Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$68

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$391

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 07-15 22:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

49% 100% +$78

Other

49% 0% $-10

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$50	128	0	+128	Yes	+$78	03-01 09:18
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	2	$30	143	0	+143	open	—	03-24 07:47
Will the US strike Cuba next?	1	$20	2,274	0	+2,274	open	—	03-01 09:08
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	1	$20	100	0	+100	open	—	03-01 09:22
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	1	$20	56	0	+56	open	—	03-01 09:17
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$16	76	0	+76	open	—	07-15 22:01
will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$15	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	03-02 17:23
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$10	17	0	+17	open	—	03-28 20:33
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	1	$10	59	0	+59	open	—	03-05 06:24
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	1	$10	31	0	+31	open	—	03-24 07:50
Will the US strike Mexico next?	1	$10	2,006	0	+2,006	open	—	03-01 09:08
Will the US strike Yemen next?	1	$10	1,296	0	+1,296	open	—	03-01 09:09
btc updown 5m 1772349900	1	$10	17	0	+17	open	—	03-01 07:28
will another country strike iran by march 7 528	1	$10	53	0	+53	open	—	03-05 06:58
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	1	$10	49	0	+49	open	—	03-01 09:20
will any eu country strike iran by march 31	1	$10	48	0	+48	open	—	03-05 06:59
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 15 611 421	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	03-05 06:59
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	1	$10	27	0	+27	open	—	03-05 06:59
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	1	$10	35	0	+35	open	—	03-05 06:58
US civil war before 2027?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	03-01 09:15
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	1	$10	23	0	+23	Yes	$-10	03-24 07:53
trump out as president by march 31	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-01 07:37
us evacuates jerusalem embassy by march 31	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	03-05 06:57
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	03-01 09:04
naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	1	$10	18	0	+18	open	—	03-05 07:04
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-01 09:16
GTA VI released before June 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-01 09:12
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-01 07:34
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	03-02 17:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$5	42	0	+42	open	—	04-03 07:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-15 22:01:08	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	76	21¢	$16	0x9c5a19…
04-03 07:08:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x5af801…
03-28 20:33:46	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x140ced…
03-24 07:53:43	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	No	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x7c02fb…
03-24 07:50:15	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x4566a3…
03-24 07:47:49	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0xb245e5…
03-05 07:04:09	naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x4c494f…
03-05 06:59:47	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x0ba4d3…
03-05 06:59:29	will any eu country strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x67938a…
03-05 06:59:01	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 15 611 421	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x6043a5…
03-05 06:58:41	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	BUY	35	29¢	$10	0x8a62d9…
03-05 06:58:17	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xec3026…
03-05 06:58:09	will another country strike iran by march 7 528	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xf4f946…
03-05 06:57:49	us evacuates jerusalem embassy by march 31	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xf7b1ea…
03-05 06:24:31	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x48abc9…
03-02 17:27:49	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x57c883…
03-02 17:23:57	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	5,000	0¢	$5	0xa7276e…
03-01 09:22:55	U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x2492af…
03-01 09:20:11	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	Yes	BUY	49	21¢	$10	0xcc579a…
03-01 09:18:47	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0x42561a…
03-01 09:17:21	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x64409e…
03-01 09:16:41	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x4ebda2…
03-01 09:15:55	US civil war before 2027?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x4a4451…
03-01 09:12:23	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe53ecb…
03-01 09:10:29	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0xb63641…
03-01 09:09:01	Will the US strike Yemen next?	Yes	BUY	1,296	1¢	$10	0xbdb234…
03-01 09:08:51	Will the US strike Mexico next?	Yes	BUY	2,006	0¢	$10	0xd0f9c0…
03-01 09:08:31	Will the US strike Cuba next?	Yes	BUY	2,274	1¢	$20	0xef5c43…
03-01 09:04:53	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x8e1cb5…
03-01 07:37:33	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x3ab6e8…
03-01 07:34:49	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x24b981…
03-01 07:28:47	btc updown 5m 1772349900	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xfba75e…