Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19.8K

Unrealized P&L

+$695

Hit rate

44.9%

Resolved

Trades

154

lifetime

Volume

$250.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.63K

Open exposure

$25.1K

1 position

First seen

2026-09-25

last 10-27 20:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

72% 75% -$17,919

Other

24% — —

Crypto

4% 54% -$1,856

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes		+26,170	$24,428	96¢	$25.1K	+$695	10-27 20:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	13	$71.2K	59,590	59,590	+0	No	-$22,703	10-25 22:18
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	4	$32.0K	30,560	4,390	+26,170	open	—	10-27 20:57
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$27.4K	14,582	14,582	+0	Yes	+$1,436	10-25 23:58
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	18	$19.7K	10,618	10,618	+0	open	—	10-22 13:39
Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	11	$17.3K	9,413	9,413	+0	Yes	+$1,346	10-25 05:17
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	5	$14.3K	11,479	11,479	+0	open	—	10-18 00:46
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	4	$14.2K	7,374	7,374	+0	open	—	10-27 20:54
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	4	$13.3K	9,897	9,897	+0	open	—	10-18 00:47
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	5	$11.4K	13,109	1,000	+12,109	Yes	+$2,002	10-26 18:10
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	4	$10.3K	8,263	8,263	+0	open	—	10-18 00:47
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	8	$6.4K	3,876	3,876	+0	open	—	10-20 22:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	6	$1.9K	1,922	1,922	+0	Down	+$311	10-20 16:44
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	3	$1.7K	963	963	+0	open	—	10-27 20:54
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	10	$1.3K	6,196	6,196	+0	open	—	10-20 06:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	1	$1.0K	1,390	0	+1,390	Down	-$1,000	10-20 16:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	4	$791	610	610	+0	Up	+$71	10-20 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$591	758	758	+0	Down	-$409	10-20 16:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$567	758	589	+169	Up	-$433	10-20 16:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$565	424	424	+0	Up	+$65	10-20 14:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	4	$552	472	472	+0	Up	+$52	10-20 14:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	4	$538	446	446	+0	Down	-$22	10-20 15:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	4	$523	308	308	+0	Up	+$3	10-20 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	2	$423	496	496	+0	Up	-$77	10-20 22:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	2	$419	323	323	+0	Down	+$219	10-18 05:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$383	252	252	+0	Down	+$23	10-20 15:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$363	650	0	+650	Down	-$363	10-20 14:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$331	453	453	+0	Up	-$169	10-20 14:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$324	272	272	+0	Up	-$36	10-20 15:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 01:00 UTC	2	$300	200	200	+0	Up	+$100	10-18 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$227	128	128	+0	Down	+$27	10-20 14:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 20:57:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	26,170	96¢	$25,000	0x4c6ab1…
10-27 20:54:57	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	963	93¢	$898	0x48198c…
10-27 20:54:15	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes	SELL	7,374	99¢	$7,315	0xa79d06…
10-26 18:10:32	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	9,488	82¢	$7,798	0x43b218…
10-26 18:10:30	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	2,621	84¢	$2,202	0x2b4d50…
10-25 23:58:41	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	14,582	99¢	$14,436	0xd44529…
10-25 23:21:54	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	14,582	89¢	$13,000	0xf7cdb0…
10-25 22:18:38	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	33,286	27¢	$8,913	0x167761…
10-25 22:18:38	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	12,880	37¢	$4,733	0x0e21c1…
10-25 06:23:33	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	22	88¢	$19	0x9cf040…
10-25 05:31:44	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5,382	80¢	$4,300	0x230c84…
10-25 05:31:08	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes	BUY	5,329	94¢	$5,000	0xed8e71…
10-25 05:17:30	Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	SELL	117	99¢	$116	0x9d8551…
10-25 05:17:18	Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	SELL	4,687	99¢	$4,641	0x45ee6c…
10-25 05:15:47	Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	SELL	18	99¢	$17	0x3a75f2…
10-25 05:15:45	Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	SELL	4,591	99¢	$4,546	0x9866db…
10-24 23:47:09	Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	BUY	25	91¢	$23	0x572623…
10-24 18:50:47	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes	BUY	2,029	94¢	$1,900	0xf48427…
10-24 15:14:05	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes	BUY	17	92¢	$16	0x64198f…
10-24 09:08:11	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	941	85¢	$800	0x73c7d5…
10-22 13:39:15	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	No	SELL	826	98¢	$812	0xbfb0d4…
10-21 16:08:54	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	294	78¢	$230	0xcc2119…
10-21 16:07:45	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	No	SELL	233	99¢	$231	0xef8915…
10-21 15:06:33	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3,499	78¢	$2,722	0x0058a1…
10-21 13:18:48	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	No	SELL	570	99¢	$565	0x17c0c6…
10-21 07:03:29	Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	BUY	4,255	89¢	$3,800	0x6f6757…
10-21 06:56:44	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	No	SELL	1,696	99¢	$1,678	0x8a69a4…
10-20 22:29:32	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4,823	81¢	$3,900	0x116148…
10-20 22:28:47	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	Yes	SELL	3,876	94¢	$3,647	0xab2e79…
10-20 22:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	496	35¢	$173	0x9e30e3…
