Simplistic-March — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$807

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.9%

Resolved

545

Trades

2,407

lifetime

Volume

$133.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$55

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 08-18 09:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 107 days

Categories

Other

100% 86% +$807

Crypto

0% 67% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 2?	4	$1.9K	1,700	204	+1,496	No	+$9	07-02 23:31
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 18?	34	$1.6K	1,230	430	+800	Yes	-$771	07-18 12:13
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 37°C on July 22?	15	$1.6K	800	800	+0	No	+$39	07-22 07:56
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on August 3?	10	$1.4K	710	710	+0	No	+$19	08-03 10:41
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 9?	13	$1.4K	727	727	+0	No	+$47	06-09 13:36
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C or below on June 27?	18	$1.3K	1,480	0	+1,480	Yes	+$148	06-27 11:19
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 12?	49	$1.3K	738	738	+0	No	-$40	07-12 09:51
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 25?	3	$1.3K	1,000	270	+730	Yes	+$11	07-25 04:48
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 17?	11	$1.1K	1,017	142	+874	No	+$20	06-17 23:05
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 20?	14	$1.1K	970	250	+720	No	+$39	06-20 11:19
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 8?	21	$1.1K	600	600	+0	No	-$29	07-08 06:46
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 27?	31	$1.1K	650	650	+0	No	-$70	06-27 08:18
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 3?	18	$1.0K	1,100	0	+1,100	No	+$61	07-03 15:00
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 10?	18	$1.0K	805	250	+555	No	+$14	07-10 09:26
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C or higher on July 15?	2	$996	500	500	+0	No	+$3	07-15 07:28
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 14?	7	$991	501	501	+0	No	+$10	06-14 12:50
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on June 17?	2	$990	500	500	+0	No	+$10	06-17 11:41
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 38°C on July 22?	7	$989	500	500	-0	No	$0	07-22 03:52
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 21?	19	$989	867	200	+667	No	+$43	06-21 12:30
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 14?	6	$985	1,005	0	+1,005	No	+$19	07-14 10:34
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 21?	6	$985	500	500	+0	No	+$15	06-21 11:28
Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on July 9?	14	$979	1,005	0	+1,005	No	+$25	07-09 11:51
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 17?	7	$974	500	500	+0	No	+$25	06-17 14:23
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 13?	16	$969	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$31	07-13 06:46
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 24?	13	$967	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$33	07-24 01:58
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 5?	15	$950	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$50	07-05 11:35
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 6?	19	$940	1,005	0	+1,005	No	+$65	07-06 09:33
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on July 11?	12	$935	950	0	+950	No	+$16	07-11 12:18
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 26?	12	$916	985	0	+985	No	+$70	06-26 12:40
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 42°C on June 24?	11	$875	900	0	+900	No	+$25	06-24 13:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-18 09:55:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 18?	No	BUY	500	76¢	$380	0x657666…
08-18 09:55:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 18?	No	SELL	157	100¢	$156	0xf73713…
08-18 09:54:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 18?	No	SELL	151	100¢	$151	0xcd8354…
08-18 09:54:22	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 18?	No	SELL	210	100¢	$209	0x14e0da…
08-18 05:39:06	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 18?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xb09509…
08-18 05:38:40	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on August 18?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x59e9bd…
08-18 05:36:04	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 18?	No	BUY	68	98¢	$67	0x6f4565…
08-18 05:28:57	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 18?	No	BUY	62	98¢	$62	0x4e9333…
08-18 05:27:55	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 18?	No	BUY	27	98¢	$26	0x6f801b…
08-18 05:27:46	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 18?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x1ee1f4…
08-18 05:16:43	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x08652a…
08-18 05:14:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xfb7ed5…
08-18 05:10:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 18?	No	BUY	130	98¢	$127	0xd75c77…
08-18 05:09:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 18?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xfe1ac2…
08-18 05:08:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 18?	No	BUY	128	98¢	$126	0xdd07d3…
08-18 04:57:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 18?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x306286…
08-18 04:57:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 18?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xa74402…
08-18 04:57:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 18?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x84ff90…
08-18 04:57:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 18?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x4a58d3…
08-18 04:57:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 18?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xa8f835…
08-18 04:57:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 18?	No	BUY	91	93¢	$85	0x672e0b…
08-18 04:55:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 18?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x6e771a…
08-18 04:50:09	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on August 18?	No	BUY	39	95¢	$37	0x52a437…
08-18 04:50:00	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on August 18?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x036c5e…
08-18 04:49:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 18?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x8c92cf…
08-18 04:48:58	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 18?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc6ed8a…
08-18 04:45:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 18?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x33e5c3…
08-18 04:43:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 18?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xade271…
08-18 04:43:07	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on August 18?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x302d33…
08-18 04:41:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 18?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xab1c52…
08-18 04:41:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 18?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x012206…
08-18 04:41:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 18?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$20	0xbe8313…
08-18 04:41:00	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on August 18?	No	BUY	75	95¢	$71	0xdb4199…
08-18 04:40:58	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on August 18?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x97bd4d…
08-18 04:40:40	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on August 18?	No	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x0f24ba…
