	—	05-24 01:23
Spread: Azerbaijan (-1.5)	3	$72	52	52	+0	open	—	06-09 19:55
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?	3	$69	45	45	+0	open	—	05-18 19:45
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5	2	$66	11	61	-50	open	—	05-18 02:19
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5	3	$59	41	41	+0	Over	+$19	05-07 00:17
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-04-27?	4	$44	80	0	+80	open	—	04-27 16:32
tur ala tra 2026 04 11 tra	3	$41	102	0	+102	open	—	04-11 14:01
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 22 2026 24c	5	$41	25	25	+0	open	—	04-22 12:48
will trump say go ahead 3 times during healthcare event	2	$40	70	0	+70	open	—	04-23 22:59
lal elc mad 2026 04 22 mad	10	$35	65	0	+65	open	—	04-22 17:17
highest temperature in moscow on april 22 2026 12c	4	$34	46	44	+1	open	—	04-22 12:25
highest temperature in chengdu on april 11 2026 26c	4	$33	25	25	+0	open	—	04-11 09:30
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	1	$32	70	0	+70	open	—	05-21 05:48
epl ars bou 2026 04 11 ars	1	$31	60	0	+60	open	—	04-11 12:37
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals kylian mbappe gte1	7	$31	60	0	+60	open	—	07-18 21:33
Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	6	$31	441	0	+441	open	—	05-13 00:32
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 15?	1	$30	60	0	+60	open	—	05-14 23:49
fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 goals ferran torres gte1	1	$27	52	0	+52	open	—	06-15 14:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-31 15:37:03	rus rod ros 2026 07 31 btts	Yes	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0x4680ba…
07-31 14:47:42	rus rod ros 2026 07 31 btts	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7924e8…
07-31 14:47:17	rus rod ros 2026 07 31 btts	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x2baa2f…
07-31 14:47:03	rus rod ros 2026 07 31 btts	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xe38923…
07-31 14:17:32	rus rod ros 2026 07 31 btts	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xee4d51…
07-31 14:15:08	rus rod ros 2026 07 31 btts	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xbcb538…
07-31 14:14:35	rus rod ros 2026 07 31 btts	Yes	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0xcced51…
07-25 18:02:21	rus spa rod 2026 07 25 spread home 1pt5	FK Spartak Moskva	BUY	15	42¢	$6	0x99ef91…
07-25 17:17:46	rus spa rod 2026 07 25 spread home 1pt5	FK Spartak Moskva	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x1d0ca1…
07-25 17:17:42	rus spa rod 2026 07 25 spread home 1pt5	FK Spartak Moskva	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x5fdb86…
07-25 17:17:42	rus spa rod 2026 07 25 spread home 1pt5	FK Spartak Moskva	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x435f1e…
07-25 17:17:40	rus spa rod 2026 07 25 spread home 1pt5	FK Spartak Moskva	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0x7ef97f…
07-25 17:17:39	rus spa rod 2026 07 25 spread home 1pt5	FK Spartak Moskva	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4a632c…
07-25 16:36:58	rus spa rod 2026 07 25 spread home 1pt5	FK Spartak Moskva	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0xd02925…
07-18 21:33:25	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0xfea8b8…
07-18 21:33:22	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xdde9f8…
07-18 21:33:12	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x98abaf…
07-18 21:31:25	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x002716…
07-18 21:30:31	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0xedeaad…
07-18 21:30:24	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe64a42…
07-18 21:30:24	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	11	52¢	$5	0xbb2c4b…
06-30 17:48:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	56	34¢	$19	0x6568a8…
06-23 21:40:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	70	45¢	$32	0x9e7680…
06-22 16:48:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	40	51¢	$20	0x3439c2…
06-21 23:44:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	40	39¢	$16	0xe7357a…
06-21 20:38:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	25	40¢	$10	0xcbc059…
06-20 02:18:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	87	46¢	$40	0x7c5f79…
06-20 02:12:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0xa3c35d…
06-19 22:17:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	39	45¢	$18	0xeb8e43…
06-19 22:17:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	39	45¢	$18	0xd4e182…
06-19 22:17:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	12	45¢	$5	0xbf11be…
06-19 21:23:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	105	45¢	$47	0xe29a28…
06-19 00:00:26	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 goals promise david gte1	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xfbe04a…
06-18 01:03:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0x90dc2b…
06-17 21:50:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	55	56¢	$31	0x086993…
06-16 21:15:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	55	56¢	$31	0x6a83fc…
06-16 19:56:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	55	57¢	$31	0xba0dcb…
06-16 03:33:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	26	62¢	$16	0x8f06a3…
06-16 03:13:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x57b172…
06-16 03:07:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x65964c…
06-16 03:04:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	33	62¢	$21	0x81453b…
