Short-Term-Column — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.4%

Resolved

Trades

418

lifetime

Volume

$1.45K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-17

last 05-09 09:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

59% 0% $-0

Crypto

12% 100% +$1

Sports

11% 33% $-3

Tech

9% — —

Politics

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	8	$151	130	129	+2	open	—	04-27 10:59
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	4	$91	55	55	+0	open	—	04-24 05:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$48	62	62	+0	open	—	04-24 16:16
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	2	$45	37	37	+0	open	—	04-24 16:50
LoL: Shifters vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	3	$43	38	23	+14	open	—	04-24 16:57
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs	2	$39	21	21	+0	open	—	04-25 12:25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	2	$29	27	27	+0	open	—	04-24 08:21
Spread: Atlanta United FC (-2.5)	2	$28	15	15	+0	open	—	04-25 18:51
Spread: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-1.5)	2	$28	18	18	+0	open	—	04-25 18:20
Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in April?	2	$26	15	15	+0	open	—	04-28 17:01
Games Total: O/U 2.5	3	$24	19	19	+0	open	—	04-24 19:38
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$20	32	31	+1	open	—	04-27 13:58
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$20	22	22	+0	open	—	04-27 19:33
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$19	13	13	+0	open	—	04-09 04:52
ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 rma1	3	$18	31	31	+0	open	—	03-17 20:50
LoL: Fnatic vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	2	$15	12	12	+0	open	—	04-30 19:31
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by April 30?	2	$15	25	25	+0	open	—	04-30 06:10
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 12 2026	2	$15	8	8	+0	open	—	04-12 18:09
Will gas hit (Low) $3.95 by April 30?	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	04-01 17:24
cbb sfl lou 2026 03 19 spread home 5pt5	3	$13	14	9	+5	open	—	03-19 08:52
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	04-28 19:28
ucl tot atm1 2026 03 18 atm1	3	$12	17	17	+0	open	—	03-18 19:03
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 207.5	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	04-27 05:22
Will MrBeast say "Insane" during his next video?	2	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	04-30 17:01
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5	2	$11	16	0	+16	open	—	04-29 06:45
Will Trump say "Winston" or "Churchill" during King Charles visit?	2	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	04-28 17:00
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 spread home 2pt5	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	04-15 01:53
btc updown 5m 1775356500	2	$10	10	9	+1	open	—	04-05 02:38
will bitcoin reach 70k march 30 april 5	2	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	04-02 02:43
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	2	$10	11	11	+0	open	—	03-30 09:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 09:04:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0xa829cc…
05-09 09:03:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x23fc08…
05-05 16:10:26	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xc114a9…
05-05 02:45:24	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x91b36d…
05-04 09:39:32	Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?	No	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x6f06dd…
05-03 18:41:52	Magic vs. Pistons	Magic	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x868a06…
05-03 18:37:44	Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)	Aston Villa FC	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xd90fc8…
05-03 06:34:12	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2344f7…
05-03 03:10:02	Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padres	Chicago White Sox	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc46080…
05-03 02:04:02	Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padres	Chicago White Sox	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x547443…
05-02 17:49:44	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	FaZe	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x4f5690…
05-02 14:35:52	Dota 2: enjoy boys vs Inner Circle (BO3) - European Pro League Group A	enjoy boys	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x41d34a…
05-02 14:34:22	UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Joshua Van	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0xe0bad4…
05-02 14:30:44	Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Chinggis Warriors (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #4 Playoffs	Chinggis Warriors	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xebf1e5…
05-02 04:38:06	UFC Fight Night: Gerald Meerschaert vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Main Card)	Gerald Meerschaert	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x3ed2a0…
05-02 04:37:30	UFC Fight Night: Themba Gorimbo vs. Jonathan Micallef (Welterweight, Prelims)	Themba Gorimbo	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x65ddde…
05-02 04:36:46	Golden Knights vs. Utah	Utah	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x375989…
05-02 04:35:32	Cleveland Guardians vs. Athletics	Athletics	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x2dfd6e…
05-01 13:38:40	Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs The Huns Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #4 Playoffs	The Huns Esports	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x7e7af9…
05-01 13:37:12	LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Weibo Gaming	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xaeed72…
05-01 11:14:48	Dota 2: enjoy boys vs Inner Circle (BO3) - European Pro League Group A	enjoy boys	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd11a6a…
05-01 11:13:08	Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs MANA eSports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #1 Play-In Group C	HyperSpirit	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x606d7d…
05-01 11:12:10	Counter-Strike: R2 Esports Club vs Keyd (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stage	R2 Esports Club	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xbd91fe…
05-01 11:06:10	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xa7928f…
05-01 11:00:40	Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Team Secret (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha	Team Secret	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x61766b…
05-01 08:17:24	UFC Fight Night: Junior Tafa vs. Kevin Christian (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)	Kevin Christian	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x86b8b2…
05-01 08:17:10	UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Joshua Van	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x8ac827…
05-01 08:05:44	UFC Fight Night: Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)	Tim Elliott	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x73a8eb…
05-01 08:03:38	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x4db8ee…
05-01 08:02:24	LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	DN SOOPers	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe561bb…
