Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

35.4%

Resolved

Trades

225

lifetime

Volume

$874

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 04-16 22:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

65% 25% $-4

Politics

30% 67% +$2

Tech

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Nothing Ever Happens: April	6	$80	154	154	+0	open	—	04-16 17:10
Will "IRIS OUT" by Kenshi Yonezu (Chainsaw Man – The Movie: Reze Arc) win Best Anime Song at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?	4	$67	105	105	+0	open	—	04-16 21:54
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 8, 2026?	2	$39	162	162	+0	open	—	04-09 03:00
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	6	$27	35	35	+0	open	—	04-13 06:36
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	4	$25	32	32	+0	open	—	04-13 10:48
Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	6	$22	49	49	+0	open	—	04-16 21:54
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	6	$22	37	37	+0	open	—	04-16 21:54
Will Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	4	$16	33	33	+0	Yes	$-1	04-16 21:54
Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	4	$16	34	34	+0	open	—	04-16 21:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	3	$14	29	14	+15	open	—	04-14 13:32
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	4	$14	25	25	+0	open	—	04-16 21:54
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	4	$13	24	24	+0	open	—	04-12 10:40
Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	4	$13	28	28	+0	open	—	04-16 22:42
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	3	$11	26	10	+16	open	—	04-09 21:54
Will BC.Game make a roster move before May?	2	$11	13	13	+0	open	—	04-09 18:43
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in April?	2	$11	12	12	+0	open	—	04-09 21:54
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 16, 2026?	2	$11	14	14	+0	open	—	04-13 15:36
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	4	$10	31	31	+0	open	—	04-16 21:54
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	4	$10	24	24	+0	open	—	04-15 20:24
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	2	$10	14	14	+0	open	—	04-16 06:11
Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	2	$10	14	14	+0	No	+$3	04-16 00:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	2	$10	12	12	+0	open	—	04-13 20:38
Military action against Iran ends by April 9, 2026?	2	$10	13	13	+0	open	—	04-08 17:12
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$10	17	17	+0	open	—	04-16 21:54
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?	2	$9	12	12	+0	open	—	04-09 16:40
will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	2	$9	19	19	+0	open	—	04-16 21:54
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	2	$9	12	12	+0	open	—	04-08 15:22
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in April?	2	$9	13	13	+0	open	—	04-09 00:53
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	2	$9	11	11	+0	open	—	04-09 18:43
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during April press conference?	2	$9	18	18	+0	open	—	04-16 21:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-16 22:44:20	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $250 end of April?	No	SELL	13	19¢	$2	0x762daa…
04-16 22:44:20	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $390 end of April?	No	SELL	15	20¢	$3	0x3b4dce…
04-16 22:44:20	Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?	No	SELL	18	15¢	$3	0x326f43…
04-16 22:44:18	Will Lyft’s total rides in Q1 2026 be above 240m?	No	SELL	13	24¢	$3	0x126ed0…
04-16 22:44:16	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	14	29¢	$4	0xf6c971…
04-16 22:44:16	Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	No	SELL	17	14¢	$2	0xb9d84e…
04-16 22:44:16	Will Christian Menefee be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?	No	SELL	16	10¢	$2	0xb3774e…
04-16 22:44:16	Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	14	23¢	$3	0xb2b579…
04-16 22:44:16	Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?	No	SELL	14	14¢	$2	0xaba444…
04-16 22:44:14	Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?	No	SELL	14	25¢	$4	0xedb77e…
04-16 22:44:14	Will Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	17	18¢	$3	0xe8e8b1…
04-16 22:44:14	Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	11	35¢	$4	0xd09dd7…
04-16 22:44:14	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	17	22¢	$4	0x575680…
04-16 22:44:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	SELL	13	36¢	$5	0x379a70…
04-16 22:44:12	Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	11	27¢	$3	0x2f4b1e…
04-16 22:44:10	Will Brian Poindexter be the Democratic nominee for OH-07?	No	SELL	13	11¢	$1	0xafde39…
04-16 22:44:10	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	13¢	$2	0x110a55…
04-16 22:44:10	Will Claude go down 12+ times in April?	No	SELL	17	12¢	$2	0x101368…
04-16 22:42:30	Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	14	23¢	$3	0x541917…
04-16 21:56:54	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?	No	SELL	16	33¢	$5	0x8bd053…
04-16 21:55:46	Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	15	24¢	$4	0x0a82ea…
04-16 21:54:44	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $220 end of April?	No	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0x226ade…
04-16 21:54:42	Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during April press conference?	No	SELL	18	23¢	$4	0x50cb38…
04-16 21:54:42	Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	14	22¢	$3	0x04c560…
04-16 21:54:40	Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	19	17¢	$3	0x88be4e…
04-16 21:54:40	will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	No	SELL	19	23¢	$4	0x6fed17…
04-16 21:54:38	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	No	SELL	12	22¢	$3	0x856429…
04-16 21:54:36	Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	17	27¢	$5	0x2ee483…
04-16 21:54:30	Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	15	23¢	$3	0x61a250…
04-16 21:54:28	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	13	4¢	$0	0xfb888c…
04-16 21:54:28	GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	14	6¢	$1	0x551a93…
04-16 21:54:26	Will Trump say "Queen" during King Charles visit?	No	SELL	13	7¢	$1	0x90c3fe…
04-16 21:54:24	Will "IRIS OUT" by Kenshi Yonezu (Chainsaw Man – The Movie: Reze Arc) win Best Anime Song at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?	No	SELL	12	32¢	$4	0xe4c6b0…
04-16 21:54:22	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $240 end of April?	No	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0xbd6d11…
