Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

53.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$84

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-09-02

last 11-01 22:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Other

80% 55% -$4

Politics

18% 62% +$4

Tech

2% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes		+1	$1	86¢	$1	+$0	11-01 05:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	2	$2	4	+4	Yes	$0	09-19 07:42
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	09-21 14:29
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $264 Week of October 5 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	10-07 16:02
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	09-22 14:43
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $775 Week of October 5 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-06 22:06
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	09-20 03:53
spx up or down on october 16 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Down	-$1	10-16 01:52
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-23 07:17
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-09 08:27
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	10-25 05:56
Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	11-01 22:01
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of October 5 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	10-06 13:59
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-08 23:01
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-27 10:17
will nvda dip to 212 by september 14 2026 from september 16	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-16 23:49
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30?	1	$1	3	+3	Down	+$2	09-30 02:19
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $177 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	09-22 23:06
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	-$1	10-25 14:41
trump renames ai by september 30	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	+$3	09-25 12:35
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-13 18:50
will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	10-15 00:00
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-21 22:29
will spy reach 775 by september 28 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-28 05:43
will amzn reach 252 by september 21 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-24 07:25
spy up or down on september 11 2026	1	$1	4	+4	Up	-$1	09-11 07:20
will coin dip to 177 50 by october 5 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-05 00:36
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-16 15:49
will the 5 year treasury yield hit 5pt07 in september	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-27 20:40
will warsh say gas during september press conference 20260909	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-16 07:48
Will Costco say "GLP-1" or "GLP 1" during earnings call?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	09-24 15:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 22:01:06	Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x585a96…
11-01 05:43:10	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xe81924…
10-25 14:41:15	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xef6813…
10-25 05:56:14	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb919ba…
10-23 21:27:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xf26252…
10-23 12:55:00	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 23?	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xa4f364…
10-16 23:03:30	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x036769…
10-16 12:32:13	spy up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x446c97…
10-16 01:52:12	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3e365e…
10-15 00:00:12	will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9b86fe…
10-14 15:14:40	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 15 2026	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd8e028…
10-14 07:09:04	will coin dip to 177 50 by october 12 2026 from october 13	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xbe2ead…
10-10 21:58:09	Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q3 investment banking fees be above $3.2B?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x36df2c…
10-09 11:24:37	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x83559e…
10-09 03:23:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9?	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x5d95c6…
10-08 19:17:47	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.10 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x965192…
10-08 08:05:55	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xdefa29…
10-08 00:04:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xf07026…
10-07 16:02:58	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $264 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xe04cdb…
10-07 06:08:41	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 8, 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x4bcd69…
10-06 22:06:59	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $775 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x47ba9e…
10-06 13:59:48	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x7e8bc9…
10-06 05:32:46	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xec730b…
10-05 21:32:11	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xcc6a1c…
10-05 12:33:29	spx up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa1bef2…
10-05 00:36:05	will coin dip to 177 50 by october 5 2026	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb2b1d7…
10-02 13:38:33	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x403a75…
10-02 05:25:08	spy up or down on october 2 2026	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x4b1a53…
10-01 12:18:17	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 1?	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x5f2095…
10-01 04:11:21	trump names ai czar by october 4 2026 20260928	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x1a1b1d…
09-30 19:07:44	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 in September?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd2d27a…
09-30 10:22:03	spx up or down on september 30 2026	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xfa080c…
09-30 02:19:45	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30?	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x2c55d5…
09-28 05:43:06	will spy reach 775 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x51490e…
09-27 21:42:38	will xagusd dip to 62 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x19bb26…
09-27 20:40:32	will the 5 year treasury yield hit 5pt07 in september	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2e4a50…
09-27 10:17:33	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x285170…
09-27 01:39:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xa7f1cb…
09-26 09:28:12	will aapl dip to 336 in september 2026 from september 25	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x829a75…
09-25 21:14:02	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xa2e3f3…
09-25 12:35:23	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x7456f5…
09-25 03:46:33	will xagusd reach 65 by september 21 2026	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xcdb3dc…
09-24 15:52:12	will wti dip to 90 in september 2026 from september 23	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xf55404…
09-24 15:37:26	Will Costco say "GLP-1" or "GLP 1" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x35731e…
09-24 07:25:44	will amzn reach 252 by september 21 2026	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x722aba…
09-23 23:23:38	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt20 in september	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xdaeba1…
09-23 15:20:59	will ukraine target moscow on september 26 2026	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x5908d4…
09-23 07:17:59	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x0368eb…
09-22 23:06:47	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $177 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xb102ba…
09-22 14:43:07	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xbe1436…
09-22 06:39:37	Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xf17eeb…
09-21 22:29:58	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x67aaf5…
09-21 14:29:32	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xe58aa7…
09-21 06:10:35	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $375 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x00521a…
09-20 21:57:46	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x1f6ab0…
09-20 03:53:49	Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x954879…
09-19 07:42:15	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x36544c…
09-19 04:54:07	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xe14c31…
09-17 17:34:33	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xab625d…
09-17 08:28:55	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $168 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xa4129e…
09-16 23:49:36	will nvda dip to 212 by september 14 2026 from september 16	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb4f581…
09-16 15:49:29	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x4aabc9…
09-16 07:48:57	will warsh say gas during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x535a5c…
09-16 07:48:55	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $165 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x160db4…
09-15 23:48:28	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xbd21a1…
09-15 12:18:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x3e548f…
09-15 03:35:46	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $61 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x6306e0…
09-14 19:03:28	will rklb dip to 60 by september 14 2026	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc741ab…
09-14 11:02:22	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $264 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x9e5101…
09-14 02:51:28	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xcb04db…
09-13 18:50:00	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x619bc0…
09-11 07:20:15	spy up or down on september 11 2026	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x44fd11…
09-10 23:09:13	will nvda reach 220 by september 7 2026	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x9b391d…
09-10 14:50:34	Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x6561cb…
09-10 04:40:16	spy closes above 760 on september 10 2026	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xb9c41a…
09-10 00:32:52	will xauusd dip to 4350 by september 7 2026 from september 9	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x3159ce…
09-09 16:30:58	Will John Ternus say "Hardware" during his Apple Keynote?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x88a11b…
09-09 08:27:58	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xd2004a…
09-08 23:01:15	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x649a49…
09-08 06:43:06	laptop airdrop by september 9	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x120311…
09-07 16:32:57	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $192.50 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x85e3cb…
09-04 00:08:49	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x3ed856…
09-03 02:11:03	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xbc3dd4…
09-02 15:11:04	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on September 2?	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x982da5…