08-18 04:39:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 18?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x96f0bc…
08-18 04:39:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xe5374a…
08-18 04:38:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 18?	No	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0x96fa57…
08-18 04:36:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 18?	No	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0x86c2c0…
08-17 11:47:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 17?	No	SELL	70	98¢	$69	0xd38c69…
08-17 10:44:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 17?	No	SELL	55	99¢	$54	0xf393e4…
08-17 10:43:45	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 17?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x415ef6…
08-17 10:36:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 17?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$19	0x9d230b…
08-17 07:38:03	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on August 17?	No	BUY	370	99¢	$366	0x9a8f53…
08-17 05:03:27	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 17?	No	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0x51a27b…
08-17 05:02:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 17?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x8d9e81…
08-17 05:02:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 17?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x442850…
08-17 05:02:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 17?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x600fc5…
08-17 05:02:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 17?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xaec713…
08-17 05:02:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 17?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x07bda5…
08-17 05:02:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 17?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x8cfdfc…
08-17 05:01:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 17?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x7ba985…
08-17 05:01:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 17?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x25a3c2…
08-17 05:01:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 17?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc7a227…
08-17 05:01:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 17?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4b1cc9…
08-17 05:01:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 17?	No	BUY	28	98¢	$27	0x12fd6d…
08-17 04:36:49	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on August 17?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xb6e9cd…
08-17 04:34:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 17?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x6f1b8b…
08-17 04:33:48	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on August 17?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x14224b…
08-17 04:33:37	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on August 17?	No	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0x1dc505…
08-17 04:31:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 17?	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0xf700f2…
08-17 04:30:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 17?	No	BUY	103	95¢	$98	0x5abbc8…
08-14 14:21:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 14?	No	SELL	310	100¢	$310	0x164e9e…
08-14 06:25:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 14?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x2cfd7e…
08-14 06:24:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on August 14?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xb11660…
08-14 06:24:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x6534a0…
08-14 06:24:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on August 14?	No	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x933ceb…
08-14 06:23:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x48ca13…
08-14 06:23:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 14?	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0xcca047…
08-14 06:22:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on August 14?	No	BUY	45	95¢	$43	0x976cb9…
08-14 05:34:45	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 14?	No	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x71d9bb…
08-14 05:34:34	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 14?	No	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0xcf0d6f…
08-14 05:34:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 14?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x351861…
08-14 05:34:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xd11c80…
08-14 05:33:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C or higher on August 14?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x984ae6…
08-14 05:32:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 14?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x29c723…
08-14 05:31:55	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 14?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x1d563b…
08-14 05:31:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 14?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x5bed87…
08-14 05:31:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 14?	No	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x04398f…
08-14 05:29:42	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 14?	No	BUY	42	85¢	$36	0xfa3899…
08-14 05:29:27	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0xa98b73…
08-14 05:28:21	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 14?	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x54ceeb…
08-14 05:27:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 14?	No	BUY	21	89¢	$19	0x9f80f8…
08-14 05:27:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 14?	No	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0x3bb069…
08-14 05:27:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 14?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x1cf5e7…
08-14 05:26:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x8d55a0…
08-14 05:26:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 14?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0xd22fda…
08-14 05:25:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x72bf8b…
08-14 05:25:25	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 14?	No	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x9b61a6…
08-14 05:24:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 14?	No	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0x81db70…
08-14 05:23:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 14?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$20	0xc3e8d5…
08-14 05:22:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 14?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x1eb35e…
08-14 05:22:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 14?	No	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0x19b8b3…
08-13 04:20:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on August 13?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x00af6e…
08-13 04:20:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on August 13?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0xa9ebda…
08-13 04:14:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 13?	No	BUY	36	95¢	$34	0xea95a9…
08-13 04:12:49	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 13?	No	BUY	14	94¢	$13	0xced0f6…
08-13 04:10:39	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on August 13?	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0xb2048c…
08-13 04:08:43	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 13?	No	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x369eef…
08-13 04:08:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 13?	No	BUY	38	94¢	$36	0x199b81…