04-16 21:54:22	Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?	No	SELL	3	17¢	$1	0x0c896c…
04-16 21:54:20	Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?	No	SELL	13	19¢	$2	0xf996ad…
04-16 21:54:18	Will Trump say "King" during King Charles visit?	No	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x9d4cb0…
04-16 21:54:18	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	14	18¢	$2	0x483834…
04-16 21:54:16	Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	No	SELL	14	28¢	$4	0x5ba80b…
04-16 21:54:14	Will Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	15	23¢	$3	0x0031c5…
04-16 20:52:28	Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	14	25¢	$3	0x3d9982…
04-16 20:52:24	Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?	No	BUY	18	19¢	$3	0x24083d…
04-16 19:01:54	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $250 end of April?	No	BUY	13	27¢	$3	0x2c4628…
04-16 19:01:52	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $390 end of April?	No	BUY	15	23¢	$3	0x245f9c…
04-16 19:01:50	Will Lyft’s total rides in Q1 2026 be above 240m?	No	BUY	13	27¢	$3	0x3e76c4…
04-16 17:10:16	Nothing Ever Happens: April	Something	SELL	13	20¢	$3	0xa7fc7b…
04-16 16:46:08	Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?	No	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0x0565c6…
04-16 15:42:18	Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	14	23¢	$3	0xeb9025…
04-16 10:56:30	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	12	27¢	$3	0xf43024…
04-16 08:33:54	Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	16	21¢	$3	0xcdd8fe…
04-16 06:11:04	Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	SELL	14	50¢	$7	0xccbf58…
04-16 01:57:36	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?	No	BUY	16	21¢	$3	0xb45258…
04-16 01:57:34	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	14	24¢	$3	0x964939…
04-16 00:38:34	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	No	SELL	14	44¢	$6	0x0d8c54…
04-15 22:00:04	Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	BUY	14	24¢	$3	0x76ff2a…
04-15 21:44:28	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $360 end of April?	No	SELL	13	7¢	$1	0x0302e0…
04-15 21:44:08	Nothing Ever Happens: April	Something	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0x17ed9b…
04-15 20:24:02	Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	SELL	14	18¢	$3	0x0d31b6…
04-15 20:21:24	Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?	No	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0xbcf82c…
04-15 13:28:38	Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	14	23¢	$3	0x3dcd38…
04-15 13:13:02	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	SELL	14	8¢	$1	0x30f47a…
04-15 11:21:58	Will Powell say "Pandemic" during April press conference?	No	SELL	11	28¢	$3	0xdad7dc…
04-15 05:59:36	Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	25¢	$3	0x55a6fd…
04-15 05:59:34	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	No	BUY	12	28¢	$3	0xbc4956…
04-15 05:43:54	Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	13	29¢	$4	0xfcf6c4…
04-15 02:50:42	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	14	25¢	$3	0x403840…
04-14 23:57:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	BUY	14	24¢	$3	0x80caf6…
04-14 23:41:48	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	15	30¢	$5	0x040698…
04-14 23:10:34	Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0xd58d91…
04-14 21:20:22	Nothing Ever Happens: April	Something	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0xd6ab3c…
04-14 16:59:26	Will Galatasaray win the Süper Lig?	No	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0x5374a2…
04-14 14:52:15	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	23¢	$3	0xc3c17d…
04-14 13:32:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	BUY	15	23¢	$3	0xf3bd42…
04-14 13:01:09	Will Brian Poindexter be the Democratic nominee for OH-07?	No	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0x368010…
04-14 13:01:05	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $360 end of April?	No	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0x4f2981…
04-14 12:45:05	Will the 10-year Treasury hit 4.40% (HIGH) in April?	No	SELL	12	36¢	$4	0x656daa…
04-14 11:09:59	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $220 end of April?	No	BUY	14	24¢	$3	0x565b7e…
04-14 09:18:41	GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	24¢	$3	0x139867…
04-14 09:02:45	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	15	23¢	$3	0xaade36…
04-14 05:37:03	Will Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	15	23¢	$3	0x30a8c7…
04-14 04:33:53	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in April?	No	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0xf9187d…
04-14 03:46:13	Will Christian Menefee be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?	No	BUY	16	22¢	$3	0xe78f86…
04-14 01:55:25	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in April?	No	BUY	14	25¢	$4	0xe1b660…
04-14 01:55:17	Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?	No	BUY	14	25¢	$4	0xf697c5…
04-14 01:23:51	Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?	No	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0xd9119e…
04-14 01:23:49	Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	9	17¢	$2	0xd12353…
04-14 00:36:23	Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	No	SELL	8	44¢	$4	0xc20923…
04-13 23:17:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	No	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x619adf…
04-13 22:13:37	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	17	21¢	$3	0x8c0ccf…
04-13 22:13:31	Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	No	BUY	17	21¢	$3	0x57df38…
04-13 20:38:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	SELL	12	51¢	$6	0x4efb5b…
04-13 20:06:25	Will Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	17	20¢	$3	0xb3cf2c…
04-13 19:03:07	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0x45048e…
04-13 15:36:51	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 16, 2026?	No	SELL	14	51¢	$7	0x3e3bea…
04-13 14:17:33	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 16, 2026?	No	BUY	14	24¢	$3	0x5562ad…
04-13 13:14:01	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	14	25¢	$3	0x7cc085…
04-13 10:48:53	Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	56¢	$7	0x16f080…
04-13 10:32:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	No	BUY	13	27¢	$3	0x45d64a…
04-13 09:14:27	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	No	SELL	13	33¢	$4	0x73ef95…
04-13 08:27:03	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	12	28¢	$3	0x111df0…