10-20 22:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	496	50¢	$250	0x6c6141…
10-20 22:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x67fea4…
10-20 22:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	193	50¢	$96	0xcf65b8…
10-20 22:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	260	100¢	$260	0x79c4c9…
10-20 21:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	193	52¢	$100	0xab761c…
10-20 21:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	47	5¢	$2	0xeddc6e…
10-20 21:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	260	96¢	$250	0x3b26fb…
10-20 21:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	47	21¢	$10	0x0b22a0…
10-20 21:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x18f982…
10-20 21:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x0a0056…
10-20 21:35:02	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,783	79¢	$2,190	0xd0a793…
10-20 21:33:21	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	No	SELL	2,217	99¢	$2,195	0xa67dea…
10-20 17:02:44	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	262	77¢	$202	0xbdce08…
10-20 16:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1,390	72¢	$1,000	0x0fef8a…
10-20 16:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	589	11¢	$67	0xd3cee8…
10-20 16:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	758	66¢	$500	0xf17906…
10-20 16:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	441	99¢	$437	0xd4c541…
10-20 16:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	441	65¢	$288	0xc2ab6b…
10-20 16:40:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	46	44¢	$20	0x8f895b…
10-20 16:40:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1,435	45¢	$641	0x8928df…
10-20 16:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	297	34¢	$102	0x6ca82d…
10-20 16:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1,184	34¢	$398	0x3f7116…
10-20 16:37:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	758	12¢	$91	0x3d2725…
10-20 16:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	758	66¢	$500	0xb827c9…
10-20 16:06:41	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	No	SELL	1,848	99¢	$1,835	0x9b81da…
10-20 15:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	225	80¢	$180	0xfd5c78…
10-20 15:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	272	53¢	$144	0xef8eef…
10-20 15:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	272	66¢	$180	0xf1b638…
10-20 15:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	202	99¢	$200	0xc80cab…
10-20 15:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	202	89¢	$180	0xc3056c…
10-20 15:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	244	24¢	$58	0x7578a8…
10-20 15:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0x9dc6f0…
10-20 15:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	250	99¢	$248	0xdceca3…
10-20 15:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	250	72¢	$180	0xe6c6d2…
10-20 15:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	360	51¢	$183	0x4bca2d…
10-20 15:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	360	50¢	$180	0x2ad3ca…
10-20 15:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	252	81¢	$203	0x0bb8da…
10-20 15:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	252	71¢	$180	0x6cd4a3…
10-20 14:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	158	100¢	$158	0x2394ed…
10-20 14:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	158	63¢	$100	0x31f8db…
10-20 14:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	314	46¢	$144	0x3a9831…
10-20 14:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	314	48¢	$150	0x57c687…
10-20 14:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	128	99¢	$127	0xa747a7…
10-20 14:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0xe676fd…
10-20 14:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	453	18¢	$81	0x33c057…
10-20 14:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	453	55¢	$250	0xe39368…
10-20 14:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	424	74¢	$315	0x9cb659…
10-20 14:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	424	59¢	$250	0xd6a588…
10-20 14:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	650	56¢	$363	0x375a51…
10-20 14:23:27	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	1,000	64¢	$643	0x407c4c…
10-20 13:00:08	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4,432	76¢	$3,389	0xab45db…
10-20 12:32:47	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	No	SELL	1,104	99¢	$1,095	0x783fee…
10-20 12:32:11	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	No	SELL	2,124	99¢	$2,107	0x3d3f26…
10-20 11:55:51	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by at least 80%?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7316dc…
10-20 06:25:14	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	SELL	6,114	3¢	$164	0xacc8b6…
10-20 00:09:47	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	BUY	317	14¢	$45	0x425199…
10-19 18:46:45	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	No	BUY	556	90¢	$500	0x0bb7c9…
10-19 05:47:02	Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	BUY	3,232	87¢	$2,800	0x285e3e…
10-19 05:24:09	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	BUY	2,095	17¢	$350	0xfa6549…
10-19 05:23:35	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	Yes	BUY	1,749	80¢	$1,400	0x63495e…
10-19 05:15:06	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	6,563	79¢	$5,157	0xb79987…
10-18 23:07:35	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	BUY	1,444	21¢	$300	0xe0feb0…
10-18 22:50:26	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	BUY	1,014	17¢	$175	0x0ba347…
10-18 22:31:12	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	BUY	947	17¢	$160	0x06eff8…
10-18 22:28:09	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	Yes	BUY	539	74¢	$400	0xab0169…
10-18 22:24:50	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	No	BUY	4,836	89¢	$4,300	0xbd0ba7…
10-18 22:23:57	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	6,861	79¢	$5,427	0x78e71b…
10-18 17:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x8f6e34…
10-18 16:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x4b3661…
10-18 16:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x32468f…