05-01 07:59:14	Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Team Secret (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha	Team Secret	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x6f1f52…
04-30 20:16:10	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x5fe71c…
04-30 20:12:48	Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa6c90f…
04-30 20:03:12	Celtics vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x3e0c42…
04-30 19:31:56	LoL: Fnatic vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	Solary	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x4b1b52…
04-30 17:12:46	LoL: Fnatic vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	Solary	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xeb70e6…
04-30 17:10:42	LoL: TITANS vs Aeterna Esports (BO5) - LIT Playoffs	TITANS	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x1bb1d4…
04-30 17:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	32¢	$1	0x7f8bdd…
04-30 17:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x295345…
04-30 17:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x6a60aa…
04-30 17:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x33d30c…
04-30 17:01:06	Will MrBeast say "Insane" during his next video?	Yes	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0x14e50c…
04-30 16:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x97e77b…
04-30 16:44:42	LoL: TITANS vs Aeterna Esports (BO5) - LIT Playoffs	TITANS	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x05cc9c…
04-30 16:42:06	Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A	FUT Esports	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x6cb474…
04-30 16:40:28	LoL: Shifters vs Team Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	Team Vitality	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xa306df…
04-30 08:24:14	LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	BNK FEARX	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x23705c…
04-30 08:20:32	LoL: RAYN Clocks vs FENNEL (BO3) - LJL Regular Season	RAYN Clocks	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x68c93e…
04-30 08:17:48	Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs BIG Academy (BO3) - United21 Playoffs	Fire Flux Esports	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x81f96a…
04-30 08:17:34	Counter-Strike: Imperial Academy vs AaB Esport (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Playoffs	Imperial Academy	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xc293e1…
04-30 08:16:52	LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	HANJIN BRION Challengers	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe54bd8…
04-30 06:28:58	Will MrBeast say "Insane" during his next video?	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x65f6ee…
04-30 06:20:52	LoL: Gen.G vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Kiwoom DRX	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xd24647…
04-30 06:20:26	Honor of Kings: LGD NBW vs ZJQ (BO7) - Honor of Kings Challenger Cup Stage 1	ZJQ	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xc679a6…
04-30 06:17:50	LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	DN SOOPers Challengers	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xa8bfb8…
04-30 06:17:36	LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	Gen.G Global Academy	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x110f7e…
04-30 06:17:28	LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	HANJIN BRION Challengers	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xbf2317…
04-30 06:17:04	LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	DN SOOPers Challengers	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xdbf602…
04-30 06:16:50	Utah vs. Golden Knights	Utah	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0xb29e67…
04-30 06:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x0f5739…
04-30 06:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x880e61…
04-30 06:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0x2694bc…
04-30 06:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xdccb00…
04-30 06:10:44	Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by April 30?	No	SELL	25	21¢	$5	0xbe110d…
04-30 05:54:56	Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by April 30?	No	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x3d288e…
04-30 00:13:04	Rockets vs. Lakers	Rockets	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xde11e6…
04-29 17:24:50	Will Keir Starmer say "Deeply Concerning" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	41	3¢	$1	0x5b6782…
04-29 17:19:26	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x254d85…
04-29 17:18:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?	No	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xa491bb…
04-29 15:31:28	Will Keir Starmer say "Deeply Concerning" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	58	2¢	$1	0x758218…
04-29 15:25:38	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd5d0e3…
04-29 15:24:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe90ac0…
04-29 08:04:24	Will Trump say "Iran" during King Charles visit?	Yes	SELL	4	14¢	$1	0xd5fa81…
04-29 06:45:10	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0x80d660…
04-28 20:36:32	Will Trump say "Iran" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x247c3b…
04-28 20:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x48c86f…
04-28 20:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x756187…
04-28 20:25:34	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 8.5 Total Corners	Over	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0xa9e51c…
04-28 20:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xee67ba…
04-28 20:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	4	18¢	$1	0x3d7b04…
04-28 20:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xe298d8…
04-28 20:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x45aa72…
04-28 20:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x126494…
04-28 19:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xba5cc7…
04-28 19:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xcd55fc…
04-28 19:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	82¢	$2	0x3a8f81…
04-28 19:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x1fad5a…
04-28 19:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xfbbd31…
04-28 19:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x0b9400…
04-28 19:38:26	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0x3e5674…
04-28 19:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x4acb87…
04-28 19:31:56	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 8.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x2423ab…
04-28 19:30:34	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x85d532…
04-28 19:28:26	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xa6e635…
04-28 18:18:14	Will Keir Starmer say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x7400bd…
04-28 18:16:16	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xb076e4…
04-28 17:13:48	Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 206.5	Over	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xb1185f…
04-28 17:09:26	LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	Shifters	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xc1bec3…
04-28 17:01:14	Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in April?	No	SELL	15	96¢	$15	0xd7674e…
04-28 17:00:42	Will Trump say "Winston" or "Churchill" during King Charles visit?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x81898a…