Hot-Infusion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$123

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

36.5%

Resolved

256

Trades

1,674

lifetime

Volume

$3.48K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-18

last 05-22 17:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 26% +$123

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 224 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	6	$21	40	21	+19	Down	+$24	05-13 19:15
eth updown 5m 1776619200	2	$20	20	19	+1	open	—	04-19 17:25
eth updown 5m 1776652800	2	$19	20	18	+1	open	—	04-20 02:45
eth updown 5m 1776646500	2	$17	17	16	+1	open	—	04-20 00:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	2	$15	25	25	+0	Up	+$11	05-12 04:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$14	12	12	+0	open	—	05-16 17:10
eth updown 5m 1776653100	2	$13	12	12	+1	open	—	04-20 02:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	2	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	05-17 10:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	3	$11	14	7	+7	open	—	05-17 11:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	2	$11	9	9	+0	open	—	05-17 11:30
eth updown 5m 1776722100	2	$11	15	14	+1	open	—	04-20 21:59
eth updown 5m 1776635700	2	$10	18	17	+1	open	—	04-19 21:58
eth updown 5m 1776650400	2	$9	17	16	+1	open	—	04-20 02:03
eth updown 5m 1776733800	2	$9	12	11	+1	open	—	04-21 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	2	$9	7	7	+0	open	—	05-17 18:45
eth updown 5m 1776635100	2	$9	17	16	+1	open	—	04-19 21:48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	2	$9	13	13	+0	Up	+$5	05-12 02:48
eth updown 5m 1776642600	2	$9	13	12	+1	open	—	04-19 23:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	2	$9	7	7	+0	open	—	05-17 18:45
eth updown 5m 1776714600	2	$9	17	16	+1	open	—	04-20 19:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	4	$8	44	0	+44	open	—	05-15 21:03
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	4	$8	36	0	+36	Up	$-8	05-13 19:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	2	$8	12	12	+1	Down	+$4	05-12 07:34
eth updown 15m 1776547800	2	$8	13	12	+1	open	—	04-18 21:43
eth updown 5m 1776544200	2	$8	12	12	+1	open	—	04-18 20:33
eth updown 5m 1776650700	2	$8	10	10	+1	open	—	04-20 02:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	2	$8	9	6	+3	open	—	05-17 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	05-18 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	2	$8	9	9	+0	Down	+$4	05-12 07:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	2	$8	9	9	+0	Down	+$4	05-12 03:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 17:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xff81ac…
05-22 16:12:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xede89c…
05-22 15:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xe30e21…
05-22 12:43:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x0fb3b5…
05-22 12:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x8358f9…
05-22 11:26:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x324c7e…
05-22 10:27:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xeae4c5…
05-22 10:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xc39e6b…
05-22 10:08:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xd35138…
05-22 09:52:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x95ced8…
05-22 09:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x445e48…
05-22 09:19:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xf3d07e…
05-22 09:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x966b82…
05-22 08:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x4460e8…
05-22 08:10:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x263ccb…
05-22 06:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x286893…
05-22 05:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x0aa095…
05-22 04:53:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xfb51e3…
05-22 03:41:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xd95354…
05-22 03:22:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xfa4f63…
05-22 02:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xbbfcdb…
05-22 02:42:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xc622c5…
05-22 00:40:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xd8f573…
05-21 23:17:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xf47b8c…
05-21 23:13:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xbc8530…
05-21 22:29:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xf40d43…
05-21 20:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xf2cbd9…
05-21 20:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xbe4549…
05-21 13:29:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xeb5a47…
05-21 11:28:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x3f64bc…
05-21 11:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x056c6b…
05-21 10:24:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xaf6e86…
05-21 10:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x6d1e1d…
05-21 10:13:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xc740ef…
05-21 10:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x80f95c…
05-21 09:58:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x6c380b…
05-21 09:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xbf062b…
05-21 09:12:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xcebcaa…
05-21 08:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x6ce567…
05-21 08:56:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xe1f840…
05-21 08:02:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xe245e2…
05-21 07:31:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x5f2f65…
05-21 07:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x6fafe3…
05-21 07:06:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xf4e678…
05-21 06:27:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x6b10a0…
05-21 06:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x65be93…
05-21 06:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x963a08…
05-21 06:03:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x14b3ac…
05-21 05:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x239481…
05-21 04:47:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xa94d59…
05-21 03:58:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x9ad754…
05-21 03:42:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xa8d063…
05-21 03:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x7084a4…
05-21 00:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xb53510…
05-21 00:24:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x43eb76…
05-20 20:13:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xc3ba57…
05-20 20:12:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xb03013…
05-20 20:08:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xba15f0…
05-20 20:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xeec710…
05-20 16:42:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x4b41ea…
05-20 16:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x60e30f…
05-20 16:07:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x36c644…
05-20 16:04:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x602c71…
05-20 15:58:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x7df34a…
05-20 14:51:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x92fa5c…
05-20 14:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xc4a126…
05-20 14:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xc2bc19…
05-20 13:52:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xcec87a…
05-20 13:21:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x0ad282…
05-20 13:20:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x3036f4…
05-20 13:02:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x169738…
05-20 12:53:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xc81c33…
05-20 12:53:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x012486…
05-20 12:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x7b1ee0…
05-20 12:46:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x2eaa55…
05-20 12:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x14a160…
05-20 12:29:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x0bb00f…
05-20 12:25:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xd0606d…
05-20 12:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x9b4862…
05-20 12:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x7cfa1b…
05-20 11:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xa8120a…
05-20 11:34:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x6641dd…
05-20 11:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xda2c68…
05-20 11:18:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x443f18…
05-20 11:14:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x0602d0…
05-20 11:05:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x775d49…
05-20 11:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xc283fe…
05-20 11:01:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x89ed7f…
05-20 10:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xf79bb5…
05-20 10:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x86aaeb…
05-20 10:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xd437b1…
05-20 10:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xe9ff59…
05-20 10:21:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xd85809…
05-20 10:14:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x0aed74…
05-20 10:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xe11025…
05-20 09:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x481184…
05-20 09:38:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x1e6cea…
05-20 09:36:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x0d06a7…
05-20 09:25:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x648218…
05-20 09:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xf57faf…