06-16 03:02:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	46	62¢	$29	0xbb44f4…
06-15 23:21:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	65	63¢	$41	0xa61a8b…
06-15 14:53:10	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 goals ferran torres gte1	Yes	BUY	52	51¢	$27	0xb14566…
06-13 20:02:54	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0xb39a3b…
06-13 18:54:07	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 goals breel embolo gte1	Yes	BUY	39	53¢	$21	0x9365c6…
06-13 18:45:40	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	SELL	26	80¢	$21	0x0ba51b…
06-09 20:03:46	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	BUY	115	45¢	$52	0x79a6c2…
06-09 19:55:03	Spread: Azerbaijan (-1.5)	San Marino	SELL	52	99¢	$52	0x48a66a…
06-09 17:47:31	Spread: Azerbaijan (-1.5)	San Marino	BUY	21	40¢	$8	0xf5ae53…
06-09 17:33:43	Spread: Azerbaijan (-1.5)	San Marino	BUY	31	38¢	$12	0x885650…
06-09 17:31:40	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	SELL	46	44¢	$20	0xd9aca7…
06-07 00:03:18	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	BUY	76	38¢	$29	0x7989ca…
06-06 22:25:12	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	SELL	40	36¢	$14	0x63c9f9…
05-31 16:28:24	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	BUY	231	69¢	$159	0xa0c731…
05-28 20:53:11	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	144	100¢	$143	0x5af589…
05-24 01:23:36	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	SELL	115	32¢	$37	0xd07524…
05-24 01:21:27	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x6dbf15…
05-23 23:38:24	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	BUY	120	32¢	$38	0xcf114e…
05-21 05:48:49	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	70	46¢	$32	0xbe9ae9…
05-20 00:47:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 20?	Down	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0xef6434…
05-20 00:47:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 20?	Down	BUY	16	47¢	$7	0xbd5efc…
05-20 00:47:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 20?	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x938a16…
05-20 00:47:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 20?	Down	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0x2ec288…
05-18 19:45:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	SELL	45	94¢	$42	0x1de5a3…
05-18 14:38:21	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	21	59¢	$12	0x05afcf…
05-18 14:34:25	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	24	59¢	$14	0x4f6925…
05-18 02:19:02	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5	Over	SELL	61	99¢	$60	0xb42d01…
05-17 20:59:54	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5	Over	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0x36b3a0…
05-16 22:19:51	Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	31	25¢	$8	0x9ca110…
05-16 22:13:21	Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0x3cafc3…
05-16 22:13:05	Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	14	31¢	$4	0x120bfc…
05-16 20:41:49	Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x0ca27c…
05-14 23:49:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x9ef3ae…
05-13 00:32:16	Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	120	6¢	$7	0x913e5d…
05-12 23:53:58	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xa12cf2…
05-12 23:19:12	Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	80	6¢	$5	0x50f156…
05-12 13:12:58	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	32	34¢	$11	0xccc230…
05-12 12:39:19	Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x61f583…
05-11 17:32:44	Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SC Braga: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	45	52¢	$23	0xcbbeb3…
05-11 09:39:15	Will Azerbaijan be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x74968d…
05-10 00:06:17	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	153	10¢	$15	0xf51db2…
05-09 23:59:48	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x529182…
05-09 23:58:28	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0x73f16b…
05-09 23:56:08	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	24	10¢	$2	0x9a4d97…
05-07 18:09:19	Crystal Palace FC vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	41	51¢	$21	0x0efa72…
05-07 08:05:31	Will Azerbaijan be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	3¢	$13	0x767797…
05-07 00:17:06	Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5	Over	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x4eb8bc…
05-07 00:15:19	Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5	Over	SELL	40	96¢	$38	0xb8c1b5…
05-06 22:17:34	Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x1b2ead…
05-06 11:45:52	Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	108	7¢	$8	0x224188…
05-06 04:16:58	Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x5e8bf4…
05-06 02:43:46	Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xbd69b2…
05-05 21:26:58	Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	112	9¢	$10	0xc1ef7d…
05-05 21:04:08	Will Azerbaijan be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	285	3¢	$8	0x1fe319…
05-05 19:04:46	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$10	0x5f0a25…
05-05 19:04:36	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xa89ff8…
05-05 19:04:20	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x664857…
05-05 19:04:18	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x0005fd…
05-05 19:04:14	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xb93456…