Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.21K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

2.8%

Resolved

5,136

Trades

17,005

lifetime

Volume

$131.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-12

last 09-10 21:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 100 days

Categories

Other

84% 5% -$4,220

Politics

10% 2% -$674

Sports

2% 3% -$169

Tech

2% 4% -$98

Crypto

1% 3% -$33

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 1070 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?	18	$469	352	352	+0	No	-$4	08-07 22:35
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	12	$299	254	254	+0	No	-$2	08-13 09:32
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	26	$293	438	438	+0	Yes	-$11	07-30 06:25
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in July?	25	$252	267	267	+0	Yes	-$1	08-12 09:38
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	10	$240	221	221	+0	Yes	-$2	07-22 17:12
Will John Larson be the Democratic nominee for CT-01?	16	$236	317	317	+0	No	-$4	08-10 17:46
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	16	$230	208	208	+0	Yes	-$1	08-09 11:57
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?	7	$216	150	150	+0	Yes	-$1	08-09 12:55
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 13?	33	$212	205	205	+0	No	-$4	08-13 11:11
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 30?	25	$205	209	209	+0	No	-$1	07-30 05:31
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on August 10?	24	$194	198	198	+0	Yes	-$1	08-09 22:00
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?	6	$189	150	150	+0	No	-$5	08-03 17:54
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on August 11?	30	$189	192	192	+0	No	$0	08-11 04:52
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 10?	30	$185	189	189	+0	Yes	-$1	08-09 16:36
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 13?	40	$185	193	193	+0	No	+$0	08-12 02:09
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	6	$181	150	150	+0	No	-$3	08-11 17:20
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 12?	38	$178	187	187	+0	Yes	-$2	08-12 05:02
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 11?	32	$170	178	178	+0	No	-$1	08-10 13:42
Will David Crowley win Kenosha County in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary?	4	$166	100	100	+0	No	-$2	08-11 10:09
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 13?	34	$166	170	170	+0	Yes	-$1	08-12 00:14
will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 31 20260808192512607	4	$164	100	100	+0	Yes	-$4	08-09 14:57
will trump say oil gas or gasoline during remarks in new york 20260811183234689	10	$154	103	94	+9	Yes	+$1	08-13 14:15
Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	10	$153	130	130	+0	Yes	-$2	08-07 21:25
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?	4	$153	100	100	+0	No	-$3	08-06 20:39
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 10?	36	$152	156	156	+0	Yes	-$1	08-09 16:52
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 10?	26	$152	158	158	+0	Yes	-$1	08-09 10:37
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 3?	14	$149	140	140	+0	No	-$3	08-02 06:11
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?	9	$149	154	154	+0	Yes	-$9	08-08 10:18
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?	16	$146	140	140	+0	Yes	-$4	08-08 22:13
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 31?	16	$144	142	142	+0	Yes	-$3	07-30 19:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-10 21:11:37	Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	No	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x001895…
08-14 13:17:30	Will There be 10+ Knife Kills at CS2 EWC 2026?	No	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0x3f7d00…
08-14 13:17:28	Will There be 10+ Knife Kills at CS2 EWC 2026?	No	SELL	17	83¢	$14	0x901782…
08-13 15:40:07	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x47bf45…
08-13 15:39:24	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 15?	No	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xf782e9…
08-13 15:18:10	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xbd4640…
08-13 15:07:21	Will Team Secret Win EWC 2026 Rainbow Six Siege	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x7587f4…
08-13 15:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xd72c7e…
08-13 15:04:39	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on August 15?	No	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0x8fef98…
08-13 15:04:37	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on August 15?	No	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x57898d…
08-13 15:04:36	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 14?	No	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0x9be84d…
08-13 15:04:09	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 14?	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x86dcdb…
08-13 15:04:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 15?	No	BUY	18	53¢	$10	0x01f8f2…
08-13 15:03:33	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x5730d4…
08-13 15:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	1	48¢	$1	0xf4ec17…
08-13 15:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb4e41a…
08-13 15:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xaab9a2…
08-13 14:58:51	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 14?	No	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x5d89b8…
08-13 14:58:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x0341a9…
08-13 14:55:04	Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x7f7238…
08-13 14:49:48	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x9b28d1…
08-13 14:49:10	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xee2a2f…
08-13 14:43:58	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 14?	No	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0x801719…
08-13 14:40:34	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 14?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x057214…
08-13 14:37:45	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 14?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xc75547…
08-13 14:37:43	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 14?	Yes	BUY	17	61¢	$11	0xcdc07d…
08-13 14:36:46	will trump say transgender during remarks in new york 20260811183234693	No	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0x85d817…
08-13 14:19:18	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 14?	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xb4b2aa…
08-13 14:15:43	will trump say oil gas or gasoline during remarks in new york 20260811183234689	Yes	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0x82c416…
08-13 14:14:33	Walmart (WMT) Q2 US comp sales (ex-fuel) growth 3%-4.5%?	No	BUY	10	15¢	$1	0x98086e…
08-13 14:10:46	Will There be 10+ Knife Kills at CS2 EWC 2026?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x6d3772…
08-13 14:10:13	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 15?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x0dd7b3…
08-13 14:10:09	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 15?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x8261a3…
08-13 14:06:54	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xd617d5…
08-13 14:03:58	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 14?	No	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xdc0fa7…
