Honest-Earmuffs — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$25

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.9%

Resolved

287

Trades

1,206

lifetime

Volume

$14.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-10

last 05-20 13:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 52% +$25

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
XRP Up or Down - May 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	3	$59	113	+113	open	—	05-01 09:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	1	$59	114	+114	open	—	05-01 12:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	1	$57	110	+110	open	—	05-01 08:25
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$56	102	+102	open	—	04-29 18:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	5	$55	105	+105	open	—	05-01 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$54	104	+104	open	—	05-01 01:55
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$53	98	+98	open	—	04-29 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	1	$53	101	+101	open	—	05-01 17:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$51	100	+100	open	—	05-01 14:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$51	96	+96	open	—	05-01 20:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	1	$49	95	+95	open	—	04-30 21:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	1	$48	95	+95	open	—	05-01 14:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$46	90	+90	open	—	04-30 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$45	88	+88	open	—	05-01 14:40
XRP Up or Down - May 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	1	$45	86	+86	open	—	05-01 15:45
XRP Up or Down - May 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	4	$43	82	+82	open	—	05-01 12:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$43	84	+84	open	—	05-01 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	5	$42	80	+80	open	—	05-01 20:35
XRP Up or Down - May 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	1	$37	71	+71	open	—	05-01 08:30
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	2	$32	61	+61	open	—	05-01 12:30
XRP Up or Down - May 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$32	60	+60	open	—	05-01 15:35
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	2	$31	58	+58	open	—	05-01 08:16
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	2	$30	57	+57	open	—	05-01 00:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	4	$25	47	+47	open	—	05-01 20:40
XRP Up or Down - May 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	5	$24	45	+45	open	—	05-01 23:07
XRP Up or Down - May 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$23	44	+44	open	—	05-01 15:40
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	3	$23	44	+44	open	—	05-01 00:12
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	3	$23	44	+44	open	—	05-01 17:07
btc updown 5m 1776389100	1	$20	40	+40	open	—	04-17 01:25
sol updown 5m 1776061200	1	$20	40	+40	open	—	04-13 06:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 13:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x60b5e6…
05-20 13:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	18	52¢	$10	0x4c7e3d…
05-20 13:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x942513…
05-20 13:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x8d9801…
05-20 13:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x373d11…
05-20 13:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x2dcf80…
05-20 13:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x3e774f…
05-20 13:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x20dce0…
05-20 13:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xabf609…
05-20 13:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	52¢	$1	0x19575d…
05-20 13:00:04	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x3c95b8…
05-20 12:50:05	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x0a9935…
05-20 12:50:04	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0x2bc9df…
05-20 12:41:03	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x1602c7…
05-20 12:40:05	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x4c7e11…
05-20 11:51:16	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0x072b0a…
05-20 11:50:04	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0xe3a247…
05-20 07:00:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	38	51¢	$20	0xf931a6…
05-20 06:20:04	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x2d50bd…
05-20 05:20:05	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	38	51¢	$19	0x57af2c…
05-20 05:15:04	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	38	51¢	$19	0xdc376d…
05-20 05:10:04	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	38	49¢	$19	0x9daa9c…
05-20 05:05:03	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	38	51¢	$19	0xfca23e…
05-20 04:10:05	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	38	51¢	$19	0x3f64a7…
05-20 00:25:03	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0x464c0d…
05-20 00:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x25a54a…
05-19 23:35:04	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	38	51¢	$19	0xea312a…
05-19 22:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa3108d…
05-19 22:30:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0xdbb935…
05-19 22:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0xbeb07b…
05-19 22:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xc85334…
05-19 22:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x5c1aa5…
05-19 22:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x507802…
05-19 22:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x7bfce7…
05-19 22:25:04	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0x4cdbbd…
05-19 17:00:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x2a8914…
05-19 16:35:04	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x2e907b…
05-19 14:22:30	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	18	52¢	$9	0x6e6b4a…
05-19 14:20:05	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x5010e2…
05-19 09:35:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	38	50¢	$19	0xcb8d2f…
05-19 09:30:05	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x0e7ca4…
05-19 09:26:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	37	52¢	$19	0x807f36…
05-19 09:25:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	52¢	$1	0x728f2d…
05-19 09:21:00	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf067b1…
05-19 03:50:05	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xd08d9d…
05-19 03:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	38	51¢	$19	0x33e965…
05-19 02:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x2a9e69…
05-19 02:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x316973…
05-19 02:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0xcf91e5…
05-19 02:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x785f0c…
05-19 02:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	52¢	$8	0xc30f97…
05-19 01:32:04	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x373355…
05-19 01:31:31	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$4	0xb34b2c…
05-19 01:31:27	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x182ac4…
05-19 00:35:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x20bebe…
05-19 00:30:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x4cae96…
05-18 23:30:09	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	18	52¢	$9	0x508dd7…
05-18 23:30:09	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x4d363c…
05-18 18:30:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0xa32c39…
05-18 16:20:03	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	38	51¢	$19	0x17abed…
05-18 13:45:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0x71b5c1…
05-18 13:45:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	17	50¢	$8	0x3f2f3e…
05-18 13:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	38	50¢	$19	0x3d5d81…
05-18 13:35:04	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x45f754…
05-18 12:25:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x040fba…
05-18 12:15:05	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x961ede…
05-18 12:10:04	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x12ff15…
05-18 11:50:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x4c31a5…
05-18 11:45:04	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	38	51¢	$19	0x49b419…
05-18 11:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	38	49¢	$19	0x941d70…
05-18 11:35:04	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	38	51¢	$19	0x6dcbb6…
05-18 11:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	38	51¢	$19	0x7a9bb3…
05-18 05:05:05	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xe2dce0…
05-18 02:15:04	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	38	51¢	$19	0xa06b0a…
05-18 02:10:05	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	38	51¢	$19	0x66523e…
05-18 02:05:04	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	38	51¢	$19	0x96137c…
05-17 23:50:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	52¢	$11	0xe4a7bd…
05-17 23:50:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x400aa1…
05-17 23:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0x41aac3…
05-17 23:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd468c4…
05-17 23:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0xaadbed…
05-17 23:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x38903a…
05-17 23:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x6ca1c8…
05-17 23:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x1ad578…
05-17 23:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x862195…
05-17 23:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x39626f…
05-17 22:55:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0x49b07e…
05-17 22:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	33	52¢	$17	0x45304f…
05-17 22:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xfcdd49…
05-17 21:50:04	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	38	51¢	$19	0x1d9a6d…
05-17 21:45:04	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	38	51¢	$19	0x2c12ea…
05-17 21:40:03	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	38	51¢	$19	0x72ea4d…
05-17 21:35:04	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	38	51¢	$19	0x902938…
05-17 21:30:05	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x20f607…
05-17 21:25:06	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x7f2c64…
05-17 20:00:04	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	38	51¢	$19	0x879e07…
05-17 19:55:05	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	38	51¢	$19	0xf48abc…
05-17 19:50:04	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xbd49f3…
05-17 19:45:05	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	38	51¢	$19	0x1ded8a…
05-17 19:15:04	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	38	51¢	$19	0xcf15fe…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	827	$151.0K	12,657	05-20 13:54
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	785	$76.6K	6,599	05-20 13:06
Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de	736	$514	2,141	05-20 13:54
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	677	$40.9K	4,921	05-20 13:54
Multicolored-Myth 0x5927…666b	650	$7.36K	2,474	05-20 13:05
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	648	$48.1K	24,255	05-20 13:06
Jaded-Makeup 0x2653…76e1	644	$7.56K	2,281	05-20 13:06
Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b	640	$8.47K	2,028	05-20 13:48