Quiet-Penalty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.7%

Resolved

1,628

Trades

1,669

lifetime

Volume

$16.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 11-07 17:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 199 days

Categories

Other

78% 98% -$7

Sports

17% 100% +$3

Crypto

3% 98% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
wta muchova gauff 2026 07 09 match total 22pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Over	+$0	07-09 15:28
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
lib cru cat1 2026 04 15 total 1pt5	4	$20	10	10	+0	Over	+$0	04-17 00:15
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-13 02:05
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:15
Counter-Strike: Passion Academy vs LPH Gaming - Map 2 Winner	2	$20	10	10	+0	LPH Gaming	+$0	05-10 14:38
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-29 22:14
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	3	$20	10	10	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 17:22
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$20	10	10	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:35
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-25 15:37
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner	3	$20	10	10	+0	TheMongolz	+$0	05-27 17:22
Will Chris Moneymaker cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:32
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-12 22:55
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:31
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:10
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-25 15:37
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$20	10	10	+0	Mali	+$0	06-03 04:48
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-30 05:38
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Over	$0	04-22 17:37
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$0	05-05 15:54
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-24 17:13
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-15 20:58
highest temperature in toronto on april 14 2026 23c	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	04-15 05:03
mex jua pue 2026 07 17 first half total 1pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	Under	+$0	07-18 05:05
Will PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk end in a draw?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	09-10 18:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 17:13:40	Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Jurij Rodionov	Jurij Rodionov	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x917db4…
11-07 16:33:16	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc68242…
11-07 16:09:01	Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton	Ben Shelton	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xac4b10…
11-06 20:34:51	Will Wolfsberger AC win on 2026-11-06?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x332cfd…
11-01 02:37:49	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1f627b…
11-01 01:39:04	Hawks vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x713a46…
11-01 01:09:22	UFC Fight Night: Yana Santos vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)	Luana Santos	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x197927…
11-01 00:43:21	76ers vs. Hornets	76ers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2d2ad3…
11-01 00:05:40	UFC Fight Night: Dakota Hope vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Main Card)	Dakota Hope	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa6c33a…
10-31 16:00:19	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0350a5…
10-31 00:29:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcb3438…
10-31 00:29:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf831a8…
10-30 22:23:49	Queretaro: Tatjana Maria vs Valeriya Strakhova	Tatjana Maria	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x763c97…
10-30 16:19:12	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1243ad…
10-29 15:14:14	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3d97c8…
10-27 13:12:08	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x17b0a4…
10-25 09:30:59	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8af5d1…
10-24 13:22:17	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5e8f26…
10-23 16:52:27	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc6a18b…
10-23 06:10:06	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x77bd1d…
10-20 18:47:44	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf7e18e…
10-20 18:39:11	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x25a3e6…
10-18 03:35:38	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfc176e…
10-15 20:32:45	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x954bcc…
10-15 19:37:43	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x859727…
10-14 20:56:45	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x599cc7…
10-14 11:41:28	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x943793…
10-13 22:48:58	atp casanov serna 2026 10 13	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x00b8d3…
10-13 21:12:07	Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien	Luis Guto Miguel	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x15a9f8…
10-13 20:58:54	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4f6e2f…
10-13 14:15:22	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x046757…
10-13 01:33:00	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xca6e90…
10-12 09:05:09	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb4b258…
10-11 20:16:12	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb2f511…
10-11 10:49:53	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfb76a8…
10-11 10:26:11	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc0dc41…
10-10 11:08:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x44c59f…
10-10 10:20:13	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Pablo Carreno Busta	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x241014…
10-09 02:09:50	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa12582…
10-07 14:42:14	Villena: Edas Butvilas vs Max Hans Rehberg	Max Hans Rehberg	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7eb7c1…
10-07 06:29:17	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x872ecd…
10-07 05:49:23	W15 Maanshan: Anna Yang vs Darja Suvirdjonkova	Anna Yang	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfd7dd0…
10-06 20:46:27	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xea2ea2…
10-06 16:07:32	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5a3966…
10-04 23:23:10	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0bd25c…
10-04 20:17:40	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1f1bf8…
10-04 07:45:11	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x80d763…
10-03 14:50:30	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3791a0…
10-03 06:09:57	Montana State vs. Idaho	Idaho	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb7367c…
10-03 02:53:00	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5909e7…
10-02 14:15:26	Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4c29ad…
10-02 14:12:30	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5e60fc…
10-01 22:18:32	atp dias olivier 2026 10 01	Pedro Boscardin Dias	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x81b994…
10-01 20:46:20	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x96409e…
10-01 20:36:05	Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xe7ec6d…
10-01 16:12:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 1?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x16ecde…
10-01 12:05:03	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xecb5c6…
10-01 11:30:08	wta dart qu 2026 09 30	Harriet Dart	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb8de80…
09-30 23:54:57	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xddf5bd…
09-30 12:27:59	atp kuzmano sachko 2026 09 30	Vitaliy Sachko	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb3edc0…
09-30 01:58:20	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x66453f…
09-29 13:58:51	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x39040e…
09-29 13:16:00	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc20915…
09-29 00:46:30	atp dickers pereir 2026 09 28	Jose Pereira	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x8e8808…
09-28 20:43:08	atp zink krueger 2026 09 28	Mitchell Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7fb628…
09-28 10:07:54	atp vallejo daniel 2026 09 28	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2e69b8…
09-27 20:35:44	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x550cbe…
09-27 14:05:47	atp droguet mayot 2026 09 27	Titouan Droguet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9dc3b9…
09-27 13:31:18	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfbaa73…
09-27 12:12:00	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x21197a…
09-27 00:27:47	Wisconsin vs. Penn State	Wisconsin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8281fc…
09-26 23:23:51	Oklahoma vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe1af0e…
09-26 20:05:59	Columbia vs. Georgetown	Columbia	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x762187…
09-26 19:53:24	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4777d9…
09-26 12:20:12	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9311fa…
09-25 10:39:23	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x24104a…
09-24 22:04:09	Will Austria win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfdcb7b…
09-24 20:45:14	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc46f27…
09-24 09:44:05	Singapore Open: Xinyu Wang vs Joanna Garland	Xinyu Wang	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xafea11…
09-23 22:37:44	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x28f1ad…
09-23 16:19:31	bitcoin above 84k on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x15b502…
09-23 04:45:07	wta tararud park 2026 09 22	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x29d1ad…
09-21 18:44:37	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xce436a…
09-21 16:18:54	Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x39f5c0…
09-21 13:01:35	Solana Up or Down - September 21, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x76faae…
09-21 02:19:41	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x567797…
09-20 22:25:43	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x968f1a…
09-20 13:50:49	atp izquier monteir 2026 09 20	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb7a128…
09-20 09:13:46	val flfe genggc 2026 09 20 game1	Gen.G GC	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x431dd6…
09-20 02:59:39	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x480aae…
09-20 02:52:19	Blackhawks vs. Wild	Wild	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf1f123…
09-19 12:26:18	Will Persebaya Surabaya vs. Garuda Yaksa end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x59c636…
09-19 01:33:07	Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8bcaad…
09-18 20:03:34	Will Manchester City WFC win on 2026-09-18?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x77b764…
09-18 19:32:18	Will AC Oulu win on 2026-09-18?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x38de1a…
09-17 20:00:07	Tread FDV above $400M one day after launch	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xda9dda…
09-17 17:27:45	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5aff3b…
09-17 17:00:22	ethereum up or down september 17 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe9ebe0…
09-17 16:02:36	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on September 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x121471…
09-17 14:00:49	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xefc471…