08-13 14:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on August 14?	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x94a92e…
08-13 14:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 14?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xbd9b74…
08-13 13:58:33	will minnesota have more than 7pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194025015	Yes	SELL	17	28¢	$5	0x396f46…
08-13 13:58:25	will minnesota have more than 7pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194025015	Yes	BUY	17	28¢	$5	0x795fdb…
08-13 13:56:30	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 14?	Yes	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0xa8e1ae…
08-13 13:56:27	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x9be594…
08-13 13:54:28	wti closes above 80 on august 13 2026	Yes	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0x3134d5…
08-13 13:54:25	wti closes above 80 on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xf070ad…
08-13 13:51:06	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 72m?	No	SELL	7	22¢	$1	0x6a9bb9…
08-13 13:51:03	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 72m?	No	BUY	7	23¢	$1	0x5ee948…
08-13 13:48:51	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in August?	No	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0xb4e167…
08-13 13:48:49	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in August?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xf33e7e…
08-13 13:41:43	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on August 15?	Yes	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0xac4ce2…
08-13 13:41:40	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xbb8c63…
08-13 13:36:16	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 15?	Yes	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0x5c8f7d…
08-13 13:36:13	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0x248d7d…
08-13 13:35:40	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 15?	No	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0xa29888…
08-13 13:35:30	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 15?	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x7da4e9…
08-13 13:32:13	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 14?	Yes	SELL	8	48¢	$4	0xd6b721…
08-13 13:32:09	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x74620e…
08-13 13:30:09	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 14?	No	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0xda6140…
08-13 13:30:01	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 14?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x19dc70…
08-13 13:26:40	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 14?	Yes	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x188eab…
08-13 13:26:34	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x0880e1…
08-13 13:25:46	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 14?	No	SELL	1	55¢	$1	0x2aae57…
08-13 13:25:43	will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31	Yes	SELL	50	19¢	$9	0x50649d…
08-13 13:25:39	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 14?	No	BUY	1	55¢	$1	0x013ddd…
08-13 13:25:36	will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31	Yes	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x81f024…
08-13 13:21:36	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on August 15?	No	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x878861…
08-13 13:21:28	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on August 15?	No	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x1f339f…
08-13 13:21:01	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 14?	No	SELL	0	38¢	$0	0x9983c1…
08-13 13:20:54	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 14?	No	BUY	0	38¢	$0	0x153770…
08-13 13:19:04	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 15?	Yes	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xb57c1c…
08-13 13:18:58	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xf2c8de…
08-13 13:13:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0x725adc…
08-13 13:13:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0x54bfed…
08-13 13:10:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 14?	Yes	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x6d0aed…
08-13 13:10:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x457d7a…
08-13 13:08:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0x5b4741…
08-13 13:08:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0xd73df9…
08-13 12:57:34	Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	38¢	$6	0xbddfe1…
08-13 12:57:31	Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0x982124…
08-13 12:57:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	50	31¢	$16	0xc22e3e…
08-13 12:57:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x1c7f98…
08-13 12:56:40	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 14?	Yes	SELL	14	48¢	$7	0x8be9c8…
08-13 12:56:33	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	14	48¢	$7	0xa12110…
08-13 12:51:34	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 14?	No	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0x8b3957…
08-13 12:51:30	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 14?	No	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x58b4b1…
08-13 12:48:16	will trump say oil gas or gasoline during remarks in new york 20260811183234689	No	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0xf2176a…
08-13 12:48:12	will trump say oil gas or gasoline during remarks in new york 20260811183234689	No	BUY	3	22¢	$1	0xaf041b…
08-13 12:48:12	will trump say oil gas or gasoline during remarks in new york 20260811183234689	No	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x9a2482…
08-13 12:48:01	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in August?	No	SELL	12	69¢	$8	0xfd8315…
08-13 12:47:58	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in August?	No	BUY	12	70¢	$8	0x611cfb…
08-13 12:47:39	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 14?	Yes	SELL	9	65¢	$6	0x473bc2…
08-13 12:47:22	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0xc8df4e…
08-13 12:46:48	Will Magnus Carlsen Win EWC 2026 Chess?	Yes	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0xb1d5e3…
08-13 12:46:45	Will Magnus Carlsen Win EWC 2026 Chess?	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x4270a5…
08-13 12:45:36	msft up or down on august 13 2026	Down	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x6a0c93…
08-13 12:45:31	msft up or down on august 13 2026	Down	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xcb22d6…
08-13 12:41:27	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on August 14?	Yes	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x990eb5…
08-13 12:41:19	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x1d141d…
08-13 12:38:51	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on August 15?	No	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xbf4e29…
08-13 12:38:48	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on August 15?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xcd7594…
08-13 12:37:01	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 13?	No	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0x6aed8f…
08-13 12:36:52	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 13?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x3a1595…