Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$186
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
5
lifetime
Volume
$902
lifetime
Avg / trade
$180
Open exposure
$717
5 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 22:35
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Tech
52%
Politics
25%
Other
22%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? Yes -608 $-473 50¢ $-302 +$170 05-05 13:45
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? Yes +216 $201 94¢ $202 +$1 05-05 13:46
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026? No -150 $-140 89¢ $-134 +$6 05-05 22:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? No -100 $-87 78¢ $-78 +$8 05-05 13:55
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? Yes -52 $-1 $-1 +$0 05-04 20:24